Wednesday Tennis Best Bet: WTA 125K Buenos Aires, Ann Li vs Reka-Luca Jani
Ann Li vs Reka-Luca Jani Best Bet: Wednesday, November 16th
Tough opening set from Leolia Jeanjean, who couldn’t put any kind of depth on her shots and allowed Caroline Dolehide to treat her shots like target practice, keeping points short and hitting through the slower conditions easily.
From the second set on, however, the depth and topspin combination from the more experienced clay courter were on display and she moved the ball side-to-side very effectively, getting us a lovely (and rare) comeback victory – on an underdog play no less!
Onto Wednesday, where we’ll look at another match between an American who isn’t on her favourite surface on the red clay of Argentina, taking on a clay courter who will look to use that to her advantage, when Ann Li takes on Reka-Luca Jani.
In this article:
Ann Li vs Reka-Luca Jani Preview
November 16th, 15:00 UK Time
It’s interesting to see Ann Li electing to play a 125K series event in mid-November thousands of miles away from home. Let alone such an event on red clay.
In fact, this is the first ever event she’ll play on clay outside of the United States not named the French Open.
Needless to say, with American clay courts generally being the quicker green clay, that produces different bounces and plays much differently, Li is rather inexperienced playing in these slower conditions.
It’s the polar opposite for her opponent, with Jani being a journeywoman, whose career has been sustained by playing lower-tier ITF events on the slower dirt. The 31-year-old will actually reach the 70-match mark on clay (tour events only, not including four Bundesliga matches) Wednesday when she squares off with her younger counterpart.
That experience gap alone is something well worth paying attention to when it comes to handicapping this match. The stylistic matchup between these women is also something that I think skews in favour of the Hungarian veteran.
Without a big serve or powerful groundstrokes, point construction and rock-solid consistency are the names of the game for her, and that kind of gameplay is obviously rewarded most on the slower clay courts.
As for Li, her 2022 season has been a rough one, primarily because of her inability to play for long stretches without committing a slew of unforced errors. Slow the game down and put a defensively-minded player on the other side of the net? Not exactly the recipe for success for someone to keep the ball within the boundaries of the court.
With Li’s only match on clay this season coming at the French Open, where she had to retire while in the lead against Alison van Uytvanck (not exactly a clay specialist in her own right), it’ll be interesting to see how Li adapts to a surface she is far from familiar with.
Ann Li vs Reka-Luca Jani Best Bet
Given her lack of experience on the red dirt, her troubles with keeping the ball in play consistently even on quicker surfaces in 2022, and an opponent who’s made a career of playing these types of events on the clay, I’m stunned to see Li as a sizable favourite in the betting markets.
There’s no doubt Li has the bigger game and will look to dictate play as often as possible, but that is something Jani is accustomed to, and she’s well-equipped to deal with someone looking to play with pace on the other side of the net.
It was good to see Li win a few matches consecutively at the 125K in Midland a few weeks ago. I don’t think that a trio of three-set wins on quick, indoor hard courts should really factor into this price at all though.
I’m happy to back Jani to come through in this one, especially when priced as the underdog.
- Selection: Jani to win
- Best Odds: 2.52 (Coolbet)
- Stakes: 3/10
- Bonus: Jani to win at 2.52 odds with Coolbet for 2/10 stakes.
Odds as at 6:00 am on November 16th, 2022. Odds may now differ.