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tennis | Sunday, July 3, 2022 11:29 PM (Revised at: Monday, July 4, 2022 11:06 AM)

Monday's ATP Tennis Best Bet: Wimbledon, July 4th

Monday's ATP Tennis Best Bet: Wimbledon, July 4th
Contributor: Roger Parker / Alamy Stock Photo


Monday, July 4th, 11:00 UK Time

It may no longer be “Manic Monday” at The Championships from the All England Club, but the action on day eight certainly should entertain. While all four matches on the men’s side consist of heavy favourites, there are question marks around each of the favourites, save one for me.

That man is Alex de Minaur, who’s always seemed to enjoy his time on the grass. At just 23 years old, the Australian has amassed nearly 40 professional wins on the surface and played nearly 60 total matches.

His game is well-suited to the grass, as his improved serve only gets stronger on the quicker courts and his elite movement separates him from many, who find it a tall task to get around the toughest courts to navigate.

His opponent, Cristian Garin, finds himself in the second week at the year’s third slam for a second year on the trot, despite not being particularly fond of quicker courts on tour. He’s been the beneficiary of some nice draws the past two seasons, however. Elias Ymer, Hugo Grenier and an out-of-form, and easily irritable, Jenson Brooksby in this year’s edition, while he dealt with Bernabe Zapata Miralles, Marc Polmans and Pedro Martinez a year ago.

Once confronted with someone of real quality on the green lawns, the Chilean was easily dispatched by Novak Djokovic.

Now, de Minaur is not Djokovic, but his abilities on return could certainly pose problems for the lighter serving and hitting Garin. His ball retrieval skills and rally tolerance also help him neutralise any advantage Garin might wish to gain in terms of waiting out errors or using side-to-side play from the baseline.

Finally, we saw Garin come in somewhat effectively against Brooksby and his defending, but de Minaur’s ability to pass is on another level and hitting those shots on the run is no bother for him at all.

With de Minaur holding statistical edges in the hold plus break department on grass, as well as an elo rating almost 100 points higher, there really isn’t much that points to Garin being able to keep up with the Aussie, who’s only dropped one set to this point – a 5-7 first set loss to one of the best prospects in the game, Jack Draper.

  • Selection: de Minaur 3-0
  • Odds: 2.08 (Unibet)
  • Stakes: 2/10

More tips for DE MINAUR vs GARIN

Odds are valid as of 01:30 am on 4th July 2022. Odds may now differ. 

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