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The Premier League action kicks off in London and we have Brentford vs Liverpool prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview.
Liverpool have a chance to move five points clear at the top of the division with Manchester City and Arsenal not in action to later in the day. The Reds have only lost one of their last 13 games and are odds on to best the Bees.
James Cantrill has cast an eye over this one, dipping into goals, scorers and card markets.
Our Brentford vs Liverpool prediction is for Liverpool to win the match 3-1.
In this article:
And if you’d rather see the Podcast, Daniel Jenkins, and Sam Ingram in all their glory, here’s the YouTube video.
England, Premier League, Saturday, February 17h, 12:30 (UK)
After a sluggish start, Liverpool kicked on to beat Burnley 3-1 last weekend.
It maintained their two-point lead at the top of the Premier League with the chasing pack, Arsenal and Manchester City, winning as well.
It means Jurgen Klopp’s side has only lost one of their last 13 games in all competitions, albeit that defeat did come against title rival Arsenal. Over that period, the Reds have booked their spot in the FA Cup quarter-finals and League Cup final, keeping hopes of a quadruple alive in Jurgen Klopp’s swansong season.
Liverpool may have the second-best defensive record in the division (23GA), but their backline has looked vulnerable recently. Burnley became the fifth side to find the net against the Reds in as many games, alongside Chelsea, Arsenal, Fulham and Norwich, who scored twice at Anfield in the FA Cup.
At 1.83, backing over 2.5 goals and both teams to score appeals here.
Brentford have netted in each of their last nine, with this bet clicking on seven occasions.
Since his return, Ivan Toney has scored three goals in four appearances, only failing to find the net during the visit of Man City.
In those four games, the frontman has had ten shots, wasting little time in reacquainting himself with the Premier League.
Those three goals have taken Toney’s top-flight tally to 35 in 70 starts; in the most literal sense, that is a goal every other game, but his goals per 90 average is 0.45.
Whichever way you look at it, the 3.00 available about him scoring anytime against Liverpool looks too large.
He is yet to break his duck against Klopp’s men, but with Brentford as short as 1.36 to score, it makes sense to back Toney to bag.
The division’s rustler-in-chief is in insatiable form at the minute, both in front of goal and on the wind-up.
Neal Maupay has found the net three times in his last four appearances, picking up bookings in half of those games and at 5.50, it is his price to be shown a card on Saturday afternoon that interests me.
The Frenchman has as many goals as he does cards (5) this term, but it is who the cards come against that is of particular interest.
Maupay was cautioned against Man City, Spurs, Aston Villa, Chelsea and Manchester United which is four of the ‘big six’ and the side currently in fifth.
He is obviously a player who has to play on the edge and struggles to keep himself in check for the big games. The visit of the leaders Liverpool certainly falls into the big game category.
Brentford vs Liverpool Prediction odds via Boylesports and bet365 as at 15:00, February 14th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
Frank Onyeka is back available for the hosts after reaching the final of the African Cup of Nations with Nigeria. He may have to settle for a spot on the bench with Vitaly Janelt, Mathias Jensen and Christian Norgaard expected to start in midfield.
Toney and Maupay look set to continue in attack. The partnership has had a hand in six of their side’s last eight goals.
Liverpool received a boost this week as Mohammed Salah returned to training. The Egyptian international missed the back end of his nation’s AFCON campaign with a hamstring injury. This weekend’s trip to London may come too soon for Salah to start, though.
Brentford possible starting lineup:
Flekken; Collins, Pinnock, Mee; Roeslev, Jensen, Norgaard, Janelt, Reguilon; Maupay, Toney
Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Becker; Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Djik, Robertson; Elliot, Mac Allister, Jones; Jota, Nunez, Diaz
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Brentford vs Liverpool, currently 14th vs 1st, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
Position | Club | Games | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Points |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Arsenal | 38 | 25.4 | 6.7 | 5.9 | 82.9 | 33.2 | 49.7 | 82.9 |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 24.6 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 86.8 | 39.0 | 47.8 | 82.5 |
3 | Manchester City | 38 | 24.7 | 7.2 | 6.2 | 85.7 | 41.0 | 44.7 | 81.1 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20.2 | 7.1 | 10.6 | 73.9 | 52.1 | 21.8 | 67.8 |
5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.8 | 7.8 | 10.4 | 76.5 | 60.6 | 15.8 | 67.2 |
6 | Newcastle | 38 | 17.1 | 5.7 | 15.1 | 79.5 | 64.9 | 14.6 | 57.2 |
7 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 17.3 | 5.1 | 15.6 | 51.8 | 57.5 | -5.7 | 57.0 |
8 | Chelsea | 38 | 16.0 | 6.9 | 15.1 | 66.8 | 63.4 | 3.4 | 55.0 |
9 | Brighton | 38 | 14.2 | 11.3 | 12.6 | 63.5 | 61.7 | 1.9 | 53.8 |
10 | West Ham | 38 | 14.1 | 9.0 | 14.9 | 55.2 | 68.5 | -13.3 | 51.3 |
11 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 13.8 | 8.1 | 16.1 | 56.7 | 62.2 | -5.5 | 49.5 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.3 | 9.3 | 15.4 | 55.5 | 66.6 | -11.1 | 49.1 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 12.8 | 8.4 | 16.9 | 52.4 | 61.0 | -8.6 | 46.6 |
14 | Brentford | 38 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 17.8 | 58.4 | 63.2 | -4.8 | 46.0 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 14.5 | 8.2 | 15.3 | 49.0 | 50.0 | -0.9 | 41.7 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 9.9 | 9.4 | 18.7 | 42.7 | 65.2 | -22.5 | 39.1 |
17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 18.7 | 46.4 | 62.7 | -16.3 | 38.6 |
18 | Luton | 38 | 8.6 | 8.0 | 21.4 | 51.4 | 76.4 | -25.0 | 33.7 |
19 | Burnley | 38 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 24.1 | 39.7 | 73.1 | -33.4 | 26.8 |
20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 5.7 | 6.9 | 25.4 | 35.9 | 88.5 | -52.5 | 23.9 |
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