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Football | Wednesday, May 22, 2024 12:49 PM

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
Associated Press / Alamy Stock Photo: Cagliari coach Claudio Ranieri celebrates with players their 2-0 win

The last match day of this season in Serie A begins on Thursday and our football expert, Daniele Fisichella, has prepared Cagliari vs Fiorentina prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview. 

Prediction: Cagliari 2-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina have asked to have as much rest as possible ahead of the Europa Conference League final next Wednesday and, thanks to Cagliari being mathematically saved, the Italian FA has granted permission to move this game to Thursday. 

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction 1: farewell to ‘Sir’ Claudio

Italy, Serie A, Thursday, May 23rd, 19:45 (UK)

The Sardinians have achieved mathematical salvation with a match to spare thanks to a hard-fought 2-0 win over Sassuolo. 

It was only the second away win for Cagliari who, after reaching Italy’s top flight last summer via the Serie B play-offs, have built their successful season on a strong home form. 

In fact, at the ‘Unipol Domus’, the hosts have obtained 25 of their 36 points, more than Monza and Napoli, thanks to six wins and seven draws. 

Cagliari haven’t failed to score at home in any of their last nine matches and have the eight best domestic attacking record with 26 goals, more than Napoli, Juventus and Lazio. 

It will be an emotional night for Claudio Ranieri who has announced his retirement after 38 years working as a manager. 

‘Sir’ Claudio has given his side a very strong identity, making Cagliari a pugnacious and resilient team that did not give up despite the difficult start of the season. 

In fact, Cagliari’s first win came only at the end of October (4-3 against Frosinone), but in the last crucial period, the team’s results improved dramatically. 

  • Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction 1: Cagliari Asian Handicap +0.75 (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.92
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 6/10

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction 2: Sardinians often a good watch

In fact, since mid-February Cagliari have only been defeated three times since and are unbeaten in the last six home games. 

Ranieri’s team have been entertaining to watch at home. They’ve only failed to score three times in front of their fans (the last occasion was on 30 December, in the 0-0 draw against Empoli), but have also conceded at least a goal in 16 of their 18 games. 

Both teams To Score – Yes has been a winning bet in fifteen (83%) of Cagliari home games this season, and this might be the case also against ‘La Viola’. 

The visitors will, obviously, be focused on the Conference League final next week in Athens, but their league form has improved over the last couple of weeks. 

Lately Fiorentina have scored more as all their last four Serie A matches have ended with at least three goals and both teams on the scoresheet. 

Vincenzo Italiano’s side have only lost one of their last six league games and would probably need just a point from this match to secure a place in European competitions next season. 

  • Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction 2: Over 2.75 Goals  (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.87
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 5/10

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction 3: Heavy Turnover

Given this is not a must-win game for Fiorentina, Italiano will make a heavy turnover. 

In fact the visitors still have a Serie A match in hand, against Atalanta (scheduled for 3 June), where they can earn the points to finish in the top eight.  

La Viola’s away form has been very inconsistent this campaign as they’ve only obtained five successes on the road in Serie A. The last one came a month ago, against bottom of the table Salernitana, but Fiorentina have also lost five of their last eight trips. 

The visitors have only kept four away clean sheets and recently have conceded against teams like Lecce, Empoli and Verona who like Cagliari have been fighting all season to avoid the drop. 

The double chance for Cagliari at home has been a winning bet 12 times so far, and combined with a Both Teams To Score-  Yes selection, it represents the best pick for this Thursday’s game. 

  • Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction 3: Cagliari Or Draw (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 2.00
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 9/10

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction odds via bet365 as at 12:35, May 22nd, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Cagliari vs Fiorentina Team News and Possible Lineups: no risks for Italiano ahead of the cup final

Claudio Ranieri has to do without the suspended Dossena, who should be replaced by Obert Mina, who has played in recent weeks with a calf muscle problem and might be given a rest. Makoumbou and Jankto are injured. Prati, who scored against Sassuolo, will probably start in the middle of the field. Luvumbo should return from the first minute.

Italiano will give space to those who have played less, also to avoid risking injuries ahead of the Conference League final. Nzola will supported by Ikonè, Barak and Castrovilli. Duncan will return in midfield, whereas Ranieri and Parisi will play in the back four. Christensen will replace Terracciano between the posts.

Cagliari possible starting lineup:
Scuffet; Zappa, Mina, Obert; Nandez, Deiola, Prati, Gaetano, Augello; Lapadula, Luvumbo

Fiorentina possible starting lineup:
Christensen; Dodò, Milenkovic, Ranieri, Parisi; Arthur, Duncan; Ikonè, Barak, Castrovilli; Nzola.

Match Stats: home factor has been key for Cagliari

  • Fiorentina are unbeaten in the last six games against Cagliari, having conceded only one goal during this period.
  • La Viola have won the reverse fixture 3-0 and are looking to make the double over Cagliari for the first time since the 2016/2017 season. 
  • Cagliari have drawn 17 of their 48 home matches against Fiorentina including the two most recent ones. 
  • Cagliari have achieved salvation as a newly-promoted side for the fourth time in their history. 
  • The Sardinians are unbeaten in the last six home games, that’s their best streak since May-December 2018 (eight matches)

Fiorentina Fixtures: a cup final, then a trip to Bergamo

  • Vs Olympiacos, Conference League (A)
  • Vs Atalanta (A)

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