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The final week of Championship action before the World Cup is upon us. There are eight intriguing Tuesday night fixtures and I have picked out my three best bets from them.
In this article:
England, Championship, Tuesday, November 8th, 19:45 (UK)
John Eustace continues to impress as he manoeuvres his side to within touching distance of the play off places. Goals from Scott Hogan, his eighth of the season and Harlee Dean earned Birmingham a 2-1 win at Stoke on Saturday. No Championship side has conceded fewer than the Blues’ 16 goals. Such miserly defending has seen them only beaten twice in the last 12 league games. Following the trip to the Potteries on Saturday it’s a return to St. Andrews where they are undefeated in their last five.
Swansea stormed up the table on the back of seven wins from nine games. But a run of three fixtures without a win has seen Russell Martin’s side slip out of the play-offs places. In fact, defeat here would see the hosts leapfrog them in the table. A return to home comforts on Saturday was expected to yield a fourth straight win in front of their own fans. Having fallen two goals behind to Wigan with just 16 minutes on the clock, the Swans will no doubt ultimately be pleased to have escaped with a point.
Birmingham have proved themselves to be a tough nut to crack. It would be no surprise to see them snatch a lead here or at least keep the game tight. Averaging 61.1% possession no side in the second tier sees more of the ball when playing away from home than Swansea. As a by-product of that, only Norwich average more corners taken per game on the road.
The Swans have hit five or more flag kicks in each of their last five away and in seven of a total of nine fixtures as visitors. Including home games, Russell Martin’s men have had five or more corners in all of their last 12 Championship outings. They also swung in 12 in this fixture last season.
More Birmingham vs Swansea Tips
England, Championship, Tuesday, November 8th, 19:45 (UK)
Another manager working nothing short of miracles is Mark Robins. Despite a whole host of off-field distractions he has guided the Sky Blues to 15th in the table and have as many as three games in hand on some of their rivals. The weekend victory at Watford was a sixth in 12 games. A run which has seen Coventry lose just twice and keep a remarkable eight clean sheets.
Wigan boss Leam Richardson continues to accentuate the positive. Claiming the weekend draw at Swansea to be a “decent” one. At face value it did indeed stop a rot of five successive defeats. But having taken a 2-0 lead with just 16 minutes on the clock and leading with six minutes remaining it has to go down as two points dropped for the side down in 23rd place. It is also a recurring bad habit. Being the sixth time this term the Latics have taken the lead but failed to secure maximum points.
Strangely for a side sitting just one place off the bottom of the league, Wigan have a strong away record. Only four sides have collected more points on the road than the Latics 14. However prior to the weekend draw in Wales, they had lost their last three as visitors.
But I can’t ignore that they have the worst form in the Championship over the last 10 games and have lost seven of their last nine outings. While at the same time the hosts are upwardly mobile.
The strong foundations of such a miserly defence provide the perfect platform for match winners such as the prolific Viktor Gyökeres and livewire Callum O’Hare. A seventh “win-to-nil” wouldn’t surprise me here, but what does is the price for a home win which is good enough to take in its own right.
England, Championship, Tuesday, November 8th, 19:45 (UK)
Alex Neil’s disappointing start to life in charge of Stoke continued on Saturday. It must have been hoped a midweek victory at Wigan would have seen an upturn in form. But it was back to losing ways as Birmingham left the bet365 Stadium with all three points. That defeat was a fourth in the last five games and sees the Potters just two points above the drop zone. With only Wigan collecting fewer home points there won’t be massive confidence in a positive result here.
The Hatters have bounced back well from their 4-0 thumping at rivals Watford. Two ship-steadying draws were followed by a successful Saturday trip to the seaside where they beat Blackpool 1-0. Only Preston have returned from away days with more points than Nathan Jones’ side. They know a win here could see them enter the last weekend prior to the World Cup break in the play-off places.
We have successfully played Stoke corners before. This looks like another game well set up for the home side to chase for long periods. Under Alex Neil, they average 7.50 flag kicks per home game. Only failing to hit a minimum of six for the first time in six games this weekend. In the Scottish manager’s total of 13 games in charge Stoke have taken six or more corners in 11.
Odds as at 23:20 November 6th 2022. Odds may now differ.
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