Toluca vs. CF America Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 9 November 2025

The Liga MX showdown between Toluca and CF America at Estadio Nemesio Diez promises to be a thrilling encounter on 9 November 2025. Both teams are tied in points, with 34 each, sitting comfortably in 2nd and 3rd places in the league standings. This match, taking place in round 17 of the competition, could be crucial in determining the pecking order heading into the final stages of the season.

Toluca, under Antonio Mohamed, boasts a strong home record and is known for its sturdy defense, having secured three clean sheets in their last five games. In stark contrast, CF America is dealing with significant injury concerns. Key players like Henry Martin and Alejandro Zendejas are doubtful, which could impact their performance.

Given the recent head-to-head results, with Toluca defeating CF America 3-1 in their most recent encounter and holding an undefeated home streak, the odds are skewed slightly in favor of Toluca. The home side’s striker Paulinho is in excellent form, having netted 11 goals this season.

Recommended bet: Toluca to win, considering their home advantage and the form of their key players like Paulinho.

Toluca vs CF America Prediction & Betting Tip

Toluca vs CF America Prediction
Betting tip
Toluca to win

Recommended bet: Toluca to win. Given the context of this Liga MX showdown, Toluca holds a slight edge, and here’s why:

• Toluca maintains a strong home record with zero losses in their last five matches at Estadio Nemesio Diez.
• The home side’s striker Paulinho is in terrific form, having scored 11 goals this season.
• CF America is grappling with significant injuries to key players like Henry Martin and Alejandro Zendejas, potentially impacting their performance.

With both teams tied in points and aiming for a stronger league position, Toluca’s home advantage and solid recent form make them the recommended bet.

Toluca vs CF America Odds

The betting odds for the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CF America highlight a tight contest, with Toluca being the bookmaker’s favourite at odds of 2.15.

Toluca vs CF America Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Toluca	2.15
Draw	3.61
CF America	2.89

Given that Toluca holds a strong home record and the fact that CF America is dealing with notable injuries, it’s not surprising that Toluca is slightly favoured. Paulinho’s excellent form, with 11 goals this season, and CF America’s injury struggles, make a bet on Toluca to win an appealing option. However, with both teams evenly matched in standings, this game promises a highly competitive affair.

Toluca Team Analysis

Toluca Recent Performance:

Recent Form: WWDDD
Toluca has showcased solid form in their recent matches, maintaining an unbeaten streak over their last five games. With two wins and three draws, they have been consistently securing crucial points.

• Atlas 0-0 Toluca
• Toluca 2-2 Pachuca
• Tijuana 0-0 Toluca
• Toluca 4-0 Queretaro FC
• Leon 2-4 Toluca

Defensively, they’ve been robust, securing three clean sheets in their last five outings. Offensively, they’ve been efficient, averaging two goals per game during this period. Managed by Antonio Mohamed, Toluca has demonstrated great balance between attack and defense, making them a formidable side as they aim to solidify their position at the top end of the Liga MX standings.

Toluca Key Players

Toluca has several key players who have been pivotal throughout the season. Their top scorer, Paulinho, has notched up an impressive 11 goals, making him a significant threat up front. Alongside Paulinho, Marcel Ruiz has been crucial in the midfield, providing stability and creativity.

Defensively, Bruno Méndez and Federico Pereira have formed a solid partnership, contributing to the team’s three clean sheets in the last five games. Additionally, Jesus Gallardo, operating down the left side, has been influential both defensively and offensively.

Expected lineup for Toluca:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Garcia
• Right-back: Santiago Simon
• Right center-back: Bruno Méndez
• Central back: Federico Pereira
• Left center-back: Everardo Del Villar
• Left-back: Jesus Gallardo
• Right central midfielder: Franco Romero
• Central midfielder: Marcel Ruiz
• Left central midfielder: Nicolas Castro
• Right forward: Jesus Angulo
• Left forward: Paulinho

The clash against CF America will see key individual battles, with Paulinho going up against CF America’s central defenders, and Gallardo likely matched up against Brian Rodriguez. These duels will be crucial in determining the outcome of the match.

Toluca Suspensions & Injuries

Toluca heads into this clash without any suspensions, which is a positive for their squad depth. However, they are dealing with a couple of significant injuries.

• Luan: Out with a groin injury, expected to return in early January 2026.
• Ernesto Alexis Vega: Sidelined due to a hamstring injury, likely to return by late November 2025.

The absence of these players might impact Toluca’s overall depth, particularly in the attacking options. Ernesto Alexis Vega’s return later this month will be crucial as his creativity and experience are missed. Despite these challenges, Toluca has managed to perform well with their current squad, showcasing resilience and adaptability.

