Friday Tennis Best Bet: WTA Indian Wells, Maria Sakkari vs Shelby Rogers
Maria Sakkari vs Shelby Rogers Best Bet: Friday, March 10th
A nice, straightforward win on one of our largest-staked selections of the season. Lovely to see that, as Rebecca Marino just couldn’t find a way to hit through both the slower courts and Marketa Vondrousova on a consistent enough basis.
The other women’s selection ended up being cancelled, as Lauren Davis withdrew. That’s somewhat frustrating, seeing as we were on the other side with a nice 2.60 odds underdog.
We’ll finish the week with a second-round selection on Friday from the match between world No.7 Maria Sakkari and Shelby Rogers.
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Maria Sakkari vs Shelby Rogers Preview
March 10th, 23:00 (UK Time)
Last year’s finalist gets her 2023 Indian Wells campaign underway on Friday, looking to replicate last year’s run, as she takes on Rogers.
I’m happy to back her to do just that, in a matchup that I think favours the 27-year-old in these slower conditions, despite the fact that Rogers has beaten her on all three occasions these two have gone toe-to-toe in the past.
The conditions this time around, however, shift the focus from big serving and being able to finish points quickly to court coverage, ball retrieval, rally tolerance and endurance. Those things the Athens native has in spades.
We saw Rogers struggle in the first round against an underpowered Volynets, simply because with the courts eating up so much of the pace on her groundstrokes, the young American was able to extend points and push Rogers to the brink.
Sakkari brings that to the table, but is also much more capable of playing a more offensive and aggressive brand of tennis as well, which could tilt things in her favour.
Maria Sakkari vs Shelby Rogers Best Bet
It’s the aforementioned head-to-head record that is likely to have the market respecting the American so much here. In fairness to those that use head-to-head records as a big part of a handicap, at least in this situation the matches have all taken place within the last two years.
None, however, took place in conditions quite like this, and even in quicker conditions where Rogers’ big first serve is more effective, the matches were really close.
I’ll look to exploit the change in conditions here to get a fairly cheap price on Sakkari to advance.
- Selection: Sakkari to win
- Best Odds: 1.64 (Pinnacle)
- Stakes: 3/10
Odds as at 2:30 am on March 10th, 2023. Odds may now differ.
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