tennis | Wednesday, June 28, 2023 7:51 AM

Wednesday Tennis Best Bet: WTA Wimbledon, Priscilla Hon vs Lucrezia Stefanini

Jon Reid

Priscilla Hon vs Lucrezia Stefanini Best Bet: Wednesday, June 28th

Not sure we’ll ever win one of these writeups again. Well into the profit on the season for my bets, but I’m pretty sure the article plays are languishing well behind. Highlights the importance of sample size. Maja Chwalinska was absolutely roasted in the first four games of her match. Unlike Sonay Kartal who came back from 0-4 against us to ruin our bet yesterday, she couldn’t come back to void or win this bet. Those only work against us it seems.

For Wednesday, we’ll look at the qualifying draw for Wimbledon and preview the matchup featuring Priscilla Hon and Lucrezia Stefanini.

In this article:

Priscilla Hon vs Lucrezia Stefanini Preview
Priscilla Hon vs Lucrezia Stefanini Best Bet

Priscilla Hon vs Lucrezia Stefanini Preview

June 28th, 14:00 (UK Time)

Much like we saw against Ashlyn Krueger, Stefanini is once again getting a decent amount of respect in the betting markets for a match against a pretty decent quick-court player.

On Friday, it was the eventual champion in Gaiba in Ashlyn Krueger that was only a 3.5-game favourite against the Italian. Wednesday, it’s Hon, who has a game that profiles far more for grass courts than Stefanini’s as a pick ‘em.

Once again, it’s a matchup that should pose problems for Stefanini – who ended up losing that match last week by nine games. She may have wins against players that were off tour for long periods (Evgeniya Rodina) or against fellow clay courters who have even less grass-court pedigree than she does (Carolina Alves), but against someone who can hit, play with aggression and prefers quick courts, those wins aren’t really relevant.

Yet the markets continue to believe in her in those types of matchups. Hon has had a mediocre grass season, but she covered the handicap in her opening round and put up a respectable performance against one of the standout grass season players in Yanina Wickmayer in a loss.

I find the struggles have come against competition vastly superior to the likes of Stefanini and think Hon should be a clear favourite in this one.

Priscilla Hon vs Lucrezia Stefanini Best Bet

It’s not just the overvaluation of Stefanini that has my numbers showing Hon as value here. It’s the fact that the Aussie is undervalued once again in her own right. She was only a 4.5-game favourite in her first qualifying round against a pretty poor player who hasn’t been remotely competitive in most matches this season.

Now we’re seeing Stefanini as an equal chance to win the match as her? I’ll go ahead and back Hon for the second day running against a clay courter that doesn’t possess the needed variety of counterpunching abilities to translate the success to grass courts.