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Goals on the seaside, corners for Steve Bruce, and late bookings under Hull’s Turkish revolution shapes the Championship Best Bets this weekend. The Championship’s sixth gameweek of the season is here – that is, of course, if you don’t share your ground with a rugby club.
In this article:
Saturday, August 27th, 15:00 (UK)
In their opening five fixtures, Bristol City have pooled together the fifth-highest xG total behind four promotion-chasing sides in the Championship. The Robins’ 7.4xG falls just behind Burnley, WBA, Sheffield United and Middlesbrough, who top the xG rankings despite being unable to register a win this season.
Not only will Bristol City travel to Lancashire with a lofty xG total, but Nigel Pearson will also take the weekend team talk aware that his side is susceptible at the wrong end. With 6.7xGA (Expected Goals Against) from five matches, we can expect chances for the hosts at Bloomfield Road.
At only a smidge under the Robins’ expected goals total, Blackpool’s 7.2xG is as imposing as the Bristol City outfit they welcome on Saturday. Furthermore, the 7.1xGA figure the Seasiders have shipped is another underlying metric to suggest goals are on the menu along the northwest coast.
Blackpool’s fightback against Burnley will undoubtedly have lifted the dressing room. Michael Appleton’s men coming from 3-1 down after thirty minutes at Turf Moor and able to claw back a foothold in the game screams of a side full of belief and quality in the areas that matter.
Similarly, a buoyant Bristol City will show up with two wins from two, limiting Cardiff City in the Severnside derby to very little in terms of goalscoring opportunities on Sunday. The emergence up top of 20-year-old Tommy Conway and the flourishing partnership with Nakhi Wells in Bristol City’s front line should cause issues for Blackpool, just like they did for Steve Morison’s Bluebirds.
More Blackpool vs Bristol City Tips
Saturday, August 27th, 15:00 (UK)
West Brom have landed the proposed 5+ corner line in 4/5 matches this season, with the opener away at Boro the only match falling two shy in a 1-1 draw. Since then, The Baggies registered 12, 6 (EFL Cup vs Sheffield United), 5, 9, 12, 10 (EFL Cup vs Derby). Their opponents, Huddersfield Town, average 5.5 corners against in their five Championship matches this term.
The -1 Asian corner handicap was one angle under consideration, with West Brom averaging just 1.80 corners against per90 this season. Yet, with the visitors potentially taking the lead in the game, 5+ corners feel somewhat safer.
The Terriers continue to struggle to adapt in a post-Corberan world, suggesting that Steve Bruce’s West Brom side will be the eleven arriving with the idea of overwhelming the hosts. This will be one West Brom will have pencilled down as three points. With the personnel on show, you’d be brave to back against them.
In an attempt to avoid the 1X2 markets, corners should prove a by-product of sustained pressure; 5+ is certainly reachable.
More Huddersfield vs West Brom Tips
England, Championship, Saturday, August 27th, 15:00 (UK)
After being on their best behaviour in the opening win against Bristol City, Hull City registered 4, 1, 3, and 3 cards in the following four Championship displays.
Although Coventry have only played two matches thanks to an unplayable surface at the Coventry Building Society Arena, both excursions saw the Sky Blues in the book. The Millwall match-up two weeks ago was the busiest of the two, with five yellows in total – Gustavo Hamer’s two yellows and subsequent red card dealing the most significant blow to the eventual score.
In Oliver Langford, we have a consistent card-giver. The three Langford-officiated matches this term were on the receiving end of 5 (League One), 4, and 9 yellow cards – the latter being Sunderland’s 0-1 win in Stoke last weekend. If the referee heads into the Saturday fixture with as much enthusiasm to reach for his pocket as he did in the Black Cats’ win, card-backers may be in for a treat.
This isn’t a 2022/23 thing for Langford, either. Last season, a 4.08 cards per90 average spanned the 36 matches he oversaw in all three divisions of the EFL, plus two early showings in the EFL Cup – where, interestingly, his only blank of the season came between Barrow vs Scunthorpe.
Odds via bet365 as at 15:00, August 27th, 2022. Odds may now differ.
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