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Puebla vs Mazatlán FC Prediction, Match Preview. As we look ahead to the Liga MX clash set for Wednesday, 14 January, all eyes will be on Estadio Cuauhtémoc. This matchup features Puebla taking on Mazatlán FC, promising an intriguing contest between two Mexican sides eager to make their mark in the league.
Puebla, playing at home, will aim to capitalise on their familiarity with Estadio Cuauhtémoc to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Mazatlán FC will be looking to upset the hosts and gain valuable points on the road. Both teams are keen to improve their standings in Liga MX, making this encounter a significant one for fans and bettors alike.
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – Yes | 1.72 |
With both teams showing defensive weaknesses and a tendency to find the back of the net against each other, our recommended betting tip is Both Teams To Score (BTTS – Yes).
The head-to-head history supports this, with four of the last five meetings seeing both teams score.
Puebla are stepping onto their home turf as the favourites with odds of 1.9, reflecting their strong form at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Mazatlán FC, on the other hand, are seen as the underdogs with odds of 3.72, but they could spring a surprise given their recent performances.
| Betting Tip | Odds |
|---|---|
| Puebla to win | 1.9 |
| Draw | 3.44 |
| Mazatlán FC to win | 3.72 |
The draw is priced at 3.44, which might tempt those expecting a closely contested match. With both teams having the potential to score, punters might also look into the over 2.5 goals market for some added value.
Puebla’s recent form has been less than ideal, with only one win in their last five matches. They have suffered three losses and managed a draw, indicating a challenging period for the team. Their solitary victory came against León, highlighting their ability to capitalise on opportunities, though consistency remains an issue.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | Puebla | 1 – 0 (Loss) | Liga MX Clausura | 10 Jan 2026 |
| León | Puebla | 1 – 2 (Win) | Liga MX Apertura | 9 Nov 2025 |
| Puebla | Cruz Azul | 0 – 3 (Loss) | Liga MX Apertura | 1 Nov 2025 |
| FC Juárez | Puebla | 4 – 4 (Draw) | Liga MX Apertura | 25 Oct 2025 |
| Club América | Puebla | 2 – 1 (Loss) | Liga MX Apertura | 22 Oct 2025 |
Recent Form:
Puebla’s attack has struggled to make a significant impact, averaging 1.40 goals per game over their last five outings. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.20 goals per match, leading to no clean sheets. This defensive frailty has been a critical weakness, as evidenced by conceding 11 goals in their last five games.
Home and Away Performance:
Puebla’s home performances have mirrored their overall struggles, with just one win, a draw, and three losses in their last five home fixtures. Their home win ratio stands at a mere 20%, reflecting difficulties in turning their home ground advantage into tangible results. With a standing at 16th in the league, Puebla’s performances have been below expectations, necessitating tactical adjustments to improve their standing.
The absence of Fernando Aristeguieta and Lucas Cavallini due to injuries presents a significant challenge for Puebla’s attacking options. Aristeguieta’s broken foot and Cavallini’s cruciate ligament injury, with a return expected in late March 2026, leave a void in the forward line that coach Hernán Cristante must address. With both players sidelined, Puebla’s goal-scoring potential is notably weakened, potentially forcing a reliance on less experienced forwards.
In terms of tactical adjustments, we might see Hernán Cristante opting for a more conservative approach, possibly deploying a lone striker formation to compensate for the lack of depth up front. Esteban Lozano, the current forward, will likely shoulder the responsibility to lead the attack. However, Puebla might also need to look at midfielders like Ángelo Araos to step up and contribute more offensively.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Aristeguieta | Broken foot | Unknown |
| Lucas Cavallini | Cruciate ligament injury | Late March 2026 |
The injuries could have betting implications, as Puebla’s reduced offensive threat may impact their ability to convert chances against Mazatlán FC. Bettors might see this as an opportunity to consider wagering on alternative outcomes, such as lower-scoring games or even a stronger performance from the visitors, given Puebla’s weakened line-up.
In the upcoming clash against Mazatlán FC, Puebla will aim to harness the prowess of their key players to secure a favourable result. Despite the absence of specific statistics for their top scorer, the team’s offensive and defensive strategies will likely rely on a cohesive unit. The midfield will be pivotal in dictating the tempo, with players expected to link effectively between defence and attack.
In the absence of detailed information on individual players, the focus will be on Puebla’s tactical setup. The team is anticipated to employ a balanced approach, ensuring solidity at the back while exploiting any opportunities on the counter-attack. The defensive line will need to be disciplined and organised to thwart Mazatlán FC’s advances, while the forwards will look to capitalise on any defensive errors.
The tactical impact of the expected line-up will revolve around maintaining possession and transitioning rapidly between phases of play. Puebla’s strength lies in their ability to adapt their gameplay, making it challenging for opponents to predict their movements. This flexibility could be a decisive factor in the match, allowing Puebla to exploit weaknesses in Mazatlán FC’s formation.
Puebla Tactical Breakdown:
Puebla are expected to line up in a 4-5-1 formation, aiming to dominate the midfield through the presence of Alejandro Organista and Luis Gabriel Rey. This setup allows them to maintain high possession, as evidenced by their 57% possession in the recent match against Atlas, despite the 0-1 loss.
Defensively, Puebla have struggled, with no clean sheets in their last five matches. The backline, featuring Iker Moreno and Nicolás Díaz, will need to tighten up to prevent conceding goals, having allowed an average of 2.20 goals per game in recent performances.
