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We are three games in, and the Championship is starting to take shape. However, it must be said, for the majority in this weekend’s Championship best bets – it’s a case of finding their feet more so than finding the back of the net. Norwich, Stoke and Luton will all be hopeful of a result in the trio of picks below, although they’ll face dogged competition.
In this article:
England, Championship, Saturday, August 13th, 15:00 (UK)
Everything Huddersfield have served up in the opening stages of the season suggests Stoke’s visit on Saturday will be no walk in the park. Carlos Corberan’s exit with just a few weeks left of pre-season was a worrying sign. Likewise, the Terriers’ performance during Burnley’s visit to kickstart the new Championship season was equally concerning.
Since Vincent Kompany’s Clarets highlighted the gulf between Town and those likely vying near the summit of the table, Huddersfield supporters witnessed the tale of two more losses. The disappointing 2-1 defeat to Birmingham City, a squad likely to be nearer relegation than mid-table, was next up. Another dismal first-half showing is best explained by the 2-0 scoreline come halftime. The 11 shots for the hosts compared to Town’s two stands as another marker of the performance on show.
Back to the John Smith’s Stadium in the EFL Cup on Tuesday night, there was no let-off. Fellow Championship side Preston announced their superiority with a 1-4 lesson in front of home support. So, Town clearly trudges into the weekend in a disjointed fashion. Danny Schofield is already under pressure, and fans are rightfully worried about the season ahead.
With said pressure mounting, there may be an opportunity to take advantage of the Asian handicap market. In what is essentially the ‘Draw no Bet’ market, Stoke +0 presents itself as an inviting price ahead of the weekend. Stoke have started semi-brightly this season if one can overlook a Millwall defeat day and an early exit from the EFL Cup to League One Morecambe.
Across their last two fixtures, Stoke have hit 41 shots. With a squad boasting Dwight Gayle and Jacob Brown in forward areas, Huddersfield will have their work cut out. With stakes returned in the event of a draw, it feels like a relatively safe angel into the match.
More Huddersfield vs Stoke Tips
England, Championship, Saturday, August 13th, 15:00 (UK)
It is a sense of underwhelming in Huddersfield to two sides that have underwhelmed in front of goal. However, Preston’s 1-4 in the cup on Tuesday has thrown question marks over the lack of goals in the league, as do the xG figures for either side.
Ryan Lowe has overseen his Preston side serve up two 0-0 draws to begin the season. Not terrible results, by any means, albeit a couple of results to suggest that shooting boots have not been worn in adequately – perhaps a soak in the bath will do.
Despite the lack of goals, Preston (1.79xG) sits third in the league for expected goals behind Burnley (2.00xG) and West Brom (1.99xG). Luton also finds themselves in the top charts xG after two matches in sixth with 1.68xG.
Not only that, but Luton (1.5xGA) in sixth and Preston (1.31 xGA) in tenth means another top ten ranking for expected goals against. So, all in all, the scorelines and their lack of goals do not tell the whole story.
I will bang this drum until the cows come home, but it is essential to tread carefully as the season progresses through its infancy. The proposed overs pick makes sense according to the data this season, though there is admittedly not much too much to go off at present. In the previous campaign, Luton and Preston mirrored each other, with 48% of matches hitting over 2.5 goals for punters. Luton’s 4-0 romping in the most recent head-to-head made up just one of those over 2.5-goal showings.
With this pick, if the match ends on two total goals, we will lose half of our stake, whilst three goals ushers in a winning selection.
England, Championship, Saturday, August 13th, 15:00 UK)
There is an expectance that Norwich will click into gear sooner rather than later. Nevertheless, there is also a growing stubbornness to this Hull City side, born out of the want to achieve and dampen noise from cynics. An unbeaten group full of unfamiliar faces and a manager far from safe in his post will ready themselves for one of their toughest tests on Saturday.
Hull City’s trajectory under Acun Ilıcalı is towards Premier League football, similarly to the Canaries, although one is envisioned to make it there much quicker. The weekend’s match-up is one where frustrations may easily mount. It is unlikely that either team will have it all their own way, and with Norwich desperate to lay a marker down, perhaps certain personnel may reach boiling point.
In James Linington, we are in safe hands from a bookings point of view. The 4.93 yellows per game in 2021/22, backed up by five strawberries, isn’t the shyest of bookings tallies. In the official’s first match of the season, three yellows followed in the opener between Huddersfield vs Burnley. All of which landed in the second half, a nod towards Linington’s 3.70 second-half card average in the previous campaign. Making up the 3.70 total were both teams receiving a yellow card in 70% of fixtures and over 2.5 cards landing for punters in 68%.
Given the above and both sides stuttering into their stride before Saturday, do not be surprised to see a few cards brandished later in the game.
Odds as at 14:00 on August 10th 2022 Odds may now differ.
Odds via bet365 as at 14:00 August 10th 2022. Odds may now differ.
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