Football | Tuesday, April 4, 2023 12:36 PM

Early Bird Best Bets: An Early Look at Five Matches this Week to Find Value

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bettingexpert Football Editor

Early Bird Best Bets: April 5th-7th

A Coppa Italia appearance sandwiched in between a number of intriguing match-ups throughout the Premier League and the EFL – the bettingexpert Early Bird is back with another instalment.

In this article:

Man United vs Brentford Preview

England, Premier League, Wednesday, April 5th, 20:00 (UK)

Away at Old Trafford is a daunting task for any side. It’s perhaps not the fortress it once was, though this is a Brentford team now a far cry from the one flittering around the lower divisions.

The 4-0 scoreline at the Brentford community stadium sent shockwaves throughout Manchester earlier in the season, a scoreline that didn’t flatter Thomas Frank’s plucky Bees.

Since then, Wednesday’s away team have navigated the perils of the top flight like a team accustomed to decking out the European-chasing spots in the Premier League. Brentford have claimed scalps already this campaign, including Manchester United, Liverpool, and Manchester City.

Following a crushing defeat against the Toon borne from the absence of Casemiro in the middle and a superior performance from those in black and white, United may come into this a little shell/shocked, donning a midfield two without the suspended Brazilian.

Man United vs Brentford Best Bet

The proposed +1 handicap will only lose if United can work a two-goal margin in the game. If the hosts beat Brentford by one goal (1-0, 2-1, etc.), then the stakes are returned in full.

You’d have to go back to the 23rd of October in the 4-0 Villa loss for the last time the handicap lost for Brentford. That was one of three occasions the +1 fell to defeat, with Arsenal and Newcastle both seeing joy before then. So, 25/28 Brentford matches this season would have left you content with the selection.

Selection: Brentford +1 Asian Handicap
Best Odds: 1.78 (bet365)
Stakes: 5/10

More Man United vs Brentford Tips

Cremonese vs Fiorentina Preview

Italy, Coppa Italia, Wednesday, April 5th, 20:00 (UK)

Coppa Italia’s semi-final Wednesday pairing has met twice already this season, with Fiorentina coming out as victors (0-2 & 3-2) on both occasions.

Cremonese hit 16 shots at home and 13 in Florence in said meetings. Looking at Serie A specifically, despite their lowly league position, Cremonese boasts a 14.57 shots per90 average when playing in front of home support.

Couple that kind of approach to visiting sides with a first leg at home – the one place where they are more likely to get joy in this semi-final, and we have the likelihood for a double-figure shot total in Cremonese’s favour.

Cremonese vs Fiorentina Best Bet

Only twice this season in Serie A have Cremonese been unable to breach the O9.5 shot line – against Roma (6) and AC Milan (6), hitting 10+ in the remaining 12 matches:

13 vs Atalanta, 16 vs Fiorentina, 6 vs Roma, 12 vs Lecce, 12 vs Inter, 11 vs Monza
13 vs Juve, 6 vs AC Milan, 13 vs Udinese, 21 vs Sampdoria, 12 vs Napoli, 18 vs Lazio, 10 vs Sassuolo, and 16 vs Torino.

Selection: Cremonese O9.5 Shots
Best Odds: 1.94 (Unibet)
Stakes: 10/10

More Cremonese vs Fiorentina Tips

Stoke vs Bristol City Preview

England, Championship, Friday, April 7th, 15:00 (UK)

Bristol City are without a victory in their previous five away games, in addition to being unable to clinch three points against a toothless travelling Reading side on the weekend. However, for Stoke, well, they’re on a different trajectory at present.

Blowing away Coventry on the road to the tune of 0-4 on Saturday followed up an impressive draw in Middlesbrough and a decent performance at home to Norwich. Alex Neil’s side are starting to click into gear as the season’s business end begins to rear its head.

It may be a little too late for the Potters to maintain an impactful playoff push, but prove this is more than just a purple patch at a stage where the pressure has somewhat dissipated, and Stoke fans will be hopeful of what next season could bring.

Stoke vs Bristol City Best Bet

Considering the weekend’s home side was able to hit four against Coventry, three versus Blackburn, and five in Sunderland, the -0.75 Asian Handicap provides an interesting way in if Neil’s men can stump up more of the same at the bet365 stadium.

Only six sides – all in and around the relegation fight as it stands, have a worse away record this season (Wigan, Cardiff, Rotherham, Blackpool, Huddersfield, and Reading).

Selection: Stoke -0.75 Asian Handicap
Best Odds: 2.02 (bet365)
Stakes: 5/10

More Stoke vs Bristol City Tips

Burton vs Barnsley Preview

England, League One, Friday, April 7th, 15:00 (UK)

Only Forest Green (72) have conceded more goals than Burton Albion (70) in League One this season. Furthermore, against the current top six, Burton have fallen short in keeping the playoff-chasing outfits at bay (most recent first); 2-5 vs Peterborough, 4-0 vs Ipswich, 2-0 vs Barnsley, 2-2 vs Plymouth, and 4-2 Sheffield Wednesday.

Quotes of 2.00 for Barnsley to get the win here is intriguing, especially with The Tykes not only needing to keep pace in the automatic promotion push but also because they’ve recently beaten Sheffield Wednesday, Plymouth Argyle, Wycombe, and Portsmouth in recent weeks.

Burton vs Barnsley Best Bet

Exeter City, Plymouth Argyle’s fierce rivals, acts as the only losing blip in 14 Barnsley games. That’s the level they’re playing at right now, rivalling the league’s best.

If banking on them clinching all three points is something you’d rather swerve here, the 1.95 offering for Barnsley to register 2+ goals, something that has landed in 10/14 of those recent fixtures, could be the way to go. That 6-0 pummeling of Charlton at the weekend suggests goals may well be on the agenda here.

Selection: Barnsley to Win
Best Odds: 2.00 (betfred)
Stakes: 5/10

More Burton vs Barnsley Tips

QPR vs Preston Preview

England, Championship, Friday, April 7th, 15:00 (UK)

There’s a severe lack of confidence at Queens Park Rangers. Gareth Ainsworth hasn’t been able to motivate his players enough to produce results. Instead, faltering form has switched the season’s aim solely to stay in the division.

With increasingly impressive results in Huddersfield and Cardiff putting themselves in positions to pick up points recently, QPR supporters will be rightfully concerned. As cliche as it may be, there are several cup finals from here on out to tick off Championship status for another year. That makes backing against a side with the bit between their teeth rather treacherous at times.

However, if you think that QPR may struggle against a Preston side often capable of producing their best work away from home, the Asian handicap route may be the best way to go.

QPR vs Preston Best Bet

With the +0.25 line set in Preston’s favour, a draw will return half profits, whilst a Preston win locks in full profit. Ryan Lowe’s squad have won 9/19 away matches this term, losing five – that’s the fourth-best away record in the Championship behind only Sheffield United, