Fluminense vs. Juventude Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 17 October 2025

As we head into the 28th round of Serie A, Fluminense host Juventude at the Maracanã Stadium in what promises to be a critical clash for both teams. Fluminense sit comfortably in 7th position with 38 points and are the bookmaker’s favourite with odds of 1.34 for a home win. Juventude, on the other hand, are struggling at 19th with just 23 points, making them the underdogs with staggering odds of 9.28.

Fluminense are in good overall form, particularly strong in attack, averaging 1.80 goals scored in their last 5 games. Their attacking prowess is led by top scorer Germán Cano, who has netted 6 goals this season. Despite injuries to major players like Matheus Reis and Ganso, they remain a formidable side.

Juventude, managed by Thiago Carpini, have been in poor form, managing only 0.60 average goals in their last 5 games. They were comprehensively beaten 4-1 by Palmeiras recently, a testament to their vulnerabilities.

Considering the current form and stats, our recommended bet is for Fluminense to win. Their home advantage and offensive strength should see them through this contest.

Fluminense vs Juventude Prediction & Betting tip

Let’s place a bet on the home team, Fluminense. They’ve been playing well, especially in attack, and have shown good overall performance lately.

Reasons why this prediction is good:

• Current Form: Fluminense is in better form, averaging 1.80 goals in their last 5 games.
• Bookmaker Favourite: Odds are strongly in their favour at 1.34.
• Recent Success: They are the bookmaker’s favourite and have a significant advantage playing at home.

Fluminense vs Juventude Odds

Heading into this Serie A clash, odds heavily favour a Fluminense win. They are placed at 1.34 to secure a victory at home against Juventude. Given their recent form and attacking capabilities, this is not surprising. A draw is considerably less likely with odds of 4.59, while a Juventude victory is seen as quite the long shot at 9.28.

Such odds reflect the current standings and recent performances of both teams. Fluminense’s attacking strength and better overall form make them the clear favourite, while Juventude’s struggle puts them as the underdogs in this match.

Fluminense Team Analysis

Fluminense Recent Performance

Fluminense’s recent form has been fairly strong, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent games include a 2-1 loss to Mirassol and impressive victories such as a 3-0 win over Atlético Mineiro and a 2-0 triumph against Botafogo. Their draw came in a 2-2 match against Sport Recife, showcasing both their scoring ability and occasional defensive lapses.

• Average Goals Scored: 1.80 in the last 5 games.
• Clean Sheets: 2 in the last 5 games.

Fluminense has shown offensive potency, led by top scorer Germán Cano with 6 goals. Despite a few injury concerns, they’ve maintained strong performances, emphasizing their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Fluminense Key Players

Fluminense’s squad boasts several key players who have been vital to their recent success. Leading the attack is Germán Cano, the club’s top scorer with 6 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial against Juventude’s struggling defence.

In midfield, the creative force comes from Luciano Acosta and Agustín Canobbio. Both players are expected to play pivotal roles, with Acosta likely providing the link between midfield and attack if he is fit to start.

Key individual battles to watch include Germán Cano against Juventude’s central defenders Abner and Marcos Paulo, as well as the wing clashes involving Agustín Canobbio and Juventude’s full-backs.

Expected lineup for Fluminense:

• Goalkeeper: Fábio
• Defenders: Samuel Xavier, Thiago Silva, Juan Pablo Freytes, Rene
• Midfielders: Martinelli, Hércules, Agustín Canobbio, Luciano Acosta, Yeferson Soteldo
• Forwards: Germán Cano

These players are anticipated to be instrumental in maintaining Fluminense’s attacking potency and securing a win.

Fluminense Suspensions & Injuries

Fluminense will be missing several key players due to injuries, which may impact their dynamics on the field.

Matheus Reis is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected back in late October, while Ganso is nursing a calf injury with a similar return timeline.

Another major absentee is Gustavo Nonato, who has a foot injury but might be back in about a week. Keno and Luciano Acosta are both doubtful due to an ankle injury and physical discomfort, respectively.

These absences could affect Fluminense’s midfield creativity and defensive solidity. They will have to rely more on their bench strength and tactical adjustments by coach Luis Zubeldía to cope with these setbacks.

