Tijuana vs. CD Guadalajara Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 23 August 2025

In the early hours of 23 August 2025, Liga MX action continues at the Estadio Caliente as Tijuana hosts CD Guadalajara. This fixture pits the 7th-placed Tijuana, who have gathered 8 points so far, against a struggling CD Guadalajara sitting in 16th with just 3 points. Despite being lower in the standings, CD Guadalajara is the bookmakers’ favorite.

Tijuana enters this match with a decent form (LWLDW) and will hope to leverage their recent 2-0 win against Pachuca. Key player Kevin Castaneda, the top scorer for Tijuana with 2 goals, is expected to make an impact. On the contrary, CD Guadalajara’s recent form (LWWLL) suggests inconsistency, with defensive concerns highlighted by the fact they have not kept a clean sheet in their last five games. It’s notable that CD Guadalajara has conceded most goals between the 61-75 minutes this season, a potential weakness Tijuana could exploit.

Both teams have a trend of finding the net, which aligns perfectly with our match recommendation to bet on both teams to score.

Tijuana vs CD Guadalajara Prediction & Betting Tip

Our best bet recommendation for this match is Both Teams to Score (Yes). Here’s why:

Tijuana vs CD Guadalajara Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Both Teams to Score (Yes)	1.65

• Scoring and Conceding Patterns: Tijuana has scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches (1.40 per match) and conceded 6 (1.20 per match), while CD Guadalajara has scored 5 goals in 4 matches (1.25 per match) and conceded 7 (1.75 per match). This indicates both teams are capable of scoring and have vulnerabilities in defense.
• Recent Matches: Tijuana’s recent games have seen both teams score in 60% of their matches, and CD Guadalajara in 50%. This trend suggests a high likelihood of both teams finding the net.
• Head-to-Head History: In their last 5 meetings, both teams have scored in multiple encounters, including the most recent match where CD Guadalajara won 2-1.

Given these factors, betting on "Both Teams to Score (Yes)" is supported by the statistical trends and recent performances of both teams.

Tijuana vs CD Guadalajara Odds

The odds for this early morning Liga MX clash at Estadio Caliente indicate a closely contested affair, with CD Guadalajara slightly favored despite their lower league standing. Here’s a detailed look at the odds:

Tijuana vs CD Guadalajara Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Tijuana	2.65
Draw	3.43
CD Guadalajara	2.40

These odds suggest that while CD Guadalajara is a marginal favorite, it’s still a very open match. Tijuana’s decent home form and current better position in the standings (7th with 8 points) could make them an attractive underdog bet at 2.65. Conversely, given CD Guadalajara’s inconsistency and defensive vulnerabilities, a draw at 3.43 might also appeal to punters seeking value. For those anticipating goals, our recommendation for both teams to score may also present a lucrative opportunity.

Tijuana Team Analysis

Tijuana Recent Performance ()

Tijuana have displayed mixed form in their recent matches, with a record of 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw:

• Pachuca 0 – 2 Tijuana (Win)
• Mazatlan FC 2 – 2 Tijuana (Draw)
• Seattle Sounders FC 2 – 1 Tijuana (Loss)
• Colorado Rapids 1 – 2 Tijuana (Win)
• LA Galaxy 5 – 2 Tijuana (Loss)

Despite this inconsistency, they have managed to gather 8 points, placing them 7th in Liga MX. Scoring has not been an issue for Tijuana, with an average of 1.8 goals per match over the last five games. However, defensively they have only managed to keep one clean sheet in that period. Notably, Kevin Castaneda has been a crucial player, having scored 2 goals so far in the tournament. Additionally, the team’s pronounced tendency to pick up yellow cards—averaging 2.8 per game—might be an area of concern.

Tijuana Key Players

When it comes to Tijuana, Kevin Castaneda stands out as their top scorer with 2 goals this season. His performances in the midfield have made him a crucial player to watch. Alongside him, Ramiro Arciga upfront and Antonio Rodriguez in goal will have significant roles to play.

The expected lineup for Tijuana is:

• Goalkeeper: Antonio Rodriguez
• Defenders: Rafael Fernandez, Jackson Porozo, Domingo Blanco, Pablo Ortiz
• Midfielders: Kevin Castaneda, Frank Boya, Ivan Tona, Jesus Gomez, Gilberto Mora
• Forward: Ramiro Arciga

The midfield battle, particularly between Castaneda and CD Guadalajara’s Luis Romo, could be pivotal. Moreover, Tijuana will look to exploit Guadalajara’s defensive weaknesses, especially given their tendency to concede goals between the 61st and 75th minutes.

Tijuana Suspensions & Injuries

For the upcoming match against CD Guadalajara, Tijuana is dealing with a knock injury to Unai Bilbao, whose potential return remains doubtful. Bilbao’s absence could be a setback for Tijuana, particularly in solidifying their defense.

With only one clean sheet in their last five games, Tijuana’s defense will need to tighten up to avoid being exposed. The team’s slight defensive frailty could be exacerbated further without Bilbao’s presence. His experience and steadiness at the back are assets that could be missed. Otherwise, Tijuana has no additional suspensions or injuries to worry about, enabling them to field a strong lineup capable of scoring and potentially securing a win.

