Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Nathan Joyes is on hand, as he so often is, to provide a Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview ahead of what is 4th vs 8th in La Liga.

Our Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas prediction is for Atletico to win the match 2-0.

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction, Team News, Lineups and Fixtures Preview

• Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction: Atletico Madrid Win to Nil

In this article:

• Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Team News and Possible Lineups
• The Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas, La Liga Standings Prediction
• Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Stats
• Atletico Madrid Fixtures
• Las Palmas Fixtures
• Safer Gambling

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This week’s bettingexpert Football Podcast looking ahead at the weekend’s schedule

And if you’d rather see the Podcast, Daniel Jenkins, and Sam Ingram in all their glory, here’s the YouTube video.

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Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas: Fine home form to continue

Spain, La Liga, Saturday, February 17th, 13:00 (UK)

With the best home form in La Liga, Diego Simeone’s side continue to dominate in front of their own fans. Having dropped just a single point at Metropolitano Stadium, (a crazy 3-3 draw with Getafe well worth catching up on), it’s one of the most difficult places to go in Europe.

Atletico has not one, but two goalscorers within their ranks which make their jobs easier week in, week out. Antoine Greizmann (11 goals, six assists) and Alvaro Morata (13 goals one assist) make up over 50% of their goals this campaign.

Las Palmas haven’t underperformed on the road, collecting 14 points from 12 matches. They have, however, struggled to score goals which has restricted their progress. With just nine goals on the road, this has been their downfall against the top teams.

They failed to score against Real Madrid, Girona, Bilbao and Betis on their travels – and a similar outcome may be on the cards once more. Across those matches listed, Las Palmas only managed 11 shots on target – with only one against Madrid and Bilbao combined.

Since Atletico’s mad game vs Getafe, in which they had Stefan Savic sent off inside 38 minutes, they’ve won four La Liga games to nil as they look to secure a Champions League spot for next year.

Removing Getafe’s result from their home record, Atletico Madrid has only conceded nine goals in 11 home matches, while Las Palmas has failed to score in three of their last five La Liga away games.

Atletico has also won four of their five matches at home to Las Palmas in all competitions to nil, and I’m therefore siding with a comfortable victory for Simeone’s team.

• Predictions: Atletico Madrid Win to Nil
• Best Odds: 2.37
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stakes: 7/10

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction odds via bet365 as at 11:00, February 14th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Team News and Possible Lineups: Morata on the sidelines

Although Pablo Barrios played just 45 minutes in Atleti’s loss on the weekend, the 20-year-old is expected to be given another run out by Diego Simeone, whether that be from the bench or from the start is difficult to say. Someone who will not feature is Alvaro Morata, who sustained a knee injury in the 1-0 Sevilla loss. The length Morata will spend on the sidelines is unknown, though it looks like he might miss both matches against Inter Milan in the Champions League.

Atletico Madrid possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Savic, Witsel, Hermoso; Molina, De Paul, Koke, Llorente, Lino; Griezmann, Depay.

Las Palmas possible starting lineup:
Valles; Park, Suarez, Marmol, S Cardona; El Haddadi, Loiodice, Perrone, K Rodriguez, Moleiro; Sandro

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The Predicted Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas, La Liga Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the La Liga standings ahead of the Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas, currently 4th vs 8th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Standings Prediction

POSITION	CLUB	GAMES	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	27.4	6.9	3.6	79.8	28.5	51.3	89.2
2	Girona	38	23.5	7.9	6.6	78.0	50.0	28.0	78.5
3	Barcelona	38	23.1	8.7	6.2	79.6	49.8	29.8	78.1
4	Atl. Madrid	38	22.1	6.1	9.8	70.4	43.5	26.9	72.3
5	Ath Bilbao	38	20.4	10.1	7.4	66.9	36.2	30.7	71.5
6	Sociedad	38	14.9	13.6	9.5	50.7	37.6	13.1	58.4
7	Betis	38	14.2	14.4	9.4	47.2	44.8	2.5	57.0
8	Valencia	38	14.5	8.8	14.6	44.0	46.6	-2.6	52.4
9	Getafe	38	12.8	12.5	12.8	49.9	53.6	-3.7	50.7
10	Las Palmas	38	13.4	8.6	16.0	37.9	40.8	-3.0	48.9
11	Alaves	38	12.6	9.6	15.9	42.7	48.3	-5.6	47.2
12	Osasuna	38	12.6	8.5	17.0	43.8	56.3	-12.5	46.1
13	Vallecano	38	10.2	12.6	15.2	38.2	49.4	-11.2	43.2
14	Villarreal	38	10.5	10.0	17.6	54.7	72.2	-17.6	41.3
15	Mallorca	38	8.6	14.7	14.7	37.0	49.6	-12.7	40.5
16	Celta	38	9.9	10.3	17.9	45.8	56.4	-10.6	39.9
17	Sevilla	38	9.3	11.3	17.4	47.2	59.6	-12.4	39.2
18	Granada	38	6.3	10.4	21.2	42.8	69.4	-26.7	29.4
19	Cadiz	38	4.6	13.4	20.1	25.3	57.0	-31.7	27.1
20	Almeria	38	4.8	10.2	23.0	41.9	73.7	-31.9	24.6

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Match Stats: Limited set-piece joy

• No side has attacked more down the left-hand side of the pitch than Las Palmas (43%) this season.
• Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid (5) share the joint-highest number of goals coming from counterattacking situations in 2023/24.
• Only Atleti (2) and Valencia (0) have scored fewer free-kick goals than Las Palmas (3) this season.
• The 40.3xG from Atleti ranks them fourth in La Liga on the underlying metrics.

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Atletico Madrid Fixtures: Life on the road

• Vs Las Palmas (H)
• Vs Inter Milan (A)
• Vs Almeria (A)
• Vs Athletic Club (A)
• Vs Real Betis (H)

Las Palmas Fixtures: Top half aspirations to be tested

• Vs Atletico Madrid (A)
• Vs Osasuna (H)
• Vs Getafe (A)
• Vs Athletic Club (H)
• Vs Almeria (H)

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SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.