Leon vs. Monterrey Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 12 August 2025

Football fans are in for a treat as Leon host Monterrey at Estadio Nou Camp on 12 August 2025, in the fourth round of Liga MX. This game is crucial for both teams, each navigating different parts of the league table.

Leon, currently sitting in 15th place with 3 points, will be looking to leverage their home advantage to turn around a series of poor results. Monterrey, in contrast, are sixth with 6 points and will aim to maintain their upper-table standing. The bookmakers favour Monterrey, priced at 2.15 for an away win, reflecting their strong form and impressive squad.

Monterrey’s German Berterame, who has netted 4 goals in the last three matches, will be a key player to watch. Meanwhile, Leon’s top scorer, James Rodriguez, will need to elevate his performance to secure a home win.

Looking at recent meetings, Monterrey have often had the upper hand, winning four of the last five matches against Leon, including a 2-0 victory in their latest encounter at Estadio Nou Camp.

Recommended bet: Monterrey -0.50 (AH), as they are expected to maintain their high-performance levels and continue their winning streak against Leon.

Leon vs Monterrey Prediction & Betting Tip

Leon vs Monterrey Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Monterrey -0.50 (AH)	2.15

• Monterrey’s strong recent performance:
  Monterrey have won four of their last five encounters against Leon, which gives them a psychological advantage.
• Prolific goal-scoring:
  Monterrey’s German Berterame has been in exceptional form, scoring 4 goals in just 3 matches this season. His ability to find the back of the net could be critical in securing a win.
• Current standings favor Monterrey:
  Monterrey are currently 6th in the league with 6 points, compared to Leon who sit 15th with just 3 points. Such standings indicate that Monterrey are in better form overall.

Given these factors, betting on Monterrey -0.50 (AH) is recommended as they are expected to maintain their high-performance levels and continue their winning streak against Leon.

Leon vs Monterrey Odds

Looking at the betting odds for the upcoming Liga MX clash between Leon and Monterrey, it’s clear that Monterrey are the bookmakers’ favorites. Given their recent form and higher league standing, this is hardly surprising. Below is a breakdown of the odds:

Leon vs Monterrey Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Leon	3.07
Draw	3.43
Monterrey	2.15

Monterrey’s odds of 2.15 for an away win reflect their strong performances and goal-scoring capabilities, especially with key player German Berterame in prolific form.

Leon’s odds of 3.07 as the home side suggest the difficulty they face given their recent struggles, whereas a draw stands at 3.43.

These odds structure the potential outcomes nicely and create exciting betting opportunities.

Leon Team Analysis

Leon Recent Performance

Leon’s recent form has been disappointing, managing just one win in their last five matches. Their recent results have been:

• Columbus Crew 1-0 Leon
• New York City FC 2-0 Leon
• CF Montreal 1-1 Leon (Penalty shoot-out: 7-6)
• Cruz Azul 4-1 Leon
• Leon 1-0 CD Guadalajara

Their current form suggests they are struggling to find consistency. Leon have scored an average of 1.80 goals in their last five games but have only managed to keep one clean sheet in that period. Being 15th in the Liga MX standings, their performance needs to improve dramatically if they hope to climb the table. The lack of clean sheets and recent losses highlight issues in both defense and attack, something head coach Eduardo Berizzo will need to address urgently.

Leon Key Players

Leon will rely heavily on their top scorer, James Rodriguez, who has already found the net once this season. His role as the right winger in the expected lineup will be crucial in breaking through Monterrey’s defense. Leon will field a solid squad, with Oscar Jimenez between the sticks and a defense comprising Ivan Moreno, Jaine Stiven Barreiro, Adonis Frias, and Salvador Reyes. The midfield features Rodrigo Echeverria and Nicolás Fonseca in defensive roles, while the attack will see Fernando Beltran as the attacking midfielder flanked by James Rodriguez on the right and Ismael Díaz on the left, with Rogelio Funes Mori leading the line upfront.

Expected lineup for Leon:

• Goalkeeper: Oscar Jimenez
• Defenders: Ivan Moreno, Jaine Stiven Barreiro, Adonis Frias, Salvador Reyes
• Midfielders: Rodrigo Echeverria, Nicolás Fonseca, Fernando Beltran
• Attackers: James Rodriguez, Ismael Díaz, Rogelio Funes Mori

James Rodriguez and Rogelio Funes Mori’s ability to combine and create scoring opportunities will be pivotal for Leon as they seek to overcome their recent lackluster form.

Leon Suspensions & Injuries

Leon head into the match with no suspensions or injuries, which is a significant advantage for head coach Eduardo Berizzo as he seeks to reverse their poor form. Having a fully fit squad offers Leon the opportunity to field their strongest lineup, providing better chances of securing a positive result against Monterrey.

The full availability of their key players, including James Rodriguez and Rogelio Funes Mori, means that Leon can field a balanced team capable of both defensive solidity and attacking threat. This lack of absences ensures continuity and allows the team to focus on tactical adjustments rather than worry about missing personnel.

The challenge now lies in capitalizing on this full-strength squad to deliver a much-needed victory.

Leon Tactics and Formation

Leon Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Rogelio Funes Mori
• Midfield Trio: Rodrigo Echeverria, Nicolás Fonseca, Fernando Beltran
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Focus on strong wing play with James Rodriguez and Ismael Díaz

Leon is expected to adopt a 4-2-3-1 formation for the match against Monterrey, with Rogelio Funes Mori leading the attack. The midfield will rely on the defensive stability of Rodrigo Echeverria and Nicolás Fonseca, while Fernando Beltran will play an advanced role, supporting both defense and attack.

