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Another loss on Thursday, as the December bleeding continues. Jaqueline Cristian created seven break points to Alycia Parks’ three, the American needed a medical timeout in the first set, and yet, Cristian couldn’t find even a set. Have to laugh at these runs of trash luck. Parks’ serve is strong. Unbroken in four matches good, it is not. Parks is playing some strong tennis, but getting fortunate to win almost every single big point she plays at the moment.
Onto Friday, where we’ll wrap up the week with a very small wager on the match between Anna Lena Friedsam and Emeline Dartron.
In this article:
December 9th, 10:00 UK Time
It’s been a much-needed stretch of strong play indoors for the German veteran, who has dropped well outside of the top 100 this season, after having a previous career high of world No. 45.
After a run to the final in Midland, she took down Croatian prospect Petra Marcinko on indoor hard courts and has looked good to this point in France, as well. Her game is serve and forehand driven, so the quicker conditions have been kind to her, and the lack of any conditions in terms of weather ensures her strengths aren’t neutralised as well.
That said, the market has certainly adapted to her strong form and we’re seeing her as a 5.5-game favourite in this one against the 22-year-old Dartron, who’s been playing decently of late in her own right.
After a few months off once clay season wrapped up, the Frenchwoman has found some success playing on hard courts indoors. Two of her four losses this indoor season have come in matches in which she’s retired, and a third came in a third-set tiebreak.
With the ability to break consistently, while still able to hold serve around 70% of the time at the 125K level, Dartron has managed to either put up strong wins, or keep her matches close.
Ultimately, I think this comes down to the fact that the betting markets have rapidly picked up on Friedsam’s strong run of form, whereas Dartron is still relatively unknown to many.
Two dominant wins in qualifying and then a win over Tamara Korpatsch as a massive underdog have shown, though, that her form is currently undervalued by the market.
In a sport that often sees players through to the next round with just 12 games won, a 5.5-game head start is enough for me to get involved.
I think the talent gap here sees Friedsam advance to the semifinals, but the handicap seems a tad exaggerated.
Odds as at 6:30 am on December 9th, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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