Querétaro FC vs. Puebla Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 5 October 2025

Strap in for an intriguing clash as Querétaro FC hosts Puebla at the Estadio La Corregidora on October 5th for Round 12 of the Liga MX.
Both teams find themselves languishing at the bottom of the table, with Querétaro in 17th and Puebla dead last in 18th place. Querétaro, led by coach Benjamin Mora, is slightly favored by the bookmakers, given their two wins in the last 10 games. Coach Hernan Cristante’s Puebla, however, hasn’t tasted victory in eight consecutive matches.
Expect a tight game as neither team boasts a prolific attack. Querétaro averages just 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, while Puebla fares slightly better at 1 goal per game. Adding to the defensive struggles, both sides have several injuries and suspensions impacting their lineup—Querétaro’s key player Federico Lertora remains doubtful with a calf injury.
Given all these factors, our recommended bet is for under 2.5 goals, a trend seen in 88% of their past encounters.

Querétaro FC vs Puebla Prediction & Betting Tip

Both Querétaro FC and Puebla have struggled to find the back of the net this season, making a low-scoring game highly probable. Querétaro averages just 0.8 goals per game in their last five outings, while Puebla isn’t much better with 1 goal per game.

Here are three reasons why "Under 2.5 Goals" is our recommended bet:

• Recent encounters between these teams have mostly been low-scoring, with 88% of their past eight meetings seeing under 2.5 goals.
• Both teams have inconsistent attacking form; Puebla hasn’t won in eight consecutive matches while Querétaro’s last five games include two goalless matches.
• Key injuries and suspensions affect both sides, limiting their attacking options and likely resulting in a cautious, low-risk approach.

Given these conditions, under 2.5 goals is a solid betting tip with good odds.

Querétaro FC vs Puebla Odds

Getting a handle on the odds can significantly enhance your match analysis. For this clash between Querétaro FC and Puebla, the bookmakers have slightly tipped the balance in favor of the home side, Querétaro FC, albeit marginally.

Here’s a breakdown of the odds:

These odds reflect the slim margin between the two teams’ current forms. Querétaro’s slight favorite tag aligns with their marginally better recent performance, having secured 2 wins in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, Puebla’s prolonged winless streak of eight matches underscores why their odds for victory aren’t very compelling.

Given their low-scoring tendencies, betting on under 2.5 goals could be a smart move. Keep these odds in mind as you consider your betting strategy for the match.

Querétaro FC Team Analysis

Querétaro FC Recent Performance:

Querétaro FC’s form has been patchy at best in their last five outings. They’ve managed:

• A 0-2 loss to Tigres.
• A 2-2 draw against Cruz Azul.
• A promising 2-0 win over Pachuca.
• A narrow 1-0 defeat by Monterrey.
• A heavy 3-0 loss to León.

This run of results gives them a recent form of LLDWL.
In these matches, Querétaro has managed an average of just 0.8 goals per game, showcasing their struggles in front of goal. They’ve only kept one clean sheet in their last five games, underlining their defensive vulnerabilities.

Overall, their performances hint at a team that is fighting hard but struggling to find consistency. As a result, both scoring and defending have been inconsistent areas for improvement. Coach Benjamin Mora will need better offensive output to rise from their current 17th place in the standings.

Querétaro FC Key Players

Querétaro FC will be looking towards their key contributors to make an impact against Puebla. Leading the line is Santiago Homenchenko, the team’s top scorer with 4 goals this season. His prowess in front of goal will be crucial in a match where clear-cut chances might be limited.
In the midfield, Rodrigo Bogarín is expected to pull the strings as the chief playmaker. His vision and creativity will be instrumental in breaking down Puebla’s defense. Michael Carcelén and Angel Zapata will anchor the midfield, providing both defensive stability and support in attack.

Here’s the expected lineup for Querétaro FC:

• Goalkeeper: Guillermo Allison
• Defenders: Jaime Gomez, Santiago Homenchenko, Diego Reyes, Francisco Venegas
• Midfielders: Michael Carcelén, Angel Zapata, Jhojan Julio, Rodrigo Bogarín, Lucas Rodriguez
• Forward: Ali Avila

Querétaro will need their key players to step up, especially with the absence of Mateo Coronel due to suspension. Santiago Homenchenko’s battle against Puebla’s central defenders will be one to watch.

Querétaro FC Suspensions & Injuries

Querétaro FC will have to navigate some significant absences for their clash against Puebla. Federico Lertora, a key figure in their midfield, is doubtful due to a calf injury, reducing their midfield strength. He has been crucial in both offensive builds and defensive duties, so his absence could expose gaps in the middle of the park.
Additionally, Carlo Garcia is on the injury list with a knee issue and isn’t expected to return until mid-October 2025. His defensive prowess will be missed, potentially making Querétaro’s backline more vulnerable.
To add to their woes, Mateo Coronel, an important attacking midfielder, is suspended following a red card and will sit this match out. Missing his creative spark could hamper their ability to generate scoring opportunities.
These absences make it crucial for the remaining squad to step up and deliver, making the task tougher for Coach Benjamin Mora as they try to climb out of the 17th spot in the standings.

