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It’s a Bournemouth vs Luton prediction, team news, lineups, and fixtures preview next on the agenda for Tom Winch here at bettingexpert as we tackle the Wednesday Night Premier League game at The Vitality Stadium.
Bournemouth host Luton in a clash where the home side are big favourites. The pair have won once in total across 14 league matches in 2024. We’re expecting an entertaining affair, with both sides giving their all. Our Bournemouth vs Luton prediction is for Bournemouth to win the match 3-1.
England, Premier League, Wednesday, March 13th, 19:30 (UK)
Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth is priced around 1.55 to beat Luton. It’s probably about right regarding the current situation. We can boost this price significantly if we back the visitors to find the back of the net. Luton’s scoring record is fantastic. The Hatters have scored in 22 of their 26 Premier League matches, which includes all of the last 14.
Bournemouth have won one Premier League game across 2024. They’re an entertaining team and can be keen on the eye. The Cherries have beaten Burnley home and away and Sheffield United at Bramall Lane. Yes, Luton is better than those two, but I still believe the hosts will have too much on the night.
I think the jump in price is well worth backing. Luton have lost each of their previous five matches despite finding the back of the net in all. Carlton Morris is a threat. He’s scored in four of his five recent starts in the league.
BTTS is available at 1.55. That’s short, but that’s the Premier League. Two short selections combined make a rather enticing bet. It makes sense, doesn’t it?
Dominic Solanke is having a cracking season. Bournemouth’s talisman has found the back of the net 14 times this term. Haaland, Watkins and Salah are the only players who’ve scored more. Solanke is a threat. He’s the biggest goal threat on both sides.

The former Liverpool man averages 0.54 goals per 90 in the Premier League. He’s not afraid to shoot and will have numerous chances against a Luton side who have struggled massively in recent weeks. The visitors have shipped 22 goals in their last six matches.
Bournemouth are likely to score at least two goals here. I wouldn’t be surprised if they give Luton a pasting. Rob Edwards’ men have conceded three or more goals in five of their last six. With a home side who are great offensively, backing their impressive striker looks like a sensible selection.
With VAR used frequently, a penalty kick is never far away. Thankfully, Dominic Solanke will be on spot-kick duties. Luton have conceded just two whilst Bournemouth have earned just one. You could say that one is due.
Ross Barkley has been a revelation for Luton. He’s been in class form throughout the campaign. I’m happy to back him in the shot market. Luton’s midfield maestro has started 19 Premier League matches this term. His average is impressive. It’s 2.49 shots per 90 for the former Toffee.
No Luton player has a larger shot average than Barkley. His quality shines on this side. He’s a leader and a man who can produce a moment of excellence. This part of the selection has landed in nine of Barkley’s previous ten appearances.
Some of those matches came against Liverpool, Newcastle (x2) Villa, Man United, Brighton and Chelsea. It’ll be a shock if Luton’s man fails to deliver at the Vitality Stadium.
I’m backing Luton corners alongside Ross’ shots. Rob Edwards’ side averages 4.25 corners per game on their travels. They’ve racked up four corners or greater in eight of their 12 away days. This selection won in away trips at Liverpool, Villa, Chelsea and Brighton.
Bournemouth’s record is impressive, well, for their opponents, that is. 11 of their 12 opponents have managed at least four corner kicks at this venue, that’s each of the previous ten.
Bournemouth vs Luton Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:00, March 1st, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Bournemouth have several injury concerns ahead of Wednesday night. Ryan Christie, Max Aarons and Lloyd Kelly are all doubts. The Scotsman is likely to start despite his illness.
Marcos Senesi will not feature. The Argentinian picked up an injury early on against Burnley. The home side have all of their attacking players fit and available.
Times are tough for Rob Edwards and his Luton side. Lokonga and Osho will face late fitness tests.
Adebayo’s absence is a massive loss. The forward is likely to return soon after this encounter. The defence has struggled massively in recent weeks. They’re struggling to keep the goals out.
Bournemouth possible starting lineup: Neto; Smith, Zabarnyi, Mepham, Kerkez, Cook, Christie, Semenyo, Kluivert, Tavernier; Solanke
Luton possible starting lineup: Kaminski; Bell, Mengi, Burke, Kabore, Clark, Barkley, Doughty, Townsend, Chong; Morris
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Bournemouth vs Luton, currently 13th vs 18th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
| Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool | 38 | 25.9 | 8.0 | 4.1 | 89.3 | 37.4 | 51.9 | 85.8 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26.5 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 91.4 | 30.9 | 60.5 | 85.7 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 38 | 25.7 | 7.2 | 5.1 | 84.9 | 37.8 | 47.2 | 84.4 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 21.4 | 6.3 | 10.3 | 77.5 | 55.4 | 22.0 | 70.4 |
| 5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.6 | 7.4 | 11.0 | 76.5 | 61.4 | 15.0 | 66.3 |
| 6 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 17.5 | 4.4 | 16.1 | 52.6 | 58.7 | -6.1 | 56.9 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 38 | 16.7 | 6.2 | 15.0 | 79.3 | 65.5 | 13.8 | 56.5 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 38 | 15.6 | 8.4 | 14.0 | 68.4 | 63.1 | 5.3 | 55.3 |
| 9 | West Ham | 38 | 15.2 | 8.3 | 14.5 | 58.3 | 68.4 | -10.1 | 54.0 |
| 10 | Brighton | 38 | 14.0 | 11.5 | 12.5 | 65.0 | 61.3 | 3.7 | 53.4 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 14.6 | 7.4 | 15.9 | 54.7 | 61.3 | -6.5 | 51.3 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.3 | 9.7 | 15.0 | 54.8 | 63.9 | -9.1 | 49.5 |
| 13 | Fulham | 38 | 13.8 | 7.6 | 16.6 | 54.9 | 59.7 | -4.8 | 49.1 |
| 14 | Brentford | 38 | 11.6 | 7.4 | 19.0 | 57.3 | 67.0 | -9.7 | 42.2 |
| 15 | Everton | 38 | 12.7 | 9.5 | 15.8 | 46.4 | 52.4 | -5.9 | 41.6 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 10.2 | 9.6 | 18.2 | 44.8 | 64.6 | -19.8 | 40.1 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 10.1 | 8.8 | 19.1 | 48.9 | 64.0 | -15.0 | 39.2 |
| 18 | Luton | 38 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 23.1 | 51.5 | 80.9 | -29.4 | 30.1 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 5.6 | 6.6 | 25.8 | 36.7 | 79.1 | -42.4 | 23.5 |
| 20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 5.2 | 6.4 | 26.4 | 32.9 | 93.4 | -60.5 | 22.0 |
Luton Town have won two of their last three league games against Bournemouth (L1), as many as they had in their previous 10 (D4 L4).
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