Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

We bring you our Brighton vs Manchester City prediction. Team news, lineups and fixtures preview courtesy of Scott Thornton.

Every game is must win for Manchester City as they aim to win the Premier League once again. They have been pushed hard by Arsenal and Liverpool this season, but Pep Guradiola’s side are still the favourites with very few games remaining. Brighton haven’t reached the heights of last season but they remain a very capable side.

• Brighton vs Manchester City Tip 1: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals
• Brighton vs Manchester City Tip 2: Manchester City To Win & Both Teams To Score
• Brighton vs Manchester City Tip 3: Under 10 Corners

Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction 1: Seagulls Have Had Success

England, Premier League, Thursday, April 25th, 20:00 (UK)

Manchester City looked a little leggy in their win over Chelsea in the FA Cup semi-final at the weekend. The games have been coming thick and fast for Pep Guardiola’s side but there is no respite. They dropped the 3rd in the Premier League over the weekend but have a game-in-hand to retake top spot. There is no room for error in the remaining weeks of the season.

With fatigue being an issue for City, goals looks a good bet here. Both teams have scored in five of their last six matches in the leagues. The exception was the 0-0 draw with Arsenal at the Emirates. Over that six-match period, Pep’s side are scoring an average of 2.38 goals per game and conceding one.

Brighton have failed to score in just two of their 15 Premier League matches at the Amex Arena this season. They are averaging 1.87 goals per game during that run. The Seagulls have scored in all three of their matches against Manchester City since Roberto De Zerbi took charge. 

• Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction 1: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.83
• Bookmaker:  bet365
• Stake: 8/10

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Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction 2: Pep’s Side Rise to the Occasion

Manchester City’s players are well-versed in title races at this point. They have made a habit of putting together obscene winning runs in the closing months of the season, which has helped them see off Liverpool in a couple of seasons that went down to the wire. Their Champions League exit means anything other than a fourth consecutive triumph in the top tier of English football would be a disappointment. Their experience should be enough to get them over the line here.

Brighton are without a win in their last four matches. They could only manage a 1-1 draw away at Burnley in their last game and have a miserable record against Manchester City. They have managed to win just one of the last ten meetings between the sides.

The Citizens haven’t tasted defeat in their last 17 league games. They have scored 13 goals in their previous three league games and won all three of those despite conceding a goal. We are backing the visitors to win and both teams to score once again.

• Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction 2: Manchester City To Win & Both Teams To Score
• Best Odds: 2.62
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

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Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction 3: Corners in Short Supply

Both of these sides are comfortable with paying through the opposition press. There is a reluctance to go direct and both managers have ensured that their deeper players are composed in possession of the ball. This patient approach means that the ball goes out of play less frequently. 

Brighton matches have seen the fewest corners in the Premier League with an average of 9.72 per game. Roberto De Zerbi will not change his approach just because his team face the best side in the country. The Seagulls’ clashes with City while managed by the Italian has seen very few corners. There were just four when the sides met at the Etihad earlier in the season. There were six corners when the sides last met at this ground. The first meeting between Pep Guardiola and Roberto De Zerbi saw nine corners.

Manchester City are conceding the second-fewest corners in the division with their opponents averaging just 3.47 per game. Pep’s side often apply the pressure and rack up a healthy amount of corners themselves but that might not be the case here.

• Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction 3: Under 10 Corners
• Best Odds: 1.83
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

Brighton vs Manchester City Prediction odds via bet365 as at 06:22, April 22nd, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Brighton vs Manchester City Team News and Possible Lineups: Depleted Squad for De Zerbi

Brighton have a number of absentees. Estupinan is still out with an ankle injury and a return date is unclear. Lamptey and Mitoma won’t be in the squad until next month. Encisom Ferguson, Gilmour and James Milner are expected to return shortly but this game could be too soon for them.

Manchester City have their key players available for the home stretch but fatigue could be an issue. Pep Guardiola’s side looked visibly tired in the second half of their FA Cup clash with Chelsea. The manager praised his players for how they’ve handled the gruelling schedule but he is likely to make changes here.

