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Mixed martial arts Tuesday Tennis Best Bet: WTA Merida, Rebecca Peterson vs Nadia Podoroska
Rebecca Peterson vs Nadia Podoroska Best Bet: Tuesday, February 21st
Late night finish in Mexico for Monday’s selection between Anna Bondar and Kimberly Birrell.
For Tuesday’s selection, we’ll stick with the hard-court event taking place in the Yucatan city of Merida and the match between Rebecca Peterson and Nadia Podoroska.
In this article:
Rebecca Peterson vs Nadia Podoroska Preview
February 21st, 23:30 (UK Time)
It has been a rough few years for the 27-year-old native of Stockholm, Sweden. Injuries have kept her from really playing her best and have seen her drop well outside of the top-100 in the world.
Peterson’s start to the 2023 campaign has given her cause for optimism, as she reached the final of the W60 event in Orlando, Florida (where she lost to a player we previewed yesterday in Kimberly Birrell), and has come through qualifying this week in Merida, to secure her position in the main draw.
Now taking on the Argentine, who herself is looking to put an injury in the past and regain her position in the world’s top-100, Peterson has a strong chance to advance to the second round.
Podoroska has been good of late, winning a 125K event on clay in the altitude of Cali, Colombia, before reaching the semis and quarters of a pair of ITF events in Mexico on hard courts the past few weeks.
Thing is, the players she lost to in those two hard-court events? Not remotely at the level of Peterson, and the fields in general in her last few tournaments have been on the weaker side.
The fact that she lost to players like Raluca Serban (as a 1.25 favourite) and Darja Semenistaja (as a 1.14 favourite) tells me she hasn’t really made substantial strides on hard courts, and more importantly, is clearly overvalued off of clay courts by the markets.
Peterson is a hard-court first player, can generate on her forehand and has a solid enough backhand to hold up in these kinds of WTA 250 events.
Podoroska still looks like a fish out of water on the surface far too often, has an incredibly exploitable backhand wing, and plays a style that just isn’t as effective on courts that don’t have high bounces like clay courts.
Rebecca Peterson vs Nadia Podoroska Best Bet
Getting the hard-court player here against Podoroska at over 1.70 seems absurd to me.
The discrepancy between her clay and hard courts record is clear, and her best win on the hard surfaces this year has come against Kayla Day – nothing to write home about.
Considering the massive edge in surface preference, and the much weaker backhand of Podoroska, along with her topspin being far less effective off of clay, this price should be much much more expensive to back the Swede.
- Selection: Peterson to win
- Best Odds: 1.75 (Coolbet)
- Stakes: 6/10
Odds as at 5:00 am UK Time on February 21st, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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