Brentford Stats & Analysis
Brentford are making the most out of their comeback to the top-flight, going undefeated in 6 of their first 7 matches. Their start to the season went much better than expected, and they have key wins over Arsenal, West Ham, and Wolves. They are currently 7th in the Premier League standings with three wins, three draws and one loss.
They are averaging 1.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded after Matchday 7, and have established themselves as a resilient side that isn’t afraid to compete against much stronger opponents. In fact, their most impressive performance of the season so far was their 3-3 draw against Liverpool.
Brentford are coming into this match following a 2-1 win over West Ham, where they had no shortage of opportunities to score in the first half. But the Bees became complacent after taking the lead and allowed the Hammers to score a late equalizer, forcing Yoane Wissa to salvage the win with a late stunner.
Chelsea Stats & Analysis
Chelsea have also enjoyed an excellent start to the season, and are sitting atop the Premier League table with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The acquisition of Romelu Lukaku during the summer has given them a sharper attack, and they are even more dangerous than last season.
The Blues are averaging 2.14 goals scored and 0.43 cocneded per match. In fact, their defence in away fixtures has been the best in the league since the start of the season. They are a very difficult side to score against and have kept 4 clean sheets since the start of the season. Their play on the road has been superb under Thomas Tuchel, and they’ve only lost one of their last 12 Premier League games.
Chelsea have won all of their last six away London derbies in the Premier League and could become the first team in English league history to win seven such games in a row.
Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction
Brentford are available at 7.00 odds to take the home victory, whilst Chelsea are valued at 1.63.
Although Brentford are having an impressive season and have beaten stronger clubs, I don’t see them pulling off another upset here. Chelsea have one of the best defences in the league, and it’s very difficult to create scoring chances against them. In fact, 2 of their 3 conceded goals this season have come off penalties, and only Manchester City have managed to find the net against their defence in-play.
However, Brentford are a tough nut to crack, and they’ll be extra motivated to provide a solid performance against the league leaders. They have what it takes to give Chelsea a hard time, and if they do lose, it will likely be by 1 goal. At 1.87 odds, Under 2.5 goals provides solid value.
Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction: Under 2.5 goals at 1.87 odds. Stake: 9/10