Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Scott Thornton brings you his Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview ahead of the Champions League final.

Carlo Ancelotti is hoping to win his fifth Champions League as a manager. It’s been a hugely successful campaign for Real Madrid with the team proving impossible to beat in recent months. Dortmund have previously lost in the final of this competition at Wembley. They will be hoping to fare better this time around,

• Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Tip 1: Real Madrid To Win
• Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Tip 2: Over 34.5 Tackles In The Match
• Borussia Dortmund vs Real MadridTip 3: Under 33.5 Throws In The Match

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction 1: Madrid to Reign Supreme Once More

Europe, Champions League, Saturday, June 1st, 20:00 (UK)

Real Madrid have the chance to win their 15th Champions League crown on Wednesday night, and we are backing them to get the job done in normal time. Carlo Ancelotti has already won this competition four times as a manager and has had plenty of time to prepare for this match. The legendary boss has masterminded a remarkable campaign that has seen Real Madrid win La Liga at a canter, but Europe is always the focus in the Spanish capital.

Los Blancos haven’t tasted defeat since the 24th of September, when they were beaten 3-1 by Atletico Madrid. They are now enjoying an astonishing unbeaten run of 47 matches. Over that period, they scored an average of 2.4 goals per game and conceded just 0.89.

Dortmund haven’t been at their best in domestic competitions this season. They finished 5th in the Bundesliga, and consistency has been an issue. Edin Terzic’s side has lost their last ten matches, and they are the underdogs here. 

• Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction 1: Real Madrid To Win (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.65
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

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Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction 2: Madrid Matches are Often Short of Throws

Real Madrid have a wealth of talent available. Carlo Ancelotti has proven himself to be tactically flexible in what has been a taxing campaign. However, no matter what shape or personnel they use, their matches tend to see fewer throws. Their Champions League matches this season have seen an average of 26.5 throws per game. Only Manchester City matches had fewer throws in this competition. Bet365 have set the line at 33.5 throws for this match. There have been 33 throws or less in all 12 of Real Madrid’s European matches this season.

This trend isn’t isolated to the Champions League. Their La Liga matches may average 34.05 throws per game, but that is six less than the overall league average.

Dortmund’s Champions League matches have seen an average of 36.92 throws per game so we are relying on Real being able to impose their game on the German side here. The average throws per game in this competition since the start of the group stages is 36.79, so Dortmund’s numbers aren’t alarmingly high.

• Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction 2: Under 33.5 Throws In The Match (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.72
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

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Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction 3: Tackle Count Set to Soar

Borussia Dortmund pressed more intensely last season, and that is reflected in the PPDA (passes per defensive action) data. The 1.78 increase in PPDA over the Bundesliga campaign highlights how they have switched to a more pragmatic defensive approach. Nevertheless, the tackle numbers in their matches have remained high. Their league matches have seen an average of 34.97 tackles, the third most in Germany’s top flight.

Terzic’s side’s matches in the Champions League have seen even more tackles, with an average of 37.92 per game. There have been 35 tackles or more in five of their six knockout games in this competition this season. Dortmund will need to be combative here to stop Madrid’s midfield from dictating the pace of this game.

Real Madrid attempt the most dribbles per game in the Spanish League with an average of 10.55 per game. Unsurprisingly, this has led to the opposition making an average of 18.55 tackles per game, the third most in La Liga. There were 40 tackles in the match the last time Real competed in the Champions League final.

• Prediction 3: Over 34.5 Tackles In The Match (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.80
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:41, May 27th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Team News and Possible Lineups: Big Names Set to Feature

Borussia Dortmund will be without Ramy Bensebaini and Julie Duranville. Edin Terzic will be delighted he has the majority of the his players at his disposal as he attempts to conjure up a place than can topple Real Madrid.

Carlo Ancelotti will have most of his players available for Saturday’s showpiece. David Alaba remains out with a knee injury and Aurelien Tchouameni will have to be assessed. Other than that, there are no injury worries for Real Madrid. All of their key attacking players will feature in what promises to be a memorable game. 

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Ryerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen; Can, Sabitzer; Adeyemi, Brandt, Sancho; Füllkrug

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Nacho, Rüdiger, Mendy; Valverde, Kroos, Camavinga; Bellingham; Rodrygo, Vinícius Júnior

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Match OPTA Stats: A Game That Promises Goals

• This will be the 15th meeting between Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid in European competition, all of which have been in the UEFA Champions League. Real Madrid are the team Borussia Dortmund have faced most often in the competition (14), while the Spanish side have only faced FC Bayern München (22) and Juventus (16) more often.
• Borussia Dortmund have only won three of their 14 meetings with Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League (D5 L6). Among teams they’ve faced at least five times in the competition, only against Manchester City (17%) do they have a lower win percentage than against the Spanish side (21%).
• Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid last faced each other in the UEFA Champions League in 2017-18, with los Blancos winning both games in the group stage (3-1 away, 3-2 at home). Neither side has previously managed to win three consecutive games in this fixture in European competition. 
• This will be Real Madrid’s 18th appearance in a European Cup/UEFA Champions League final, with their 17 already the most of any side. They’ve lifted the trophy in 14 of those previous 17 finals, while a victory here would mean they’ve won the European Cup (15) more than twice as many times as any other team (Milan with the next-most on 7).
• Borussia Dortmund are appearing in just their third UEFA Champions League final (won in 1996-97, lost in 2012-13 previously), with their qualification meaning this will be the first final in the competition between German and Spanish opposition since the 2002 final – one which was won by Real Madrid (2-1 v Bayer Leverkusen).
• Should they avoid defeat here, Real Madrid will have gone unbeaten across a European Cup/UEFA Champions League season for the first time in their history (currently P12 W8 D4). They’d be only the second Spanish side to win the trophy without losing a single game in that campaign, along with Barcelona in 2005-06 (P13 W9 D4).

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