football | Thursday, September 29, 2022 12:13 PM (Revised at: Friday, September 30, 2022 2:12 PM)

Championship Best Bets Oct 1st: 3 Value Picks This Saturday

Sam Ingram

Championship Best Bets: Saturday October 1st

Three Championship best bets to ponder as the weekend approaches. Of course, Bristol City and goals are involved, as is a shots bet in Wales and a punt on the Championship’s form team on the seaside.

In this article:

Cardiff vs Burnley Preview & Best Bet
Bristol City vs QPR Preview & Best Bet
Blackpool vs Norwich Preview & Best Bet

Cardiff vs Burnley Preview

Saturday, October 1st, 15:00 (UK)

Southampton loanee, Nathan Tella, ranks 18th in the Championship for average shots per90. Tella, sandwiched between Carlton Morris of Luton and Danel Sinani of Norwich in the rankings, has produced 2.99 shots per90 since his move, suggesting the Clarets have someone with a real eye for goal in their ranks.

Tella has failed to hit two or more shots in just two of his six starts in Burnley colours. The failure to record an attempt away at Preston and the solitary shot in Burnley’s 1-5 dismantling of Wigan act as the two mishaps in the suggested market in an otherwise impressive beginning to his Burnley tenure.

Cardiff vs Burnley Best Bet

In Cardiff, Burnley faces a side that recently relieved Steve Morison of his duties as head coach. Huddersfield’s 1-0 win made it five defeats from Cardiff’s first ten, a start not up to scratch according to the powers that be. Although not quite clicking, the 9.90 shots per90 conceded average makes the Bluebirds one of the sturdiest defensive units in the division. With Burnley hitting 13.40 on average per90, the fourth-highest in the Championship, it’ll be intriguing to see who comes out on top.

Selection: Nathan Tella O1.5 Shots
Best Odds: 2.10 (bet365)
Stakes: 10/10

More Cardiff vs Burnley Tips

Bristol City vs QPR Preview

Saturday, October 1st, 15:00 (UK)

The Robins appear in a Championship best bets article once again. Although now getting entirely predictable, Bristol City’s goal markets will have likely positioned themselves as a go-to for many upon release. And there’s good reason.

Six of Bristol City’s opening ten Championship games have encouraged BTTS and over 2.5 goals – that’s a league-high. QPR’s 40% strike rate in this market doesn’t quite reach the same gold standard, yet it provides a solid footing for Nigel Pearson’s men to work with on Saturday.

Leading on from the Nathan Tella pick above, Nakhi Wells pips the Clarets forward with 3.32 shots per90. His strike partner, Tommy Conway, isn’t too far away with 2.57. These two will act as the leading lights in Bristol City’s search for goals, having already stumped up ten strikes between them in as many games. That’s not a bad return by any means. So much so that Antoine Semenyo has to feed off scraps from the bench. It’s a scenario few would have imagined before a ball was kicked. Tommy Conway’s flourishing start to life this season is a prominent factor in the Ghanain not starting one Bristol City fixture in 2022/23.

Bristol City vs QPR Best Bet

On the other hand, QPR will approach Saturday with the expectation of vacating the South West with a result. The 11.6xG amassed from ten has ushered them into a playoff spot, albeit with the season very much in its early stages. Michael Beale will be thrilled with his start as manager and believe his squad has enough to put a City side to the sword. Their opponents will prove a tough nut to crack regarding picking up a result, though The Robins’ back line may be a little easier to penetrate.

City’s 14.9xGA from ten games is the fourth worst in the league behind Blackpool, Birmingham and Hull, providing us with a level of reassurance that QPR will get on the scoresheet.

Selection: BTTS & O2.5 Goals
Best Odds: 2.10 (bet365)
Stakes: 10/10

More Bristol City vs QPR Tips

Blackpool vs Norwich Preview

Saturday, October 1st, 15:00 (UK)

Finally, to round off the Championship best bets this weekend, we have a selection that was also included in the Early Bird article this week. The price has dropped from 2.10 to 1.91, which still represents value.

It’s easy to overcomplicate things when picking out selections sometimes. In this instance, we’ll keep it as straightforward as possible.

Norwich tops the division in expected goals, recording 16.8xG this season. Contrastingly, The Seasiders rank third-worst for xGA. Only Hull City and Birmingham City have a higher expected goals-against total than The Seasider’s 15.8xGA after ten matches.

Blackpool vs Norwich Best Bet

So, we have one team that creates plenty of chances and the other that affords far too many opportunities to opponents. Whether the 90 minutes materialises the way we hope is another matter, but that is, in the most simplistic terms, the reasoning behind getting behind a Norwich City side who will rock up on Saturday as The Championship’s form team after ten games.

Selection: Norwich 2+ Goals
Best Odds: 1.91 (William Hill)
Stakes: 10/10

Best odds available as at 16:00 September 28th 2022. Odds may now differ.

More Blackpool vs Norwich Tips

What are Football Best Bets?

Our best bets are posted by some of the best tipsters around. These are our tipsters best value bets. A best bet can be placed on any number of different markets. The most common of which are 1X2, the Asian handicap, BTTS, and the goals markets. Value can be found in matches from leagues across the world. Be sure to follow bettingexpert for the latest best bets.