Atlas vs. Necaxa Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 28 September 2025

Brace yourselves for an exciting clash in the Liga MX as Atlas take on Necaxa at Estadio Jalisco. Despite their standings in the league, with Atlas languishing in 17th and Necaxa in 14th, this match offers plenty of drama and intrigue. Atlas have been struggling defensively, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game this season, and will be desperate to improve their form.

Atlas have only collected seven points so far, and they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last five games. Their top scorer Uros Djurdjevic, with three goals, will be pivotal if they want to break their winless streak. Diego Cocca will likely stick with a 5-4-1 formation, aiming to fortify their leaky defense.

Necaxa, coached by Fernando Gago, have also had their fair share of struggles but enter this match as the slight favourites. While their defense is not the most robust, conceding 1.8 goals on average, they can capitalize on Atlas’s vulnerabilities. Expect Pavel Perez, with two goals, to pose a threat.

Given both teams’ defensive frailties, a recommended bet is for both teams to score. This prediction is supported by Atlas’s trend of having both teams score in 70% of their matches.

This game could be a turning point for either side as they look to climb up the Liga MX table.

Atlas vs Necaxa Prediction & Betting Tip

Atlas vs Necaxa Prediction
Betting tip	Both Teams to Score (Yes)
Odds	1.54

Best Bet Recommendation: Both Teams to Score (Yes)

Reasoning:

1. Atlas’s Defensive Vulnerability: Atlas has conceded 24 goals in 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals per match, and has not kept a clean sheet, making it likely they’ll concede again.
2. Necaxa’s Scoring Ability: Necaxa has scored 9 goals in 10 matches, including a recent 4-0 victory over Atlas. They are well-positioned to exploit Atlas’s defensive weaknesses.
3. High Percentage of Both Teams Scoring: Atlas has seen both teams score in 70% of their matches, and Necaxa in 60%, indicating a strong trend for both sides to find the net.

These factors make betting on Both Teams to Score (Yes) a statistically supported and compelling choice for this Liga MX encounter.

Atlas vs Necaxa Odds

When it comes to placing a bet on this Liga MX showdown, the odds reveal an interesting picture. Despite their lower standing, Necaxa is favoured slightly by the bookmakers.

Atlas vs Necaxa Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Atlas	2.75
Draw	3.50
Necaxa	2.29

These odds suggest that Necaxa is expected to have a slight edge in this encounter.

Atlas still have a fighting chance, especially playing at home. The underdog status might play into their hands, spurring a surprise performance. Still, with their defensive struggles and Necaxa’s ability to capitalize, the bookmakers see Necaxa as the slight favourite.

Breaking it down:

• Necaxa is favoured due to recent results and better form.
• Atlas could be a dark horse, especially if their key players step up.
• Draw has relatively high odds, indicating a close contest.

Consider these factors when making your bet!

Atlas Team Analysis

Atlas Recent Performance

Atlas has not had the best run of form recently, with their last five matches resulting in 2 losses and 3 draws, summarized as LLDDL.

Their recent games highlight their defensive struggles, conceding 2.4 goals on average per match over the season. They haven’t managed a single clean sheet in their last five matches, which is a concern for coach Diego Cocca.

Atlas did show some attacking promise by scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game in their last five outings. However, their defense has been their Achilles’ heel, constantly letting them down. Despite these struggles, Uros Djurdjevic’s presence upfront with 3 goals offers a glimmer of hope.

Their performances thus far indicate the necessity for a more solid defensive strategy if they aim to turn their season around.

Atlas Key Players

Atlas will be relying heavily on their key figures to turn their recent fortunes around. Leading the charge will be their top scorer, Uros Djurdjevic, who has netted 3 goals this season. Djurdjevic’s ability to find the back of the net will be crucial against Necaxa’s defense. In midfield, Diego González and Mateo Ezequiel Garcia are expected to provide the creative spark and supply Djurdjevic with scoring opportunities.

Defensively, players like Gustavo Ferrareis and Rober Pier will need to step up to reduce the average goals conceded, which is currently at 2.4 per match.

Expected lineup for Atlas:

• Goalkeeper: Camilo Vargas
• Defenders: Gustavo Ferrareis, Gaddi Aguirre, Rober Pier, Adrian Mora, Rivaldo Lozano
• Midfielders: Diego González, Victor Rios, Paulo Ramírez, Mateo Ezequiel Garcia
• Forward: Uros Djurdjevic

Individual battles to watch include Djurdjevic against Necaxa’s central defenders, Alexis Peña and Agustín Oliveros, which could be decisive for the outcome.

Atlas Suspensions & Injuries

Atlas are dealing with some significant injury issues that could affect their performance against Necaxa. Mauro Manotas, Edgar Zaldivar, and Carlos Cruz are all sidelined with cruciate ligament injuries, impacting their attacking and midfield options. Manotas’s absence until early October, Zaldivar’s until early January 2026, and Cruz’s until early November 2025, mean Atlas will need to rely heavily on their current squad depth.

Additionally, Jorge Rodriguez is doubtful due to a hamstring injury, further limiting their defensive stability. These injuries strain coach Diego Cocca’s ability to field his best XI, making it challenging to shore up their defense and enhance their attack.