Brighton possible starting lineup:
Verburggen; Julio, Dunk, Van Hecke, Veltman; Baleba, Groß; Pedro, Moder, Adingra; Welbeck

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ortega; Akanji, Dias, Stones, Walker: Rodri, Silva, De Bruyne, Bobb, Doku; Alvarez

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The Predicted Brighton vs Manchester City Premier League Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Brighton vs Manchester City, currently 3rd vs 10th , fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Brighton vs Manchester City Standings Prediction

Position	Club	Games	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Points
1	Manchester City	38	26.0	8.1	3.9	90.0	37.6	52.4	86.2
2	Arsenal	38	26.3	6.1	5.6	88.3	30.3	58.0	84.9
3	Liverpool	38	25.0	9.0	4.0	87.6	38.1	49.5	84.1
4	Aston Villa	38	20.7	7.1	10.2	75.6	58.0	17.6	69.1
5	Tottenham	38	19.9	7.2	10.9	74.4	61.2	13.2	66.9
6	Newcastle	38	17.9	6.2	13.9	81.6	62.0	19.6	59.9
7	Manchester Utd	38	17.1	6.3	14.6	55.3	57.6	-2.3	57.6
8	Chelsea	38	15.8	9.4	12.9	72.9	64.1	8.8	56.7
9	West Ham	38	14.1	9.9	14.0	58.3	69.7	-11.5	52.1
10	Brighton	38	13.0	12.3	12.7	61.3	61.0	0.3	51.3
11	Bournemouth	38	13.4	10.3	14.3	56.2	66.0	-9.7	50.5
12	Wolverhampton	38	13.5	8.2	16.4	52.9	63.3	-10.4	48.5
13	Fulham	38	13.6	7.1	17.3	56.2	60.0	-3.8	47.9
14	Crystal Palace	38	10.3	10.5	17.2	45.8	62.4	-16.6	41.5
15	Brentford	38	9.8	9.1	19.1	54.7	66.5	-11.7	38.4
16	Everton	38	11.3	9.3	17.4	40.8	57.2	-16.4	37.2
17	Nottingham Forest	38	8.8	10.3	18.9	48.1	64.5	-16.4	32.6
18	Luton	38	7.6	8.1	22.2	53.8	79.2	-25.5	31.0
19	Burnley	38	5.4	9.2	23.5	39.1	76.7	-37.6	25.3
20	Sheffield Utd	38	4.6	8.4	25.0	37.1	94.5	-57.4	22.2

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Match OPTA Stats: It’s 17/19 During the Week

• Brighton have lost 11 of their 13 Premier League games against Manchester City (W1 D1), though each of  their four points earned against the Citizens in the competition have come across their last three home  games against them (W1 D1 L1). 
• Man City have scored in all 13 of their Premier League games against Brighton – they’ve only faced  Bournemouth (14) more often in the competition while scoring in every game. 
• Both times Manchester City have failed to beat Brighton in the Premier League have come in a midweek  game at the Amex Stadium – they lost 3-2 in May 2021 (Tuesday) and drew 1-1 in May 2023 (Wednesday),  though had already been confirmed as champions both times. 
• Brighton have failed to score in all three of their midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) Premier League  games so far in 2024, drawing 0-0 with both West Ham and Brentford and losing 4-0 to Luton. 
• Manchester City have won 17 of their 19 midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) Premier League  games over the last three seasons, with the exceptions being a 1-1 draw at Brighton (May 2023) and a 1-0  loss at Aston Villa (December 2023). 
• Since beating Sheffield United 5-0 in February, Brighton have scored just four goals in their last seven  Premier League games. The Seagulls are also winless in each of their last four (D2 L2). 
• Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 17 Premier League games (W13 D4), last having a longer run  within the same season between November and March in 2020-21 (19). 
• Brighton’s 3-0 defeat against Arsenal in their last Premier League home game ended a 12-game unbeaten  run for the Seagulls at the Amex Stadium in the league (W6 D6). They last lost consecutive home league  games in November/December 2022 (including defeat to Arsenal), while they last lost consecutive home  league games in the same month in March 2022.

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BrightonFixtures: Tough Finish to the Campaign

• Vs Bournemouth (A)
• Vs Aston Villa (H)
• Vs Newcastle (A)
• Vs Chelsea (H)
• Vs Manchester United (H)

Manchester City Fixtures: Tottenham Test Stands Out

• Vs Nottingham Forest (A)
• Vs Wolves (H)
• Vs Fulham (A)
• Vs Tottenham (A)
• Vs West Ham (H)

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