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tennis | Tuesday, June 21, 2022 8:22 AM

Tuesday's WTA Tennis Best Bet: Bad Homburg, June 21st

Tuesday's WTA Tennis Best Bet: Bad Homburg, June 21st
Contributor: Independent Photo Agency / Alamy Stock Photo


Tuesday, June 21st, TBD 

After a day full of rain in Germany, the weather looks set to clear up in Bad Homburg, for what could be a busy day of action in Germany in the final week of Wimbledon tuneup events.

Tuesday’s WTA selection features an opening round match from the German town to the north of Frankfurt between Amanda Anisimova and Alison van Uytvanck.

While it may seem foolish at this point to oppose the blistering form of the Belgian, that is precisely what I’ll be doing on Tuesday, for a few reasons.

It comes down to the current form of van Uytvanck and lack of grass matches in 2022 for Anisimova that keeps the pricing this close. Let’s examine why that is incorrect.

First, it comes down to the logic of Anisimova doing everything a bit better than her opponent in this one. While van Uytvanck possesses a strong serve and forehand combination, it doesn’t outmatch that of the younger American, whose game is also predicated around excellent power.

In terms of movement and return ability, the edge goes to Anisimova.

Secondly, while I do believe in form impacting prices, this has gone a bit far considering the level of competition that van Uytvanck has played during this 12-1 stretch on grass is nowhere near the level she’ll take on in Anisimova.

Her best win of the dozen was an extremely out of form Elise Mertens. The next best win? Either Tamara Korpatsch or Ysaline Bonaventure. It’s clear that the market is overvaluing this run of form through ITF-level competition and that provides a good opportunity to step in and take the other side.

Finally, one has to consider that this is the fourth week in a row van Uytvanck will be playing. She knows grass is her chance to amass points and money and has taken full advantage. That also means she’s played and travelled a lot during that stretch and we could very well see signs of fatigue creep into her game. Not ideal as you get ready to face your sternest test of the grass season to this point in Anisimova.

With all that tennis, one must also consider the motivation aspect here. Does van Uytvanck – with all these wins already under her belt – really feel the need to push it at another lower-level event before Wimbledon and all the prize money it could net her? On the flip side, Anisimova hasn’t played yet on the grass and would surely like a few matches to get herself acclimated to the surface before one of the year’s most prestigious events.

I’ll take the more talented player in this matchup with more incentive to make a run this week at a relatively cheap price. 

  • Selection: Anisimova to win
  • Odds: 1.95 (Pinnacle)
  • Stakes: 3/10


Odds are valid as of 10:00 am on 17th June 2022. Odds may now differ. 

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