Jiri Lehecka vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction, Stats, Form, H2H, May 3rd

The second ATP semifinal of the day from the Mutua Madrid Open features Jiri Lehecka vs Felix Auger Aliassime. It’s a chance for each to achieve one of the biggest results in their respective careers.

Auger Aliassime’s win probability is 47.2% while Lehecka is favoured to win at 1.79 odds. The handicap is one game and the total games line is 23.

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Our Lehecka vs Auger Aliassime prediction is for Auger Aliassime to win.

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Jiri Lehecka vs Felix Auger Aliassime (Mutua Madrid Open) Prediction: Canadian Slightly More Reliable in Very Close Match

• Prediction: Auger Aliassime to win
• Best Odds: 2.12
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 1/10

Odds as at 12:30 am UK Time on May 3rd, 2024. Odds may now differ.

I don’t think there’s much between these two. Still, these odds should either be closer or even flipped. Lehecka hasn’t dropped a set this week but has had a few questionable decisions and sets in his wins. They’re both volatile and error-prone, but both can hit huge serves and dictate with their forehands.

This is an even match that has Auger Aliassime as the slightly more reliable player and the player who has looked stronger this week on the whole, even if his path to this semifinal hasn’t been the toughest.

Check out our Andrey Rublev vs Taylor Fritz prediction for the other Madrid Open semi-final.

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Jiri Lehecka Recent Form

After winning a title in Adelaide to start his year, the Czech had a tough stretch for a month before reaching the quarterfinals in the Middle East and retiring from that match. Recent times have been good to him as well, as he reached the quarters at the Masters event in California and now the semis here.

There are some early losses at tournaments as well, and it shouldn’t be a total surprise, since his game style does lend itself to off days and if one of those 30-40 unforced error matches happens early in a tournament, he’s out the door with just a few sets played.

As I mentioned earlier, he has yet to lose a set in Madrid, but he wasn’t that convincing against a mediocre Rafael Nadal and even in the quarterfinals, he needed a late break and consolidation to take the opening set from Daniil Medvedev 6-4 before Medvedev retired.

He hasn’t been dominant just yet and maybe that changes on Friday evening, but I’m not sold on him being the favourite in this matchup.

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Felix Auger Aliassime Recent Form

Auger Aliassime has also refound his form of late, but like Lehecka, he’s been somewhat uninspiring in some of his wins. Those were mainly in Munich though, as this week, he’s looked like the better player in every match.

The lone set he lost came in the first round against Yoshihito Nishioka, who doesn’t love the clay but could hit that spin heavy forehand into a weaker backhand. Since then, the Canadian has been cruising. Adrian Mannarino may hate the clay and Jakub Mensik was hurt, but he can only beat whoever is on the other side of the net and he did so with aplomb.

His win against Casper Ruud was his best match in a long, long time and showcased the quality that made him such a highly-regarded prospect a few years ago.

The serve and forehand are firing and if his backhand can remain as steady as it has so far in Madrid, he should be able to reach his first ever Masters final in three semifinal tries.

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Jiri Lehecka vs Felix Auger Aliassime H2H – Stat of the Match

The lone meeting between these two came last season at the Australian Open, where Lehecka won in four sets, with two being in tiebreaks.

Now, that was on a fast hard court and this may be at altitude, but it’s still on clay, which means the bounce should be much different.

We’ll see if the elder of the two relative young guns can avenge that loss on Friday.

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