Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Our expert, Tom Winch, has picked out three selections  for this Serie A clash in our Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview.

The home side have been impressive at the venue in recent weeks. Gasperini’s men have won seven of their last eight matches. Fiorentina don’t always perform well on the road. They’re winless in five away days and have failed to score in six of 14. Our Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction is for Atalanta to win the match 2-1.

1. Atalanta vs Fiorentina Tip 1: Atalanta Full Time Result
2. Atalanta vs Fiorentina Tip 2: Teun Koopmeiners AGS
3. Atalanta vs Fiorentina Tip 3: Rolando Mandragora Over 0.5 Shots & Fiorentina Over 0.5 First Half Cards

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction 1: Hosts Should Win Once Again In Bergamo

Italy, Serie A, Sunday, March 17th, 17:00 (UK)

Atalanta is an impressive outfit when they operate at Gewiss Stadium. Gasperini’s men have accumulated 31 points from a possible 42. La Dea has found the back of the net in 13 of 14 encounters here, which includes each of the previous 11.

Fiorentina (4-4-6 WDL) aren’t brilliant when playing away from home. They’ve failed to score in six of 14 away days whilst keeping three shutouts. The visitors haven’t won any of their five away days in 2024.

The hosts have been consistent at this venue in recent weeks. They did lose their previous encounter here against a well-drilled Bologna side. I’m happy to brush that result aside. They have no injury doubts, which is vital at this stage.

Atalanta have scored in 13 of their 14 matches across all competitions in 2024. They’ve faced the likes of Juventus, Milan (x2), Sporting, Bologna, Lazio and Roma. It’s been a tough start, but they’ve been competitive in nearly every clash.

I certainly expect the home side to score here on Sunday afternoon. They’re superb defensively. Only six sides from 14 have scored here. Seven of their ten victories have arrived with a clean sheet. One goal could be enough in this matchup.

• Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction 1: Atalanta Full Time Result (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 6/10

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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction 2: Value In The AGS Market

Teun Koopmeiners is a regular in my previews. It’s difficult to leave the Dutchman out whenever his side are in action. Atalanta’s man is enduring a cracking 2024. He once again looks overpriced in the market.

Only five players have scored more Serie A goals than Teun. The 26-year-old has bagged ten times this season. An impressive seven of those have arrived this calendar year. He also bagged twice against Milan in the Coppa Italia.

Eight Atalanta players are priced shorter to score in this match. It just doesn’t make any sense whatsoever. Koopmeiners is on penalty duties for his side, which comes as a bonus. He’s started 24 of 25 matches in Italy this season. He began on the bench against Lazio in October.

It’s a price that looks big. The Dutch international has been in superb form in recent weeks. Our man will play in a front three just behind the strikers. It’s a position that suits him best.

Koopmeiners scored the opening goal in the reverse fixture back in September. He’ll get chances in this encounter, and with his sublime form, he may only need one-half. I don’t believe the price should be as high as the one on offer.

• Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction 2: Teun Koopmeiners AGS (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 4.33
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 5/10

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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction 3: Two Appealing Selections In One

Rolando Mandragora hasn’t always featured from the start for Fiorentina this season. The midfielder had started 12 of 25 matches this season. He’s recorded 22 shots across 1227 minutes of action, an average of 1.61 shots per 90.

The Italian has scored in both of his previous two appearances. Those goals came against Roma and Maccabi Haifa. He came on towards the latter stages against Torino the game prior and managed an attempt. The 26-year-old started three times within a week against Empoli, Bologna and Frosinone. He managed a goal attempt in all.

It’s not a guarantee that our man starts this encounter. I’m hopeful that he does after good performances in recent matches. He has an eye for goal. The price for a single shot makes a good way in for a bet builder approach.

Vincenzo Italiano’s men like to get stuck in nice and early on their travels. Fiorentina have been cautioned in 12 of 14 first halves this season. The visitors have covered this line in four of their five away days this calendar year.

This game is vital. Atalanta needs the points to keep the pace with the sides above them. They’re four points off a potential Champions League position. Fiorentina are four points behind their opponents. A win here will make things interesting. I expect them to be energetic from the get-go.

• Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction 3: Rolando Mandragora Over 0.5 Shots & Fiorentina Over 0.5 First Half Cards (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: Awaiting Odds
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 3/10

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:00, March 13th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Team News and Possible Lineups: Not Often Both Sides Are Fully Fit

There’s very little to report about Atalanta’s injury concerns. They have a fully fit squad heading into their game with Sporting on Thursday night. They’ll hope to leave that match with no knocks or serious injuries.

The home side will play with three central defenders and wing-backs. Koopmeiners has been phenomenal in 2024.

Fiorentina will have to play without Bonaventura on Sunday. The Italian is out due to suspension. There’s little else to report from the Fiorentina camp, who have a fully fit squad.

Atalanta possible starting lineup: Carnesecchi; Djimsiti, Hien, Scalvini, Zappacosta, Ederson, Pasalic, Ruggeri, De Ketelaere, Koopmeiners; Scamacca

Fiorentina possible starting lineup: Terracciano; Kayode, Milenkovic, Ranieri, Biraghi, Mandragora, Lopez, Gonzalez, Ikone, Sottil; Belotti

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The Predicted Atalanta vs Fiorentina Serie A Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Serie A standings ahead of the Atalanta vs Fiorentina, currently 6th vs 8th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Atalanta vs Fiorentina Standings Prediction

Position	Club	Games	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	38	29.1	5.8	3.1	88.1	23.9	64.2	93.2
2	Juventus	38	23.4	9.2	5.3	58.6	26.2	32.4	79.6
3	AC Milan	38	21.8	7.0	9.2	70.0	47.8	22.2	72.5
4	Atalanta	38	21.0	6.1	10.8	71.7	39.9	31.8	69.2
5	Bologna	38	17.2	12.5	8.4	53.1	37.3	15.8	63.9
6	AS Roma	38	17.6	8.5	11.9	62.0	43.6	18.5	61.2
7	Lazio	38	17.7	7.5	12.8	47.7	38.8	8.9	60.5
8	Napoli	38	16.7	9.4	11.9	55.6	44.0	11.6	59.6
9	Fiorentina	38	15.9	8.3	13.8	54.3	46.1	8.2	56.0
10	Torino	38	13.6	12.8	11.6	36.4	35.3	1.1	53.7
11	Monza	38	11.2	12.2	14.5	37.7	50.0	-12.3	45.9
12	Genoa	38	10.7	12.6	14.6	38.2	47.2	-9.0	44.9
13	Udinese	38	7.3	17.5	13.2	39.7	54.6	-14.8	39.4
14	Lecce	38	9.1	12.0	16.9	41.0	60.6	-19.6	39.3
15	Sassuolo	38	9.9	8.4	19.7	47.9	65.8	-17.9	38.1
16	Frosinone	38	9.6	8.0	20.4	47.0	73.6	-26.6	36.8
17	Empoli	38	8.6	10.4	19.0	32.4	56.8	-24.4	36.2
18	Verona	38	7.8	11.4	18.8	36.8	52.2	-15.4	34.8
19	Cagliari	38	7.7	9.9	20.4	39.0	68.6	-29.6	33.1
20	Salernitana	38	4.2	9.7	24.0	31.3	76.3	-44.9	22.4

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Match Stats: Numbers Are Strong From Atalanta’s Perspective

• Atalanta have found the back of the net in every fixture at this venue since 2017.
• Only Inter, Bologna, Milan and Torino have conceded fewer home goals than Atalanta.
• Fiorentina have failed to score in six of their 14 away days in Serie A.
• Nicolas Gonzalez (Fiorentina) is averaging 3.87 shots per 90 this term, from 1420 of playing time.

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Atalanta Fixtures: Lots Of Travelling But Clashes Become More Straightforward

• Vs Napoli (A)
• Vs Fiorentina (A) Coppa Italia
• Vs Cagliari (A)
• Vs Verona (H)
• Vs Monza (A)

Fiorentina Fixtures: First Three Matches Are Vital

• Vs AC Milan (H)
• Vs Atalanta (H) Coppa Italia
• Vs Juventus (A)
• Vs Genoa (H)
• Vs Salernitana (A)

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