Offensively, the team relies heavily on Esteban Lozano as the focal point of their attack. Their strategy involves quick transitions from midfield to attack, aiming to exploit spaces left by opponents. However, converting possession into goals remains a challenge, as seen in their recent scoreless outing against Atlas.
Mazatlán FC have experienced a challenging run of form, with no victories in their last five matches, resulting in two losses and three draws. Their recent performance against FC Juárez ended in a 1-2 defeat, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities, as they conceded two goals despite having 46% possession and only managing four shots on target.
| Home Team | Away Team | Result | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazatlán FC | FC Juárez | 1 – 2 (Loss) | Liga MX Clausura | 10 Jan 2026 |
| Mazatlán FC | Necaxa | 1 – 1 (Draw) | Liga MX Apertura | 8 Nov 2025 |
| Querétaro FC | Mazatlán FC | 1 – 0 (Loss) | Liga MX Apertura | 2 Nov 2025 |
| Mazatlán FC | Club América | 2 – 2 (Draw) | Liga MX Apertura | 25 Oct 2025 |
| Mazatlán FC | Santos Laguna | 2 – 2 (Draw) | Liga MX Apertura | 22 Oct 2025 |
Recent Form:
Mazatlán’s scoring has been somewhat consistent, averaging 1.20 goals per game across their last five fixtures, yet their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per match. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five outings, underscoring a lack of defensive solidity. This trend extends to their away form, with no wins, four losses, and a single draw in the last five away matches, indicating struggles on the road.
Mazatlán FC face a key concern with the potential absence of Alberto Herrera due to a knee injury. His status is currently listed as doubtful, which could leave a gap in the squad, particularly affecting their defensive or midfield options, depending on his usual role. This uncertainty might force coach Robert Siboldi to reconsider his strategy, possibly shifting formations or relying on less experienced players to fill the void.
| Player | Injury | Expected Return |
|---|---|---|
| Alberto Herrera | Knee injury | Doubtful |
The absence of Alberto Herrera could lead to tactical adjustments, with Robert Siboldi likely needing to bolster his midfield by potentially promoting a reserve player to the starting eleven. The lack of clear replacements could challenge the team’s depth, putting pressure on the existing line-up to maintain their competitive edge.
Despite this injury setback, Mazatlán FC must focus on their attacking prowess, as they look to exploit weaknesses in the opposition. The betting markets may react to Herrera’s potential absence, but the team’s attacking line-up, led by Fábio Gomes and Jesús Hernández, still promises to deliver a formidable challenge to Puebla.
Mazatlán FC will heavily rely on their top scorer, Facundo Almada, who has managed to find the back of the net once this season. Almada’s role is pivotal as he often spearheads the attack, utilising his physical presence and keen sense of positioning to exploit defensive weaknesses. His ability to hold up the ball and bring midfielders into play will be crucial against Puebla.
In the midfield, the spotlight falls on the creative playmakers who can dictate the tempo and unlock defensive setups with incisive passes. Their tactical impact is significant, as they provide the necessary link between defence and attack, offering both defensive cover and offensive support. The midfield’s ability to transition quickly could be a deciding factor in breaking down Puebla’s defence.
Defensively, Mazatlán FC must rely on their centre-backs to maintain solidity at the back. Their aerial prowess and tactical awareness will be essential in neutralising Puebla’s attacking threats. The defence’s ability to stay organised and communicate effectively can greatly influence the outcome of the match.
Expected line-up for Mazatlán FC:
Mazatlán FC Tactical Breakdown:
The 4-4-2 formation offers Mazatlán FC a balanced approach, allowing them to transition swiftly from defence to attack. With Jefferson Intriago orchestrating the midfield, they can exploit spaces through quick transitions and wide play. The partnership of Fábio Gomes and Jesús Hernández up front provides a dual threat, aiming to capitalise on any defensive lapses.
Defensively, Mazatlán FC have struggled, conceding in all of their last five matches. The defensive line, including Iván González and Facundo Almada, needs to tighten up to prevent further lapses. This lack of defensive solidity has been a significant issue, resulting in a poor clean sheet record.
Offensively, Mazatlán FC leverage their pace on the wings, particularly through Mauro Laínez. Their strategy often involves drawing opponents in before launching rapid counter-attacks, a tactic that has seen varied success given their inconsistent finishing.
Looking at the head-to-head record, Puebla have the upper hand with seven wins compared to Mazatlán FC’s four, and they’ve shared the spoils twice. The last encounter saw Mazatlán FC edge out Puebla 2-1 in the Liga MX Apertura, showing they can be a thorn in Puebla’s side.
The last time these two met at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Mazatlán FC pulled off a surprise 1-0 victory in the Liga MX Clausura, breaking Puebla’s strong home form. Historically, Puebla have been dominant at home, but recent results suggest Mazatlán FC won’t be easy pushovers.
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Competition | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mazatlán FC | Puebla | 2 – 1 | Liga MX Apertura | 2025-07-19 |
| Puebla | Mazatlán FC | 0 – 1 | Liga MX Clausura | 2025-01-29 |
| Mazatlán FC | Puebla | 1 – 1 | Liga MX Apertura | 2024-08-31 |
| Puebla | Mazatlán FC | 3 – 2 | Liga MX Clausura | 2024-02-03 |
| Mazatlán FC | Puebla | 1 – 0 | Liga MX Apertura | 2023-08-23 |