football | Thursday, November 24, 2022 10:46 PM (Revised at: Thursday, November 24, 2022 11:47 PM)

BETSiE Predicts.....the 2022 World Cup: Round 2 Best Bets

Andrew Brocker

It was a solid start to the 2022 World Cup, with a profit returned thanks to the old girl BETSiE in round one of the group stage.

BETSiE’s Round 1 Best Bets Results

WON: Ecuador -0.25 goals (AH) vs Qatar @ odds 2.09
LOST: Croatia to win vs Morocco @ odds 2.10
PUSH: Belgium -1 goal (AH) vs Canada @ odds 1.90
HALF LOSS/PUSH: Cameroon +0.75 goals (AH) vs Switzerland @ odds 1.94
WON England vs Iran Over 2.25 goals @ odds 2.06

So we went 2 wins, 1.5 pushes, 1.5 losses for +0.65 units profit at even stakes, return of +13%.

Let’s see where there value is in round two of the group stage.

In this article:

World Cup Round 2 Best Bets
World Cup Round 2: 1X2 Projections
World Cup Round 2: Asian handicap Projections
World Cup Round 2: Goal Total Projections
World Cup Round 2: Both Teams to Score Projections

BETSiE’s World Cup 2022 Round 2 Best Bets

Qatar +0.75 goals (AH) vs Senegal @ odds 2.07
Netherlands -0.75 goals (AH) vs Ecuador @ odds 2.03
Australia +0.25 goals (AH) vs Tunisia @ odds 2.10
Denmark +0.75 goals (AH) vs France @ odds 1.92
Costa Rica +1.25 goals (AH) vs Japan @ odds 1.87
Croatia -0.25 goals (AH) vs Canada @ odds 1.85
Belgium to win vs Morocco @ odds 2.05
Spain vs Germany, Under 2.75 goals @ odds 2.23

Best odds as at 12am November 25th 2022. Odds may now differ.

World Cup 2022 Round 2: 1X2 Projections

Below are the 1X2 probabilities for the 16 matches of the second round.

Team A	Team B	Team A %	Draw %	Team B %
Iran	Wales	27.80%	29.20%	43.10%
Qatar	Senegal	23.00%	26.20%	50.80%
Ecuador	Netherlands	14.40%	22.40%	63.20%
England	USA	61.30%	22.60%	16.20%
Australia	Tunisia	32.10%	28.30%	39.60%
Poland	Saudi Arabia	60.20%	23.60%	16.10%
Denmark	France	23.60%	26.90%	49.50%
Argentina	Mexico	64.20%	22.20%	13.60%
Costa Rica	Japan	16.30%	24.20%	59.60%
Belgium	Morocco	56.90%	23.70%	19.40%
Canada	Croatia	22.30%	25.60%	52.20%
Germany	Spain	32.50%	25.70%	41.80%
Cameroon	Serbia	19.90%	25.80%	54.30%
Ghana	South Korea	31.70%	29.40%	38.90%
Brazil	Switzerland	67.70%	20.00%	12.40%
Portugal	Uruguay	47.70%	26.70%	25.60%

Plenty of teams offering value in the 1X2 market. But as we did in round one, let’s see where the value is in the Asian handicap market before settling on our best bets.

World Cup 2022 Round 2: Asian Handicap Projections

Below are the probabilities for each second round match in the Asian handicap market.

Team A	Team B	Team A Ah	Team B Ah	Team A Ah%	Team B Ah%
Iran	Wales	0.25	-0.25	48.00%	52.00%
Qatar	Senegal	0.75	-0.75	57.40%	42.60%
Ecuador	Netherlands	0.75	-0.75	43.30%	56.70%
England	USA	-1	1	48.00%	52.00%
Australia	Tunisia	0.25	-0.25	52.60%	47.40%
Poland	Saudi Arabia	-0.75	0.75	53.10%	46.90%
Denmark	France	0.75	-0.75	58.90%	41.10%
Argentina	Mexico	-1	1	51.30%	48.70%
Costa Rica	Japan	1.25	-1.25	61.00%	39.00%
Belgium	Morocco	-0.5	0.5	56.90%	43.10%
Canada	Croatia	0.25	-0.25	38.90%	61.10%
Germany	Spain	0.25	-0.25	51.00%	49.00%
Cameroon	Serbia	0.75	-0.75	53.70%	46.30%
Ghana	South Korea	0	0	44.90%	55.10%
Brazil	Switzerland	-1.25	1.25	49.60%	50.40%
Portugal	Uruguay	-0.5	0.5	47.70%	52.30%