Querétaro FC Tactics and Formation

Querétaro FC’s tactical approach has been relatively fluid, though they primarily line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation.
Querétaro FC Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Ali Avila
• Midfield Core: Michael Carcelén, Angel Zapata
• Defensive Setup: One clean sheet in the last five matches, indicating some struggles in defense.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on width and crossing, aiming to exploit the flanks through wingers Jhojan Julio and Lucas Rodriguez.

The choice of a 4-2-3-1 formation blends defensive solidity with attacking potential, aiming for a balanced approach. The full-backs, Jaime Gomez and Francisco Venegas, will look to provide overlapping runs, supporting their wingers.
Facing Puebla, it will be crucial for Querétaro to keep their shape and capitalize on set-pieces, given their goalscoring difficulties. Coach Benjamin Mora will expect his team to remain compact and organized, making the most of their limited opportunities.

Puebla Team Analysis

Puebla Recent Performance:

Puebla’s recent form has been disappointing, to say the least. Their last five matches have included:

• A 0-2 loss to CD Guadalajara.
• A 2-2 draw against Pachuca.
• A 1-0 defeat by Necaxa.
• A 3-1 loss to Toluca.
• A 4-2 home defeat against Monterrey.

This translates to a recent form of LLLDL.
Despite scoring an average of 1 goal per game in these outings, Puebla has consistently struggled to keep the opposition at bay, failing to secure any clean sheets. Their defensive frailties have been a significant concern, conceding 12 goals in the last five games. Coach Hernan Cristante will aim to shore up his defense and find some attacking fluency to arrest their slide and climb off the bottom of the standings.

Puebla Key Players

Puebla will depend heavily on their key performers to navigate this challenging fixture against Querétaro FC. Emiliano Gómez, the top scorer for Puebla with 3 goals this season, will lead the attack and look to exploit any defensive lapses from Querétaro. His pace and finishing ability will be vital if Puebla is to convert their opportunities into goals.
Midfield dynamo Ariel Gamarra is another crucial player. His work rate and ability to control the tempo could prove pivotal in breaking down Querétaro’s midfield defenses.

Expected lineup for Puebla:

• Goalkeeper: Julio Gonzalez
• Defenders: Juan Fedorco, Alejandro Organista, Nicolás Díaz, Fernando Monárrez
• Midfielders: Edgar Guerra, Ariel Gamarra, Miguel Ramirez, Emiliano Gómez
• Forwards: Ricardo Marin, Esteban Lozano

Key battles to watch include Emiliano Gómez against Santiago Homenchenko, and Ariel Gamarra’s duel with Michael Carcelén in the midfield. These individual matchups could well determine the outcome of the game.

Puebla Suspensions & Injuries

Puebla is grappling with significant injuries that could impact their performance against Querétaro FC.
First and foremost, attacking threat Fernando Aristeguieta remains sidelined with a broken foot, leaving a noticeable gap in their offensive lineup. His recovery timeline remains uncertain, which is a considerable loss for Puebla given his knack for scoring crucial goals.
Lucas Cavallini’s absence, due to a cruciate ligament injury, further complicates matters. Slated for a late March 2026 return, Cavallini’s physical presence and clinical finishing are sorely missed in Puebla’s attack.
While there are no suspensions for this match, the absence of these key players means Puebla will have to find alternative sources of goals and creativity from within their ranks. This likely puts added pressure on Emiliano Gómez and Ariel Gamarra to step up and fill the void.

Puebla Tactics and Formation

Puebla’s tactical approach has seen some variation, but they typically set up in a 4-4-2 formation, aiming for a balanced attack and defense.
Puebla Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Emiliano Gómez
• Midfield Core: Ariel Gamarra, Miguel Ramirez
• Defensive Setup: No clean sheets in the last five matches, indicating defensive frailties.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on counter-attacks, leveraging the pace of Emiliano Gómez and Ricardo Marin to exploit defensive gaps.

Puebla will likely aim to keep things tight in the back while hitting Querétaro on the counter. With two strikers up front, including top scorer Emiliano Gómez, they’ll hope to create and capitalize on breakaway chances. The defensive line, led by Nicolás Díaz, will need to stand firm to prevent a repeat of recent lapses that have cost them dearly.
Coach Hernan Cristante will emphasize defensive discipline and quick transitions to make the most of limited opportunities, considering their current form and injury concerns.

Querétaro FC vs Puebla Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five encounters between Querétaro FC and Puebla offers some interesting insights. The results are as follows:

• Querétaro FC 2-0 Puebla: 2025-03-02, Liga MX Clausura
• Puebla 2-1 Querétaro FC: 2024-09-14, Liga MX Apertura
• Puebla 0-2 Querétaro FC: 2024-02-24, Liga MX Clausura
• Querétaro FC 1-1 Puebla: 2023-09-17, Liga MX Apertura
• Puebla 2-0 Querétaro FC: 2023-01-14, Liga MX Clausura

The head-to-head record is balanced, with both sides securing two wins each and one draw. Querétaro has had the upper hand in the most recent encounter, winning 2-0.

These matches have generally seen fewer goals scored, with less than 2.5 goals in 88% of their last eight meetings. This low-scoring trend aligns well with both teams’ recent struggles in attack and further supports our recommended betting tip of under 2.5 goals.
These historical performances and statistics could heavily influence expectations and strategies for the upcoming clash.

Odds accurate as of 03.10.2025 00:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.