Fluminense Tactics and Formation

Fluminense Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Germán Cano
• Midfield Trio: Martinelli, Hércules, Luciano Acosta (if fit)
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Fluminense have been particularly effective in scoring goals during the 76-90 minute interval, showcasing a strong finish in the later stages of the game.

Their expected line-up sees them bolstered by experienced players like Thiago Silva at the back, and Fábio in goal. Fluminense’s game plan under coach Luis Zubeldía will likely focus on maintaining possession, quick transitions, and utilizing the wings to stretch Juventude’s defence. Despite some injury concerns, their attacking depth and tactical flexibility make them formidable opponents.

Juventude Team Analysis

Juventude Recent Performance

Juventude’s recent form has been less than stellar, with two draws and three losses in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a heavy 4-1 defeat to Palmeiras, preceded by a 2-1 home loss to Fortaleza and a 0-0 draw away at Atlético Mineiro.

• Average Goals Scored: 0.60 in the last 5 games.
• Clean Sheets: 1 in the last 5 games.

Juventude’s struggles in front of goal are evident, having only managed to score 0.60 goals on average over their last five fixtures. Their defensive solidity has also been questionable, conceding an average of 1.9 goals throughout the season. Despite the poor form, they managed to eke out a couple of draws, indicating some resilience. However, they have a mountain to climb as they face a much stronger Fluminense side away from home.

Juventude Key Players

Juventude, although struggling this season, have a few key players who could make an impact. Leading their attack is Bill, the club’s top scorer with 4 goals. His performance will be crucial in penetrating Fluminense’s defence.

Midfield stability comes from Jadson and Juan Sforza, who will be crucial in controlling the tempo and providing defensive coverage. On the wings, Enio and Luis Mandaca will be looking to create opportunities with their pace and dribbling skills.

Key individual battles to watch include Bill against Fluminense’s seasoned defender Thiago Silva, and the midfield tussle between Martinelli and Sforza.

Expected lineup for Juventude:

• Goalkeeper: Jandrei
• Defenders: Reginaldo, Abner, Marcos Paulo, Marcelo Hermes
• Midfielders: Caique Gonçalves, Juan Sforza, Jadson, Luis Mandaca
• Forwards: Sebastião Enio, Gilberto Oliveira

These players are expected to be vital if Juventude are to stand a chance of securing a rare away victory.

Juventude Suspensions & Injuries

Juventude have several injuries and a key suspension that could significantly affect their performance against Fluminense. Nata and Emerson Galego are out with thigh and ankle injuries, respectively, both expected to return in late October 2025. Wilker Angel and Gabriel Veron also face similar timelines with their thigh injuries. Important defender Luan Freitas remains sidelined with a dislocated shoulder until early November.

Additionally, they will be without Rodrigo Sam, who is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards. These absences deplete their squad depth and put extra pressure on the remaining players to step up. Coach Thiago Carpini will need to make strategic adjustments to cope with these setbacks.

Juventude Tactics and Formation

Juventude Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Sebastião Enio, Gilberto Oliveira
• Midfield Strategy: Rely on a solid central midfield partnership of Juan Sforza and Jadson to both shield the defence and initiate attacks.
• Defensive Strategy: Juventude has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game this season. They aim to be compact at the back, particularly missing key defenders due to injuries.
• Notable Strategy: Juventude will most likely aim to soak up pressure and use counter-attacks to exploit any gaps left by Fluminense’s attacking play.

Given their recent form and injury list, expect Juventude to set up defensively, focusing on breaking quickly when they regain possession. Thiago Carpini’s tactical discipline will be crucial if they hope to pull off an upset.

Fluminense vs Juventude Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, Fluminense and Juventude have often been closely matched, with games generally being high-scoring and competitive.

• 2025-05-18: Juventude 1 – 1 Fluminense (Serie A)
• 2024-09-15: Juventude 2 – 1 Fluminense (Serie A)
• 2024-08-08: Fluminense 2 – 2 Juventude (Cup)
• 2024-08-01: Juventude 3 – 2 Fluminense (Cup)
• 2024-06-01: Fluminense 1 – 1 Juventude (Serie A)

Although Fluminense have not secured many victories over Juventude in recent meetings, their current form and home advantage make them favourites this time around. Historically, these games have seen plenty of action, indicating that this match is likely to be another engaging contest.

Odds accurate as of 15.10.2025 01:30, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.