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tennis | Monday, June 20, 2022 8:43 AM (Revised at: Monday, June 27, 2022 7:27 AM)

Monday's ATP Tennis Best Bet: Eastbourne, June 20th

Monday's ATP Tennis Best Bet: Eastbourne, June 20th
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Monday June 20th, 15:30 UK Time

It’s the final week of tuneup events on grass before what is arguably the most famous tournament in tennis. Wimbledon is just a week away and the men are in Mallorca and Eastbourne with one last attempt to build up some form before The Championships.

For Monday’s selection, we’ll preview a match from Eastbourne, as promising British prospect Jack Draper takes on Jenson Brooksby.

It’s a great spot to back the Brit in this scenario, with Brooksby seriously lacking form and Draper matching up well in several facets of the game with the American.

For starters, take a look at the statistical edge for Draper. While the last 52 weeks paint a different picture (much of that distorted by Draper drawing Novak Djokovic at Wimbledon last year and being trounced after taking the opening set in a best-of-five sets format), the 2022 numbers on grass favour the upstart talent from Sutton.

He leads by a wide margin in ace rate, points won on first serves, hold percentage and break percentage.

That leads into the matchup issues for Brooksby here. When struggling to find holds of serve relative to the rest of the men’s field on grass, it isn’t Draper you want to see on the other side of the net.

The southpaw has shown an incredible improvement in 2022 on quicker surfaces in his return game, and with Brooksby lacking pace on his serves, he’s likely to see his struggles on serve continue.

With Draper himself possessing a huge lefty serve that he can locate well and a powerful forehand to follow it up, the pressure could really mount on the American.

The other sticking point in the matchup analysis here is that a lot of Brooksby’s success on the lower-bouncing surface comes from his variety and ability to slice the ball. With Draper being quite the athlete, he should be able to adjust after a few games of rallying from the baseline and be just fine in tracking down the shots coming from his unorthodox opponent.

Statistically, as well as in this particular stylistic matchup, Draper profiles well here. Throw in Brooksby’s noticeable struggles so far this grass season and I’m comfortable taking a position backing the young gun in this match.

  • Selection: Draper to win
  • Odds: 1.86 (Marathon Bet)
  • Stakes: 3/10

More tips for Draper vs Brooksby

Odds are valid as of 9:00 am on 20th June 2022. Odds may now differ. 

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