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We are back with best weekend prop bets with a preview and a betting angle for six Premier League matches this weekend, May 20th-21st.
Most sides have just two games left to play so it really is crunch time. The battle against the drop is as intense as the fight for a place in the Champions League. While Manchester City look set to continue their stranglehold on the competition.
In this article:
Saturday, May 20th, 12:30 (UK)
Tottenham host Brentford in a match that is crucial for both sides’ aspirations of qualifying for European football next season. The last few weeks at Tottenham have been shrouded in uncertainty. They are no closer to appointing a permanent manager. There has also been no word on the future of Harry Kane.
Brentford have done well this season. They are currently in 9th and it was clear from early on that they weren’t going to be dragged into a relegation fight. Thomas Frank’s team have earned many plaudits for the way they have performed this season and rightly so.
Brentford have forced the fourth-fewest offsides per away game in the league this season with their opponents averaging 1.22. This bet has landed in their last three away matches. In seven of Brentford’s last 10 away matches, their opponent has had fewer than two offsides.
Tottenham aren’t caught offside as often when playing at home. They have had one offside or fewer in seven of their last 10 home matches in all competitions. This bet has landed on the previous two occasions that Spurs have hosted Brentford. This line looks good.
More Tottenham vs Brentford Tips
Saturday, May 20th, 15:00 (UK)
Wolves are safe from the drop after a marked improvement since Julen Lopetegui’s arrival. They are currently sitting on 40 points and have won each of their last four matches at Molineux. Wolves beat Everton 2-1 in the reverse fixture but it’ll be interesting to see just how motivated their players are come this weekend.
The Toffees are still in the thick of a relegation battle. They are 17th in the league with two matches still to play. Sean Dyche has overseen a slight improvement but the experienced manager will know that Everton need a few more points on the board.
Everton were comprehensively beaten by Man City in their last game but that was to be expected. Prior to that, they were impressive as they beat Brighton 5-1. Abdoulaye Doucoure has featured in the number 10 role of late. The midfielder found the net twice in that game.
Doucoure has started as an attacking midfielder in his last three matches. He has had a shot on target in two of those; the exception was the game against Manchester City. These have been his only three games in this position all season but an average of one shot on target per game over that period makes it an appealing price.
Saturday, May 20th, 17:30 (UK)
Nottingham Forest are three points above the drop zone going into this one. They have an inferior goal difference to the teams below them so will are still in desperate need of points as the season draws to a close. Steve Cooper has come under pressure this season but keeping Forest in the Premier League would be a success.
Arsenal’s title challenge came crashing down in their last match. They were beaten 3-0 by Brighton at the Emirates. Arteta’s team will be proud of the progress they have made this season. Attention has now turned to summer signings so it’ll be interesting to see how they perform in the remaining two matches.
Forest will have to attack in this one but it’s unreasonable to expect them to put Arsenal under pressure for long periods of the match. Steve Cooper’s side are averaging 10.44 shots per home game this season. However, this drops to just five shots per game when they have faced the other three sides who currently occupy the top four with Arsenal.
The Gunners’ opponents are averaging 9.17 shots per game this season. This drops to nine shots in their last five matches where they have been similarly priced to win. They restricted Forest to just five shots in the reverse fixture.
More Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal Tips
Sunday, May 21st, 13:30 (UK)
West Ham come into this one after having secured a place in the final of the Europa Conference League. The Hammers have endured a tough season domestically but clinching silverware would make this their best season in recent memory. They could guarantee Premier League survival with a result on Sunday.
Leeds are 18th and in real danger of going down. They have appointed Sam Allardyce in an effort to beat the drop this season. They managed a draw with Newcastle in their last game but they will need to pick up at least one win in their remaining two matches to remain in the top-flight. Leeds will be hoping to take advantage of any tired legs when they take on David Moyes’ side.
West Ham’s last home match against Manchester United saw 20 goal kicks. The Hammers’ league matches this season are averaging 15.21 goal kicks per game. There was a staggering 27 goal kicks when these sides met earlier this season.
Leeds face Tottenham in their last game so expect them to go all out for the three points against West Ham. Their away matches this season are averaging 15.61 goal kicks per game. There were 20 goal kicks when they played West Ham at this ground last season.
Sunday, May 21st, 16:30 (UK)
Manchester City recorded a historic 4-0 win over Real Madrid midweek. Pep Guardiola’s side have been at their brilliant best in recent months. They now look likely to complete the treble, a feat that has been unmatched in English football since 1999. They are four points clear of Arsenal with a game in hand.
Chelsea’s first season in the post-Abramovich era has been a disaster. They have spent eye-watering sums of money on a team of immensely talented young players. However, they have been unable to gel. Mauricio Pochettino is set to take over next season but they need to see out the current campaign under Frank Lampard.
Manchester City’s home matches in the league are averaging 27.94 throws per game. This is almost three fewer than Arsenal who have the second lowest tally. This bet has landed in their last five matches at the Etihad in all competitions with an average of just 24.2 throws per game.
Chelsea’s last trip to this ground saw 29 throws. The Blues’ away matches this season are averaging 38.6 throws per game. However, this drops to 33.5 if we only include the away matches that Frank Lampard has taken charge of.
More Manchester City vs Chelsea Tips
Sunday, May 21st, 16:30 (UK)
Newcastle all but secured their place in the top four by beating Brighton on Thursday. They have another home fixture on Monday night. Eddie Howe’s men will be wanting to put on a show in the last home game of the season. Champions League qualification would have been beyond the wildest dreams of most Geordies back in August.
Leicester look set to be relegated this season unless they can drastically improve in the final matches. Their stint in the top flight saw them win the league against the financial might of the other clubs without lavish spending. Those days are long gone for the Foxes and there has been no improvement since Dean Smith came in.
Newcastle’s average of 21.56 throws per home game in the league this season ranks them 2nd in that regard. They had 25 throws as they beat Brighton in their last game and throws look to be on the agenda again. The Magpies are averaging 24.8 throws per game in their last five home meetings with Leicester. This bet has won in all five.
Since Dean Smith took charge, Leicester’s opponents are averaging 23.67 throws per game. Above the 20.22 average set across the whole season. They forced 21 throws from Newcastle in the reverse fixture. This is a good line.
More Newcastle vs Leicester Tips
Odds via bet365 as at 10:30 May 19th 2023. Odds may now differ.
Our best bets are posted by some of the best tipsters around. These are our tipsters best value bets. A best bet can be placed on any number of different markets. The most common of which are 1X2, the Asian handicap, BTTS, and the goals markets. Value can be found in matches from leagues across the world. Be sure to follow bettingexpert for the latest best bets.