tennis | Wednesday, December 14, 2022 8:34 AM

Wednesday Tennis Best Bet: WTA 125K Limoges, Lucia Bronzetti vs Jana Fett

Jon Reid

Lucia Bronzetti vs Jana Fett Best Bet: Wednesday, December 14th

Well, that come-from-behind win was certainly welcome, as we look to continue to offset last week’s losses. Two wins from two bets this week, after Shuai Zhang managed to storm back from 2-6 down to find the win. The superiority in baseline exchanges in the final two sets was on full display, as Zhang managed to win the match, despite winning just 50% of her first serve points on a quick court against a subpar returner.

Onto Wednesday, where we’ll take a look at the match between Lucia Bronzetti and Jana Fett, as they battle it out for a spot in the quarterfinals.

In this article:

Lucia Bronzetti vs Jana Fett Preview
Lucia Bronzetti vs Jana Fett Best Bet

Lucia Bronzetti vs Jana Fett Preview

December 14th, 16:00 UK Time

Really intriguing matchup here between one player that is leagues ahead of the other at the moment in terms of ranking and skill level, taking on the other that probably is a little more comfortable in these conditions.

Ultimately, figuring out whether there is value is going to come down to what you weigh more heavily in your handicap of the contest.

For me, Bronzetti should be a much larger favourite than we’re currently seeing in the markets for several reasons.

For starters, Bronzetti is just head and shoulders ahead of Fett for my money at this juncture in their respective careers. She’s far more consistent, a much better mover, and while she prefers clay and slower courts, she’s found some success on hard courts at various points of the 2022 season.

Secondly, matchup wise I think she’ll fare pretty well against Fett. The aforementioned consistency and rally tolerance should help her elicit some unforced errors from the Croatian. She can also redirect pace with precision well, and against a poor mover in Fett, who will provide said pace off the forehand wing, she should find plenty of chances to hit into open space and win points. Finally, while many in the tennis community consider Bronzetti more of a pusher (a player that can’t generate any pace on their own), I believe that she isn’t given enough credit for her forehand, which can play a bit bigger than she gets credit for.

Finally, Fett’s form of late has been absolutely abysmal. Losses to the likes of Audrey Albie, Celine Naef and Emina Bektas are uninspiring (and Bektas plays a similar style, though with less talent, as Bronzetti), and I simply can’t understand how Bronzetti isn’t at least a 2:1 favourite (1.50 odds) in this one.

Lucia Bronzetti vs Jana Fett Best Bet

It appears to me as though we’re seeing the value on Bronzetti here mostly because there’s an assumption in the market that the surface preferences of these two evens this matchup out to a certain extent.

I’m not so sure about that, as I think that Bronzetti is more competent on hard courts than she’s being given credit for, she matches up decently in being able to counterpunch Fett’s power on the forehand, and she’s a much better player than all of the players that have beaten the Croatian of late.

To me, this is a WTA Tour level player taking on a mid-tier ITF calibre opponent and we’re seeing pricing in the 1.60 range? I’m happy to back that, especially considering Bronzetti’s last opponent (Jodie Anna Burrage) was a much more threatening opponent and the Italian passed that test with aplomb.