The team’s primary strategy will be to exploit the wings through James Rodriguez on the right and Ismael Díaz on the left, aiming to supply crosses and create scoring opportunities for Funes Mori.

Defensively, the focus will be on maintaining shape and reducing errors, something they have struggled with recently, as evidenced by only one clean sheet in their last five matches.

Monterrey Team Analysis

Monterrey Recent Performance

Monterrey has shown a mixed but largely positive form in their last five matches:

• Monterrey 0-2 Charlotte FC
• Monterrey 1-1 New York Red Bulls (Penalty shoot-out: 5-3)
• Monterrey 2-3 FC Cincinnati
• Monterrey 3-1 Atlas
• Atletico de San Luis 0-1 Monterrey

Winning three of their last five matches, their form is represented as WWLWL. Monterrey’s attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 2.40 goals scored in their last five games. Despite their offensive strength, they have managed just one clean sheet in that period, indicating possible vulnerability in defense.

Monterrey stands sixth in the Liga MX with 6 points, a testament to their overall solid performances. Their current form suggests they have the capability to continue their strong run and are likely to pose a significant challenge for Leon in their upcoming encounter.

Monterrey Key Players

Monterrey will rely heavily on their star striker, Germán Berterame, who has been in exceptional form, scoring 4 goals in just three matches this season. He will be a critical component in Monterrey’s attacking setup and a constant threat to León’s backline.

Key player matchups to watch for include Berterame against León’s central defenders, Jaine Stiven Barreiro and Adonis Frias. Their ability to contain him could be pivotal to the game’s outcome.

Expected lineup for Monterrey:

• Goalkeeper: Santiago Mele
• Defenders: Sergio Ramos, Stefan Medina, Víctor Andrés Guzmán
• Midfielders: Erick Aguirre, Jorge Rodríguez, Óliver Torres, Luis Ricardo Reyes
• Attackers: Sergio Canales, Germán Berterame, Jesús Manuel Corona

The midfield will be orchestrated by Jorge Rodríguez and Óliver Torres, aiming to dominate possession and create opportunities for the front three. With an average of 2.40 goals scored in their last five games, Monterrey’s attacking unit is expected to perform at a high level.

Monterrey Suspensions & Injuries

Monterrey will face Leon with a few notable absences, which could impact the team’s dynamics:

• Carlos Salcedo: Out with a cruciate ligament injury, he is expected to return by mid-August 2025.
• Esteban Andrada: Sidelined due to an elbow injury, with a potential return also by mid-August 2025.
• Fidel Ambriz: Dealing with a knock he sustained and is doubtful for the upcoming match.
• Ricardo Chavez: Serving a suspension due to a yellow/red card, with one match left on his ban.

The absence of key defensive players like Salcedo and Andrada means Monterrey will need to rely on their depth, particularly in defence. Ricardo Chavez’s suspension could also hinder their defensive solidity, putting extra pressure on the likes of Sergio Ramos and Stefan Medina. Nevertheless, their attacking strength should compensate for these absences.

Monterrey Tactics and Formation

Monterrey Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-3
• Key Forward: Germán Berterame
• Midfield Quartet: Erick Aguirre, Jorge Rodríguez, Oliver Torres, Luis Ricardo Reyes
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Prioritizing a high-press attack with emphasis on swift transitions

Monterrey are expected to line up in a 3-4-3 formation for their clash against León. Germán Berterame remains the focal point of their attack, already proving his worth with four goals in three matches this season. The midfield, bolstered by the likes of Erick Aguirre, Jorge Rodríguez, Oliver Torres, and Luis Ricardo Reyes, will look to dominate possession and facilitate quick transitions from defense to attack.

Defensively, Monterrey have had just one clean sheet in their last five games, which could be an area of concern, especially with key players like Carlos Salcedo and Esteban Andrada sidelined. However, their attacking strategy will hinge on overwhelming León with high-press tactics and rapid counterattacks, making full use of their speed and precision in the final third.

Leon vs Monterrey Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, Monterrey has emerged as the dominant side against Leon, having won three, drawn one, and lost just once. Here’s a quick look at their recent head-to-head results:

• Leon 0-2 Monterrey (21 April 2025)
• Monterrey 2-1 Leon (11 November 2024)
• Leon 2-0 Monterrey (20 April 2024)
• Monterrey 3-1 Leon (17 September 2023)
• Leon 1-1 Monterrey (28 February 2023)

Monterrey’s recent victories include a 2-0 win at Estadio Nou Camp in April 2025, underscoring their ability to perform well away from home.

This track record gives Monterrey a psychological edge and suggests they can maintain their strong form against Leon. These statistics highlight Monterrey’s upper hand and why they are bookmaker favorites for this clash.

Venue and Weather

Stadium Details:

• Venue: Estadio Nou Camp
• Capacity: Approximately 31,297

Estadio Nou Camp, the home ground of Leon, provides an electric atmosphere for Liga MX matches. Known for its passionate supporters, the stadium can be an intimidating venue for visiting teams, adding an extra layer of challenge for Monterrey.

Weather Forecast:

• Date: 12 August 2025
• Conditions: The precise weather details are not currently available; however, it’s usually warm and humid in August in Leon.

These conditions typically favor teams with greater stamina and fitness levels, as the players need to manage their energy effectively in potentially sweltering temperatures. Both teams may adjust their tactics accordingly:

• Leon: Likely to focus on conserving energy with a more structured and tactical approach, aiming to capitalize on counter-attacks.
• Monterrey: Could leverage their high-press attacking style from the outset, hoping to secure an early lead and control the pace of the game.

Fans should expect a thrilling contest, with the weather possibly playing a significant role in the outcome.

Odds accurate as of 11.08.2025 13:10, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.