Friday's ATP Tennis Best Bet: Halle, June 17th
ATP Halle Best Bet: HURKACZ VS. AUGER ALIASSIME
Odds are valid as of 10:00 am on 17th June 2022. Od
Friday, June 17th, TBD
We’re into the business end of the ATP 500-level tournaments in Halle and London and Friday’s quarterfinals feature some enticing matchups, including Hubert Hurkacz and Felix Auger Aliassime.
In a contest between two tall, big servers that are proficient on the grass, this might be the match of the day for Friday.
It also presents a solid betting opportunity, as the two – who both had breakout performances at Wimbledon a year ago – should go toe-to-toe in a hotly contested match.
The overs here seem to be the best option, whether they be of the full match or first set varieties.
While both are regarded as excellent grass-court players, their abilities on serve are primarily due to their abilities. Neither is the most adept returner and no one is going to accuse either of being fleet of foot – especially on a rather slick surface that can be tricky to manoeuvre on.
When looking to play overs, we’re looking for guys that win over 75% percent of first serve points and 50% behind their second serves. These two are both over 80% and 54% in those two categories, respectively. They’re both holding their serve 88% of the time or more as well early in the 2022 grass season.
To further illustrate my point about these two being heavily serve-oriented, consider that Hurkacz is breaking serve just 11% of the time this season, while the Canadian is doing so 19% of the time. The caveat to the latter number, however, is that many of the breaks Auger Aliassime has managed have come against Marcos Giron and Mackenzie McDonald – two players that enjoy quick conditions but are far from elite servers.
With both men being of near equal talent on the surface, both being huge servers and both playing their fair share of tiebreaks against other decent servers on the surface, the simple conclusion is the best one in this spot. Take the overs.
- Selection: Over 23.5 games
- Odds: 1.90 (Bet365)
- Stakes: 3/10
Odds are valid as of 10:00 am on 17th June 2022. Odds may now differ.