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Matthew O’Regan delivers his Crystal Palace vs West Ham prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview. While this game is a Premier League dead-rubber for the hosts, it could have huge implications on West Ham’s European aspirations.
Fresh off the back of a potential Premier League crown-derailing win at Anfield, can the Eagles make it back-to-back wins under Glasner?
England, Premier League, Sunday, April 21st, 15:00 (UK)
In a unique Premier League season thanks to points deductions and financial fair-play constraints, one constant that remains is Crystal Palace being on the beach by April.
While The Eagles were left looking over their shoulders for parts of the season due to Roy Hodgson’s turgid football, a combination of struggling teams below them and the appointment of Oliver Glasner has seen the Eagles comfortably survive yet again.
If that isn’t positive enough for Crystal Palace, the return of star man Michael Olise has also provided a major boost. The 22-year-old is one of the best players outside the top six, and the Frenchman showcased his brilliance in a silky display in the famous Anfield win.
Injuries have made it a stop-start season for Olise. He returned off the bench in the 4-1 humiliation at rivals Brighton but came off injured minutes later. While Olise has only managed nine starts this season, he still boasts six goals and three assists.
Per 90, he is averaging 3.54 shots, with 1.18 on target. His last six starts have seen 2(1), 4(1), 6(3), 6(3), 2(0), and 2(1) shots, with a game against Brighton in which the visitors dominated the only time he hasn’t had a shot on target.
With West Ham facing a gruelling midweek tie to Bayer Leverkusen, Palace will fancy their chances of causing some problems, with Michael Olise at the front of it.
With top scorer Jarrod Bowen likely to still be injured for this game, a lot of the attacking onus will fall on the shoulders of Lucas Paqueta and Mohammed Kudus.
Kudus was signed from Ajax in the summer and has shone in East London, boasting 11 goal contributions in 22 Premier League starts. The 23-year-old is a willing runner with a tendency to cut in and shoot from distance – a dream for shot backers.
The Ghanaian is averaging 2.47 shots per 90, hitting at least two in his last 11 league matches. While only 0.57 per90 have been on target, he should get plenty of opportunities against a defence that has conceded 5.5 shots per 90 in their last six.
It’s fair to say it has been a struggle for Jean-Philippe Mateta since joining Crystal Palace. Since signing from Mainz in 2020/2021, the 26-year-old has scored just ten goals in two and a half seasons for The Eagles.
However, Mateta is like a man transformed this season, scoring ten goals in all competitions. The Frenchman is full of work-rate and endeavour but seemed to lack the finishing touches. However, since the arrival of innovative German manager Oliver Glasner, Mateta has found his shooting boots.
In this time frame, he has scored four goals in seven, including bagging against treble-winners Manchester City. He has averaged 0.58 xG and 1.28 shots on target per game since the arrival of Glasner.
Against a West Ham side that hasn’t kept a clean sheet in their last 13 Premier League matches, Mateta will fancy his chances of getting on the scoresheet again.
Crystal Palace vs West Ham Prediction odds via bet365 as at 17:00, April 16th. Odds may now differ.
Palace have struggled massively with injuries this season. Ebe Eze and Michael Olise have missed large chunks of the season, but Glasner will be delighted to have the dynamic duo back fit and firing. However, he is still without midfielders Cheick Doucoure and Chris Richards, as well as goalkeeper Sam Johnstone and centre back Marc Guehi.
Despite European commitments, David Moyes’ side have a pretty light injury list, although top-scorer Jarrod Bowen and first choice goalie Alphonse Areola, as well as Kalvin Phillips should miss out.
Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Henderson; Munoz, Clyne, Lerma, Anderson, Mitchell; Hughes Warton; Eze, Olise; Mateta
West Ham possible starting lineup:
Fabianski; Coufal, Mavropanos, Aguerd, Emerson; Alvarez, Ward-Prowse; Kudus, Ings, Paqueta; Antonio
Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Crystal Palace vs West Ham, currently a 14th vs 8th fixture, by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.
For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.
POSITION | CLUB | GAMES | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | POINTS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Manchester City | 38 | 26.0 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 90.0 | 37.6 | 52.4 | 86.2 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26.3 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 88.3 | 30.3 | 58.0 | 84.9 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 87.6 | 38.1 | 49.5 | 84.1 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20.7 | 7.1 | 10.2 | 75.6 | 58.0 | 17.6 | 69.1 |
5 | Tottenham | 38 | 19.9 | 7.2 | 10.9 | 74.4 | 61.2 | 13.2 | 66.9 |
6 | Newcastle | 38 | 17.9 | 6.2 | 13.9 | 81.6 | 62.0 | 19.6 | 59.9 |
7 | Manchester Utd | 38 | 17.1 | 6.3 | 14.6 | 55.3 | 57.6 | -2.3 | 57.6 |
8 | Chelsea | 38 | 15.8 | 9.4 | 12.9 | 72.9 | 64.1 | 8.8 | 56.7 |
9 | West Ham | 38 | 14.1 | 9.9 | 14.0 | 58.3 | 69.7 | -11.5 | 52.1 |
10 | Brighton | 38 | 13.0 | 12.3 | 12.7 | 61.3 | 61.0 | 0.3 | 51.3 |
11 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13.4 | 10.3 | 14.3 | 56.2 | 66.0 | -9.7 | 50.5 |
12 | Wolverhampton | 38 | 13.5 | 8.2 | 16.4 | 52.9 | 63.3 | -10.4 | 48.5 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13.6 | 7.1 | 17.3 | 56.2 | 60.0 | -3.8 | 47.9 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 10.3 | 10.5 | 17.2 | 45.8 | 62.4 | -16.6 | 41.5 |
15 | Brentford | 38 | 9.8 | 9.1 | 19.1 | 54.7 | 66.5 | -11.7 | 38.4 |
16 | Everton | 38 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 17.4 | 40.8 | 57.2 | -16.4 | 37.2 |
17 | Nottingham Forest | 38 | 8.8 | 10.3 | 18.9 | 48.1 | 64.5 | -16.4 | 32.6 |
18 | Luton | 38 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 22.2 | 53.8 | 79.2 | -25.5 | 31.0 |
19 | Burnley | 38 | 5.4 | 9.2 | 23.5 | 39.1 | 76.7 | -37.6 | 25.3 |
20 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 4.6 | 8.4 | 25.0 | 37.1 | 94.5 | -57.4 | 22.2 |
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