Toluca Tactics and Formation

Toluca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Predominantly 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Paulinho, with 11 goals this season
• Midfield Trio: Marcel Ruiz, Franco Romero, and Nicolas Castro
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games

Toluca under Antonio Mohamed have been compact and effective. They typically line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing both a solid defensive foundation and dynamic offensive plays. Paulinho’s presence up front provides a constant scoring threat, while the midfield trio of Ruiz, Romero, and Castro ensures control and creativity in the middle of the park.

On the defensive end, the partnership of Bruno Méndez and Federico Pereira has been crucial in keeping the backline sturdy, contributing to their three clean sheets in recent matches. Look for Toluca to leverage their home advantage and balanced setup to secure victory against CF America.

CF America Team Analysis

CF America Recent Performance:

Recent Form: WLWDW
CF America has exhibited a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, featuring a combination of wins, losses, and a draw. They continue to showcase their offensive prowess, averaging two goals per game in this period.

• CF America 2-0 Leon
• Mazatlan FC 2-2 CF America
• CF America 2-1 Puebla
• Cruz Azul 2-1 CF America
• CF America 3-0 Santos Laguna

Despite battling injuries and some inconsistency, CF America has managed to secure two clean sheets in their recent fixtures. Under the guidance of André Jardine, the team has demonstrated resilience and the ability to find the back of the net consistently, having scored in every match this season. As they approach this crucial encounter against Toluca, maintaining their offensive momentum will be key.

CF America Key Players

CF America’s lineup features several standout players who are critical to their success. Their top scorer, Brian Rodriguez, has netted 7 goals this season, making him a primary offensive threat. Supporting him in attack, Rodrigo Aguirre has also been effective, while Allan Saint-Maximin brings creativity and pace on the left wing.

In midfield, Alvaro Fidalgo and Erick Sanchez are pivotal, providing both defensive cover and forward thrust. On the defensive end, the partnership between Sebastian Cáceres and Cristian Borja has been reliable, contributing to their two clean sheets in the last five games.

Expected lineup for CF America:

• Goalkeeper: Luis Malagon
• Right-back: Kevin Alvarez
• Right center back: Sebastian Cáceres
• Left center back: Cristian Borja
• Left-back: Israel Reyes Romero
• Right defensive midfielder: Igor Lichnovsky
• Left defensive midfielder: Alvaro Fidalgo
• Right wing: Brian Rodriguez
• Attacking midfielder: Erick Sanchez
• Left wing: Allan Saint-Maximin
• Center forward: Rodrigo Aguirre

The key individual battles to watch will include Rodriguez against Toluca’s defenders, and Fidalgo against Toluca’s Marcel Ruiz in the midfield. These confrontations could significantly influence the match outcome.

CF America Suspensions & Injuries

CF America heads into this fixture with several critical injuries that could impact their performance:

• Henry Martin: Doubtful with a knee injury. His absence would be a significant blow to their attacking options.
• Dagoberto Espinoza: Sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, expected to return in late March 2026.
• Alejandro Zendejas: Doubtful due to a thigh injury.
• Jose Zuniga and Isaias Violante: Both are out with hamstring injuries but are expected to return by mid-November 2025.

These injuries might affect their squad depth and attacking potency, especially with key players like Martin and Zendejas potentially unavailable. Despite these challenges, CF America has shown resilience in past matches, and their depth will be tested in the upcoming clash against Toluca.

CF America Tactics and Formation

CF America Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Predominantly 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Brian Rodriguez, with 7 goals this season
• Midfield Trio: Igor Lichnovsky, Alvaro Fidalgo, and Erick Sanchez
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games

Under the guidance of André Jardine, CF America typically employs a 4-2-3-1 formation. Brian Rodriguez is the main man up front, and his ability to find the back of the net consistently makes him a significant threat. The midfield, comprising Lichnovsky, Fidalgo, and Sanchez, provides both defensive cover and forward impetus.

Defensively, the pairing of Sebastián Cáceres and Cristian Borja has been central to maintaining stability at the back. CF America will likely aim to control possession and exploit the attacking prowess of players like Allan Saint-Maximin on the wings to break down Toluca’s defense.

Toluca vs CF America Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five encounters between Toluca and CF America reveals a competitive rivalry. Toluca has had the upper hand in recent matches, highlighting their dominance:

• 2025-07-21: CF America 1-3 Toluca (Supercopa de la Liga MX)
• 2025-05-26: Toluca 2-0 CF America (Liga MX Clausura Playoff)
• 2025-05-23: CF America 0-0 Toluca (Liga MX Clausura Playoff)
• 2025-03-01: CF America 3-0 Toluca (Liga MX Clausura)
• 2024-11-30: Toluca 0-2 CF America (Liga MX Apertura Playoff)

Key insights:

• Recent Wins: Toluca has won two of their last three encounters.
• Clean Sheets: Toluca kept CF America scoreless in two of the last five matches.
• Scoring Patterns: CF America scored in three of the five fixtures.

These outcomes suggest a competitive edge for Toluca, especially given their recent form and home advantage heading into the upcoming match.

Odds accurate as of 07/11/2025 01:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.