As last round, we don’t see as much value in the Asian handicap market as we did in the 1X2 market, but still enough to take our interest.

In fact there are seven teams that see value in both the 1X2 market and Asian handicap market.

Like I said in the previous best bets article, I will only place money on teams that are providing value in both the 1X2 and Asian handicap markets and then back those teams in the Asian handicap market

What we see this round is plenty of value in teams that had horrendous opening rounds (Qatar, Costa Rica) and nations who won but were not particularly impressive (Netherlands, Belgium). We will also be opposing nations that had hot starts to the tournament (France, Japan)

So then, these are the seven best bets in the Asian handicap market for round two of the 2022 World Cup:

Qatar +0.75 goals (AH) vs Senegal
Netherlands -0.75 goals (AH) vs Ecuador
Australia +0.25 goals (AH) vs Tunisia
Denmark +0.75 goals (AH) vs France
Costa Rica +1.25 goals (AH) vs Japan
Croatia -0.25 goals (AH) vs Canada
Belgium -0.5 goals (AH) (to win the match) vs Morocco

Let’s now turn our attention to goal totals and both teams to score.

World Cup 2022 Round 2: Goal Total Projections

So where is the value in the goal totals market in round two of the World Cup group stage?

Team A	Team B	O/U Line	Over %	Under %
Iran	Wales	2	49.50%	50.50%
Qatar	Senegal	2.25	50.70%	49.30%
Ecuador	Netherlands	2.25	53.90%	46.10%
England	USA	2.75	41.20%	58.80%
Australia	Tunisia	2.25	47.50%	52.50%
Poland	Saudi Arabia	2.25	52.10%	47.90%
Denmark	France	2.25	48.60%	51.40%
Argentina	Mexico	2.5	45.20%	54.80%
Costa Rica	Japan	2.5	42.70%	57.30%
Belgium	Morocco	2.25	56.70%	43.30%
Canada	Croatia	2.25	52.60%	47.40%
Germany	Spain	2.75	43.40%	56.60%
Cameroon	Serbia	2.25	49.20%	50.80%
Ghana	South Korea	2	50.00%	50.00%
Brazil	Switzerland	2.75	44.40%	55.60%
Portugal	Uruguay	2.25	50.70%	49.30%

There are a few matches where we see some value in the goal totals market.

These are:

England vs USA, Under 2.75 goals
Costa Rica vs Japan, Under 2.5 goals
Germany vs Spain, Under 2.75 goals
Brazil vs Switzerland, Under 2.75 goals

Ok, so let’s then see if any of these selections are offering value in the Both teams to Score – No market.

World Cup 2022 Round 2: Both Teams To Score Projections

Below are the probabilities for both teams to score yes and no for the full list of round 2 matches.

Team A	Team B	Yes	No
Iran	Wales	42.40%	57.60%
Qatar	Senegal	46.30%	53.70%
Ecuador	Netherlands	42.80%	57.20%
England	USA	46.10%	53.90%
Australia	Tunisia	46.40%	53.60%
Poland	Saudi Arabia	43.10%	56.90%
Denmark	France	45.10%	54.90%
Argentina	Mexico	41.30%	58.70%
Costa Rica	Japan	42.00%	58.00%
Belgium	Morocco	48.60%	51.40%
Canada	Croatia	47.30%	52.70%
Germany	Spain	54.40%	45.60%
Cameroon	Serbia	43.70%	56.30%
Ghana	South Korea	43.40%	56.60%
Brazil	Switzerland	44.40%	55.60%
Portugal	Uruguay	47.30%	52.70%