football | Petak, April 21, 2023 12:06 PM (Revised at: Petak, April 21, 2023 2:07 PM)

Best Prop Bets This Weekend: Five Prop Picks From the Premier League and FA Cup

Scott Thornton

Best Weekend Prop Bets: April 21st-23rd

The weekend props piece is back with the best bets for this weekend’s domestic action. We have delved into four Premier League matches and Sunday’s FA Cup semi-final.

At this stage of the season, every weekend feels crucial at both ends of the league. Results could have huge implications on who finishes where and those matches are a mouthwatering prospect in terms of bets.

Brighton also travel to Wembley to take on Manchester United. They have been on an exceptional run and the underlying data suggests their favourites tag is deserved.

In this article:

Arsenal vs Southampton Preview & Best Bet
Fulham vs Leeds Preview & Best Bet
Crystal Palace vs Everton Preview & Best Bet
Newcastle vs Tottenham Preview & Best Bet
Brighton vs Manchester United Preview & Best Bet

Arsenal vs Southampton Preview

England, Premier League, Friday, April 21st, 20:00 (UK)

Friday night sees top against bottom in the Premier League. Arsenal have stuttered in recent weeks and handed Manchester City a huge boost in the title race. They have dropped points in their last two matches after taking a 2-0 lead in each. Arteta’s men are currently four points clear but a trip to the Etihad looms next week.

It really is now or never for Southampton. They are four points from safety and most analysts are giving them very little chance of survival this season. There has been no improvement since Ruben Selles took over from Nathan Jones. The Saints now look destined for the drop.

Arsenal vs Southampton Best Bet

Arsenal need to get their title charge back on track. They will have the lion’s share of possession on Saturday and should create a heap of chances. The Gunners are averaging 19 shots per game at home; the most of any side in the league.

Surprisingly, Southampton are conceding just under 13 shots per game in their Premier League away matches. However, this Arsenal side are capable of putting them to the sword. Arteta’s men will be gunning for this one after recent setbacks and the Saints are right in the firing line.

Selection: Over 16.5 Shots For Arsenal (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 1.80 (bet365)
Stakes: 7/10

More Arsenal vs Southampton Tips

Fulham vs Leeds Preview

England, Premier League, Saturday, April 22nd, 12:30(UK)

Fulham’s standards have dropped since they exited the FA Cup at Old Trafford. Aleksandr Mitrovic was handed a lengthy suspension for his behaviour and the general consensus was that the team imploded. They ended a run of five straight defeats by beating Everton last weekend. They face another relegation candidate this week.

Leeds have conceded 11 goals in their last two matches. They are two points above the relegation zone and they have some key fixtures coming up. This weekend along with the matches against Leicester and Bournemouth will be season-defining for the club. They cannot afford to take another beating against Fulham.

Fulham vs Leeds Best Bet

Leeds have to go all out here. They will throw the kitchen sink at this wilting Fulham side should they fall behind. This gung-ho type approach usually leads to a lot of goal kicks. Leeds’ away matches this season are averaging 16.47 goal kicks per game. Their last five away matches in the league have seen an average of 18 per game.

Fulham’s matches see fewer goal kicks in general. However, their match last week against Leeds’ fellow relegation candidates, Everton saw 16 goal kicks. The reverse fixture with Leeds this season had a total of 17 goal kicks

Selection: Over 14.5 Goal Kicks In The Match (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 1.72 (bet365)
Stakes: 8/10

More Fulham vs Leeds Tips

Crystal Palace vs Everton Preview

England, Premier League, Saturday, April 22nd, 15:00 (UK)

Crystal Palace have been revitalised since Roy Hodgson’s return. They have had more attacking impetus; finding the net three times across a run of three straight victories. Up until Hodsgon’s arrival, they had scored just nine Premier League goals since the start of November.

Everton have also had a changing of the reins in recent months. Sean Dyche was brought in to help them escape the drop but their Premier League future still hangs in the balance. The Toffees have failed to win any of their last four matches and the recent display against Fulham raised alarm bells.

Crystal Palace vs Everton Best Bet

Crystal Palace had 31 shots in their last home match. They should go for the jugular against Everton with three points effectively guaranteeing them Premier League safety.

Jordan Ayew has started the last two games for Crystal Palace and has looked a threat under the tutelage of Roy Hodgson. He found the net two times in their win over Leeds and managed four shots. He also had two shots in their recent win over Southampton. He came off the bench at half-time in the new manager’s first match and had also had two attempts.

Selection: Jordan Ayew To Have Over 1.5 Shots (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 2.10 (bet365)
Stakes: 8/10

More Crystal Palace vs Everton Tips

Newcastle vs Tottenham Preview

England, Premier League, Sunday, April 23rd, 14:00 (UK)

Sunday’s only televised Premier League match is crucial in the battle for a spot in next season’s Champions League. Newcastle have stolen a march on Tottenham in recent months but they were humbled when they travelled to Villa Park last weekend. The Magpies currently have a three-point lead over Spurs and a game in hand.

It has been a tumultuous couple of months at Tottenham. Antonio Conte left the club during the international break after an outspoken press conference made his position untenable. They were beaten at home last weekend by Bournemouth. The defeat has left them needing three points when they make the trip up to Tyneside.

Newcastle vs Tottenham Best Bet

Eddie Howe’s team will be right up for this one. He has shown he is able to get a response from his team and what better place to do it than at home against a direct rival for the top four. Newcastle had 22 shots in their last match at St. James’s Park as they exacted revenge for the League Cup final defeat. They are averaging 17.07 shots per game this season.

Tottenham are conceding an average of 15.4 shots per game on the road in the league this season. They recently conceded 17 shots when they travelled to 20th place Southampton. Expect them to concede more than their average here with the Geordie crowd baying for blood.

Selection: Over 16.5 Shots For Newcastle (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 2.00 (bet365)
Stakes: 6/10

More Newcastle vs Tottenham Tips

Brighton vs Manchester United Preview

England, FA Cup, Sunday, April 23rd, 16:30 (UK)

Manchester United were hammered by Sevilla midweek. Harry Maguire returned to starting eleven due to an injury crisis at the club. His indecision on the ball coupled with De Gea’s ball-playing ability gifted the opposition some clear opportunities. Brighton will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing this United defence on Sunday.

Brighton have been fantastic of late. Tottenham are the only side to beat them in their last nine matches and there was an element of fortune about that victory. The Seagulls have already beaten United once this season. Graham Potter was still in charge for that one but the transition to De Zerbi has been seamless.

Brighton vs Manchester United Best Bet

Expect there to be a few shots here. Manchester United cannot rely on their defence and it seems unlikely that they will keep a clean sheet at Wembley. Desperation will kick in if the Red Devils fall behind. This should inflate the number of attempts they have.

Manchester United are averaging 16.3 shots per game across their last 10 matches in all competitions. Their average of 13.4 shots per game in their last 10 away matches is still well above the required mark here (although this match is played at a neutral venue). United have managed 15 shots or more in their last four meetings with Brighton.

Selection: Over 11.5 Shots For Manchester United (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 1.72 (bet365)
Stakes: 7/10

Odds via bet365 as at 11:00 April 21st 2023. Odds may now differ.

More Brighton vs Manchester United Tips

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