Aston Villa vs Brighton: Lights, Camera, Action at Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Brighton Bet Builder Tips, Opta Stats, and Props

The Premier League’s early kick-off live on TNT Sports has the potential to be a classic in Aston Villa vs Brighton.

With 48 goals between them this season, it’s not a game you want to miss. Luckily for us, our trusted unbiased Brighton fan, Matthew O’Regan, is on hand to preview the game with a 3.75 odds bet builder

• Over 2.5 Goals
• Both Teams to Receive 2+ Cards
• Over 12.5 Shots for Aston Villa

Bet Builder odds: 3.75

England, Premier League Saturday 30th September 12:30

Odds via bet365 as at Thursday 26th September 12:00 Odds may now differ.

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Aston Villa vs Brighton OPTA Stats: Shots, Cards, and Goals making quite the event in Birmingham

• Brighton have lost three of their four Premier League away games against Aston Villa, with the exception being a 2-1 victory in November 2020.
• Only five players have more Premier League assists in 2023 than Brighton full-back Pervis Estupiñán (8), who has three in five games this season. The Ecuadorian has created 47 chances in open play this calendar year, second only to Bruno Fernandes (74).
• Aston Villa have started a season with four wins in their opening six Premier League games (L2) for a seventh time. They’ve only won five of their opening seven games twice before, in 1998-99 under John Gregory and 2020-21 under Dean Smith.
• Ollie Watkins netted his first Premier League goal of the season for Aston Villa last time out in a 1-0 win over Chelsea. He’s scored in each of his last three appearances against Brighton, with only Sergio Agüero, Jamie Vardy and Phil Foden scoring in four in a row against the Seagulls in the competition.
• Kaoru Mitoma scored two goals as a sub in Brighton’s 3-1 win over Bournemouth in the Premier League on MD6, taking his total to 10 in the competition. He’s only the second Japanese player to reach double figures for goals, along with Shinji Okazaki (14 for Leicester, 2015-19).

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Aston Villa vs Brighton Bet Builder Tips: Lean towards an all-action affair

Over 2.5 goals

Aston Villa and Brighton are arguably two of the most entertaining teams in the league, so it should be an entertaining game for the neutral.

After securing European football on the last day of the season in this fixture last campaign, Aston Villa have started this season strongly. Despite an opening day setback, losing 5-1 at Newcastle, Unai Emery’s side have been in good form, currently sitting in sixth.

Since the opening game, Villa have beaten Burnley (1-3), Crystal Palace (3-1), and Chelsea (0-1), while also losing 3-0 to Liverpool.

Emery favours a high line and likes his side to press from the front. This often leads to end-to-end games with loads of goals. The Villains have scored 12 goals and conceded 10, with their games averaging 3.66 goals per game. Their European encounters have also been high-scoring, with Villa beating Hibernian 0-5 and 3-0 while losing 3-2 to Legia Warsaw.

Therefore, over 2.5 goals has landed in eight out of nine games in all competitions for Aston Villa.

The 2022–23 season proved to be a historic one for Brighton, with the Seagulls qualifying for Europe for the first time in their history. Roberto De Zerbi’s side has started this season on fire, winning five of their six outings, with their 18 goals putting them as the league’s top scorers.

Albion beat Luton and Wolves 4-1, Newcastle and Manchester United 3-1, while losing to West Ham 3-1. Their debut in the Europa League ended in a shock 3-2 home defeat to AEK Athens, meaning Brighton’s games are averaging 4.42 goals per game, with all seven of their matches seeing over 2.5 goals.

Both Teams to Receive 2+ Cards

Refereeing this affair is Andy Madley. The 40-year-old has shown 40 cards in seven games this season, averaging 5.7 cards per game. He has refereed four Premier League games so far, showing 8.12, three, and five cards. Coincidentally, he has already referred both teams this season, showing four cards each in Aston Villa’s 5-1 loss to Newcastle and a whopping six cards each in Brighton’s 4-1 win at Wolves.

In Aston Villa’s two home games this season, they’ve seen five and three cards, drawing four and three. Away from home, Brighton have been shown six and two cards, while their opposition also received six and two.

Therefore, both teams to receive 2+ cards landed in both home and away games. Last year’s meeting at Villa Park saw four cards each, while the reverse fixture at the AMEX saw a 2-7 card split. In fact, the last seven meetings between them have seen at least two cards each.

Over 12.5 Shots for Aston Villa

This season, Aston Villa have hit 16, 13, 13, 16, 11, 9, 16, 19, and 15 shots. The 11 was with a rotated team against Hibernian while already 5-0 up, and the nine shots were away at Anfield. Unai Emery’s attacking philosophy is evident, with their average of 14.22 shots per game.

Away from home, Brighton have conceded 14 and 16 shots, ending last season with 12, 22, and 14 shots conceded. With Roberto De Zerbi expected to go for the win, expect them to be left open at the back.

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