Tijuana Tactics and Formation

For the upcoming match, Tijuana is expected to adopt a flexible formation most likely resembling a 4-5-1 setup, which has been commonly used in their recent games. This formation allows them to solidify their midfield and counter-attack effectively.

Tijuana Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Ramiro Arciga
• Midfield Quintet: Kevin Castaneda, Frank Boya, Ivan Tona, Jesus Gomez, Gilberto Mora
• Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Scoring Trend: Most goals scored in the 31-45-minute interval

Their strategy revolves around controlling the midfield with their five-midfielder setup, creating opportunities through the wings, and exploiting weaknesses in the opponent’s defense, particularly during the 31-45 and 61-75-minute intervals. Efficient use of mid-game substitutions could also turn the tide, especially when targeting Guadalajara’s tendency to concede in the second half.

CD Guadalajara Team Analysis

CD Guadalajara Recent Performance ()

CD Guadalajara has had a turbulent run recently, posting 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches:

• CD Guadalajara 1 – 2 FC Juarez (Loss)
• Santos Laguna 1 – 0 CD Guadalajara (Loss)
• FC Cincinnati 1 – 2 CD Guadalajara (Win)
• CD Guadalajara 2 – 2 Charlotte FC (Penalties Win)
• CD Guadalajara 0 – 1 New York Red Bulls (Loss)

Despite their inconsistency, they have managed to score 5 goals in their last 4 games, making their average goal tally 1.25 per game. However, defensively, they have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding 7 goals in the same period. Their recent struggles have left them in 16th place with just 3 points in the standings, hinting at a crucial need for improvement, particularly at the defensive end, to rise up the Liga MX table. Their goal-scoring capabilities, however, suggest they still pose a significant threat upfront.

CD Guadalajara Key Players

CD Guadalajara will be banking on their key players to navigate through their recent struggles. Armando Gonzalez, who is their top scorer with 2 goals, will be crucial in leading their attack. Paired with Roberto Alvarado, who is expected to be the main forward, they will look to penetrate Tijuana’s defense.

The expected lineup for CD Guadalajara is:

• Goalkeeper: Jose Rangel
• Defenders: Diego Campillo, Bryan Gonzalez, Jose Castillo
• Midfielders: Daniel Aguirre, Alan Mozo, Luis Romo, Erick Gutierrez, Armando Gonzalez, Richard Ledezma
• Forward: Roberto Alvarado

Key battles will likely take place in the midfield, where Luis Romo and Erick Gutierrez will need to assert dominance against Tijuana’s playmakers. Additionally, Guadalajara defenders will have to be wary of Tijuana’s scoring potential, particularly via Kevin Castaneda.

CD Guadalajara Suspensions & Injuries

Heading into their fixture against Tijuana, CD Guadalajara has a few injury concerns that could impact their performance. Leonardo Sepúlveda is dealing with an ankle injury, and his return is doubtful. Javier Hernandez, nursing a calf injury, is marked for a potential return by late August 2025, making his participation in this game unlikely. Meanwhile, Omar Govea is also doubtful due to a hamstring injury.

These injuries could exacerbate CD Guadalajara’s recent defensive issues, as the absence of key players might disrupt their backline coordination. With no suspensions reported, the team will still have to dig deep to counter Tijuana’s attacking threats effectively while coping with their own vulnerabilities.

CD Guadalajara Tactics and Formation

For the match against Tijuana, CD Guadalajara is anticipated to line up in a 3-5-2 formation. This setup allows them to fortify their midfield while maintaining pressure on Tijuana’s defense through their dual-striker approach.

CD Guadalajara Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forwards: Roberto Alvarado, Armando Gonzalez
• Midfield Dominance: Daniel Aguirre, Alan Mozo, Luis Romo, Erick Gutierrez, Richard Ledezma
• Defensive Strength: Three central defenders to provide resilience despite recent struggles
• Notable Strategy: Focused on scoring in the second half, exploiting Tijuana’s tendency to concede between the 61st and 75th minutes

This tactical approach is aimed at balancing defensive stability while leveraging the midfield to create scoring opportunities, especially critical given their defensive vulnerabilities and recent conceding patterns.

Tijuana vs CD Guadalajara Head-to-Head Statistics

When analyzing the recent head-to-head encounters between Tijuana and CD Guadalajara, interesting trends emerge. Here’s a closer look at their last five meetings:

• CD Guadalajara 2 – 1 Tijuana (2025-02-10, Liga MX Clausura)
• Tijuana 4 – 2 CD Guadalajara (2024-07-13, Liga MX Apertura)
• Tijuana 1 – 1 CD Guadalajara (2024-01-27, Liga MX Clausura)
• CD Guadalajara 1 – 0 Tijuana (2023-08-23, Liga MX Apertura)
• CD Guadalajara 2 – 1 Tijuana (2023-02-16, Liga MX Clausura)

In these matches, CD Guadalajara has secured three wins, and there was one draw and one win for Tijuana. Notably, both teams have found the back of the net in multiple encounters. It’s clear that while CD Guadalajara may have the upper hand historically, Tijuana’s recent home victory indicates that the match could go either way. Overall, this fixture promises entertainment based on their head-to-head record with previous matches often delivering goals and competitive play.

Odds accurate as of 21/08/2025 04:03, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.