Federico Coria vs Felipe Meligeni U.S. Open Preview and Expert Tip: Brazilian to Keep Rolling into the Main Draw

Federico Coria vs Felipe Meligeni (U.S. Open): Friday, August 25th

Split the bets on Thursday with Dominic Stricker, as he nearly choked away the match on several occasions, before winning the prolonged super tiebreak in the final set. He did lead 4-3 serving at 40-15 in the third and served for the match at 6-5 to void the handicap, but we’ll take partial profit and move on!

For Friday’s ATP preview, we’ll remain at the U.S. Open where Friday’s action on the tennis courts will be a special one for many players, as the winners of the final qualifying rounds earn a main draw position – and with it a payday that can help buoy them financially well into the 2024 campaign. Let’s preview Federico Coria vs Felipe Meligeni.

In this article:

• Federico Coria vs Felipe Meligeni Expert Tip
• Federico Coria Recent Form
• Felipe Meligeni Recent Form
• Federico Coria vs Felipe Meligeni H2H Stat of the Match
• Gamble Responsibly

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Federico Coria vs Felipe Meligeni Expert Tip

Well, I’m going back to the well when it comes to backing the more proficient hard-court player on Friday.

Neither of these guys necessarily prefers hard court matches, but Meligeni certainly has the better game for it.

Coria was 1-7 entering this week on hard courts, has very little power and is reliant entirely on defensive play and topspin. The wins this week weren’t all that impressive (more on that later), and there is absolutely no reason for him to be a 50-50 chance here, let alone the favourite.

Meligeni also likes the clay, but has the weapons on his serve and forehand to succeed on this surface in a matchup like this.

Read on for more expert insights.

• Expert Tip: Meligeni to win at 2.00 with Bet365, using 6/10 stakes.

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Federico Coria Recent Form

The Argentine’s overall form has been pretty middling of late. He made the semifinal of a pretty weak Challenger tournament on clay in the Dominican Republic recently, but on hard courts? It’s been pretty poor. For his whole career.

The clay-court specialist doesn’t have the weapons, his defensive and pushing style isn’t as effective and the topspin doesn’t neutralise opposition aggression as well as it does on clay.

Even this week with a pair of victories, it’s hard to look at those with any kind of optimism

Camilo Ugo Carabelli – another pure clay specialist – and Martin Damm, a youngster with little dimension to his game other than his serve that is as immobile as anyone on tour. Not to mention, the latter is ranked well outside the world’s top-300.

Hard to lend any credence to beating those two.

Felipe Meligeni Recent Form

On the flip side, the Brazilian – who would also rather spend his time on the red dirt – has both the game to compete on hard courts even if it isn’t his preferred surface and higher-quality victories so far this week.

Armed with a pretty strong first serve and rifle of a forehand, Meligeni has been surprisingly competitive in a few hard-court matches that the tennis world didn’t expect him to be.

That includes a few weeks ago in Los Cabos against Tommy Paul – one of the favourites to win the third quarter over the next few weeks in New York City.

While those slower courts gave him more time to set up his groundstrokes, the quicker surface at Flushing Meadows won’t be all that problematic, considering his opposition this time around doesn’t have the requisite weapons to rush him into errors.

Beating Dalibor Svrcina – an up-and-coming young Czech who qualified for the Australian Open – and Facundo Bagnis, a clay courter, but also a veteran who has a bit of experience on hard courts is also far more impressive than the pair of wins Coria has posted during this qualifying week.

Federico Coria vs Felipe Meligeni H2H – Stat of the Match

The record between these two stands at 1-1, though both matches came over three years ago and were on clay courts. Hardly relevant to the match at hand, so I’d encourage people to avoid weighing those matches too heavily, if at all, in their pricing of this contest.

Statistically, pick any metric you want. They’ll all tell the same story. Meligeni’s serve earns him far more cheap points and helps him hold serve at a much higher rate on hard courts.

He’s also less rushed and surprisingly even outpaces his Argentine counterpart in the break percentage department this season on hard courts.

Nothing about this matchup indicates Coria has that much of a chance to advance.

Odds as at 4:00 am UK Time on August 25th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

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RESPONSIBLE GAMBLING

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