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tennis | Thursday, July 28, 2022 7:17 AM (Revised at: Thursday, July 28, 2022 8:07 AM)

Thursday Tennis Best Bet: WTA Warsaw, Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Burel

Thursday Tennis Best Bet: WTA Warsaw, Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Burel
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Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Burel Best Bet: Thursday, July 28th

Another day, another player who couldn’t put away Chloe Paquet in straight sets. Once again, a nice start ends in a loss.

For Thursday’s WTA selection, it’s over to the clay courts of Warsaw, Poland for a match between Jasmine Paolini and the once highly-touted French youngster Clara Burel.

In this article:

Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Burel Preview

Thu, Jul 28th. 09:00 (UK Time)

In what could be one of the more underrated matches of the day, the Italian – who will have the support of the crowd thanks to her Polish background – takes on Burel, who has a quality game, but has struggled this season to find the consistency to let it shine through.

With Paolini as the steadier player and Burel the player more likely to dictate, in a prior season, I would have suggested staying away, or backing Paolini on the handicap as the favourite. In 2022, however, with Paolini also really struggling to find consistency on that forehand wing (the once reliable groundstroke has been fairly inconsistent for much of the season), and her game being predicated on strong rally tolerance, the Frenchwoman is in with a chance to pull off the upset in this matchup.

With Burel a bit more likely to find winners off the forehand wing and Paolini also a bit more prone to gifting her opposition points in those rallies this season, Burel should be more than capable of extending this matchup.

Burel is also a good enough mover to deal with the angles Paolini can generate off both wings when she is hitting her spots. That’s necessary against the Italian, who can open up space and hit through it against opponents who aren’t fleet of foot.

Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Burel Best Bet

With a nice stylistic contrast in this one, and the more solid baseliner being more prone to errors this year, I do think Burel is a bit long and the over is about a game too low.

With value showing in both markets, I’d prefer to split up the risk here and attack both the game overs and the Burel to win markets.

  • Selection: Over 20.5 Games
  • Odds: 1.91 (GGbet)
  • Stakes: 2/10
  • Bonus: Burel to win at 3.23 odds with Pinnacle at 2/10 stakes

Odds as of 09:00 am July 28, 2022. Odds may now differ.

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