With these notable absences, Atlas face an uphill battle to improve their form and climb the Liga MX standings.

Atlas Tactics and Formation

Atlas Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-4-1
• Key Forward: Uros Djurdjevic, with three goals this season, will be the focal point of their attack.
• Midfield Quartet: Diego González, Victor Rios, Paulo Ramírez, and Mateo Ezequiel Garcia
• Defensive Challenges: No clean sheets in the last five games and conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match.
• Notable Strategy: Likely to aim for a sturdy defensive setup and rely on counter-attacks, given their formation and recent defensive woes.

Coach Diego Cocca has consistently deployed a 5-4-1 formation to provide extra defensive cover. However, with Atlas conceding heavily, adjustments in midfield are critical. The team will look to utilize the pace and creativity of their wide midfielders, Diego González and Mateo Ezequiel Garcia, while relying on Djurdjevic to capitalize on any attacking opportunities.

Necaxa Team Analysis

Necaxa Recent Performance

Necaxa has had a mixed bag of recent performances, with their last five matches summarized as LLDWL. They managed a win against Puebla, but losses to CD Guadalajara, Tijuana, and Monterrey have dampened their progress.

Necaxa has scored an average of 0.60 goals per game in these recent matches, highlighting their struggles in front of goal. They only managed to keep one clean sheet in their last five outings, which underscores their defensive vulnerabilities.

Despite these inconsistencies, Necaxa’s 4-0 win over Atlas earlier this year will boost their confidence. The team averages 1.8 goals conceded per match, indicating a need for defensive improvement if they aim to secure a better league position.

Fernando Gago will need his team to be more consistent in both defense and attack to climb the standings.

Necaxa Key Players

Necaxa will look to their key players to make a difference against Atlas. Pavel Perez, their top scorer with two goals, will be crucial upfront. His ability to break through Atlas’s shaky defense could be a game-changer. In midfield, Diego De Buen and Agustin Palavecino are essential for creating scoring opportunities and controlling the tempo of the game.

In defense, Alexis Pena and Agustin Oliveros will be tasked with containing Atlas’s Uros Djurdjevic, forming a critical defensive line to keep their opponents at bay. Given that Necaxa has only kept one clean sheet in their last five games, their defensive duo will need to be at their best.

Expected lineup for Necaxa:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Ezequiel Unsain
• Defenders: Kevin Rosero, Alexis Pena, Agustin Oliveros, Cristian Calderon
• Midfielders: Diego De Buen, Jose Ivan Rodríguez, Ricardo Monreal, Agustin Palavecino, Pavel Uriel Pérez
• Forward: Tomas Badaloni

Look out for the battle between Djurdjevic and Necaxa’s central defenders, which could prove decisive.

Necaxa Suspensions & Injuries

Necaxa is fortunate to have no suspensions impacting their squad for the upcoming clash against Atlas. However, they do have one critical injury concern. Emilio Lara is out due to an elbow injury and is expected to return in early October 2025, which means he will miss this match.

The absence of Lara weakens their defensive options, but coach Fernando Gago can still field a solid lineup. Missing a player like Lara requires other defenders, particularly Kevin Rosero and Cristian Calderon, to step up their game to keep a clean sheet against Atlas.

Given their recent performances and existing squad depth, Necaxa’s tactical flexibility will be tested but should not be significantly hampered.

Necaxa Tactics and Formation

Necaxa Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Tomas Badaloni, expected to lead the line and be the focal point of their attacking play.
• Midfield Configuration: Diego De Buen and José Ivan Rodríguez as defensive midfielders, providing a solid base, with Agustin Palavecino operating as the attacking midfielder.
• Defensive Strength: Necaxa has only kept one clean sheet in their last five games, indicating an area for improvement.
• Notable Strategy: Necaxa tends to score most of their goals within the 16-30 and 61-75 minute intervals, suggesting they will look to dominate these phases of play.

Coach Fernando Gago likes to set up with a structured defense while relying on their midfield to control the game and create opportunities. With Pavel Perez on the left wing and Ricardo Monreal on the right, Necaxa will look to stretch Atlas’s defense and provide Badaloni with scoring chances.

Atlas vs Necaxa Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five head-to-head encounters between Atlas and Necaxa offers insightful trends. Out of these matches, Necaxa holds a significant edge with two victories and three draws, showcasing their upper hand in recent clashes.

• 2025-02-19 Liga MX Clausura: Atlas 0 – 4 Necaxa
• 2024-11-10 Liga MX Apertura: Necaxa 0 – 0 Atlas
• 2024-01-15 Liga MX Clausura: Necaxa 2 – 1 Atlas
• 2023-11-11 Liga MX Apertura: Atlas 0 – 0 Necaxa
• 2023-04-22 Liga MX Clausura: Necaxa 1 – 3 Atlas

Necaxa’s most recent 4-0 triumph over Atlas in February 2025 underscores their potential to capitalize on Atlas’s defensive frailties. However, it’s worth noting that both teams have managed to hold each other to draws in two of their past five meetings.

These results convey that while Necaxa has held the upper hand, Atlas has shown resilience in holding Necaxa to draws.

Given this history, expect a competitive match with possible goal-scoring opportunities on both ends.

Odds accurate as of 26.09.2025 00:03, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.