Thursday's ATP Tennis Best Bet: London, June 16th
ATP London Best Bet: PENISTON VS CERUNDOLO
Thursday, June 16th, TBD
Second round action from Halle and London wraps up on Thursday, as the quarterfinals for the year’s two biggest Wimbledon tuneup events are just about set.
For Thursday’s selection, the featured match takes place at Queen’s Club in London between Englishman Ryan Peniston and Francisco Cerundolo.
With this matchup on grass, the markets have Peniston the favourite, but not by a wide enough margin over his Argentinian counterpart.
The first reason is because of Peniston’s comfort on grass courts. Having played professional matches on a surface that barely graces the tennis calendar since his teenage years (he’s now 26 years old) is relevant. Especially against an opponent who’s played just four times on the slicker green courts and hails from a country that plays predominantly on clay – a surface that rewards the total opposite kinds of tactics.
Secondly, the form coming in from the Brit is more impressive than that of Cerundolo.
Despite a lopsided scoreline from the Argentinian in his opening round match against Pedro Martinez, it’s worth noting that he still faced 13 breakpoints, fending off an impressive 12 of them. Further, Martinez has been struggling mightily, and was playing on a surface he’s not very good on.
Peniston, meanwhile, has come up with wins against guys like Jack Draper and Adrian Mannarino, who are both very talented and whose games suit the grass very well. He also took down a massive server in Jiri Vesely and has a top-10 win this week over Casper Ruud. While Ruud is a clay courter by trade, he’s still capable on grass and his improved serve in 2022 is still tough to crack on the surface.
Finally, the matchup here also favours Peniston. With his serve playing up and his ability to grind his opponents down, paired with Cerundolo’s lack of margin for error on his groundstrokes, Peniston has a nice advantage from the baseline. His lefty game also puts his forehand up against Cerundolo’s weaker backhand wing in crosscourt rallies and should also be able to induce its fair share of errors.
With this easily being Cerundolo’s sternest test of his professional career on the surface and Peniston possessing the return game and southpaw skill set to give him fits, laying the games here with Peniston is the way to go.
- Selection: Peniston -2 games
- Odds: 1.93 (Pinnacle)
- Stakes: 4/10
Odds are valid as of 03:00 pm on 15th June 2022. Odds may now differ.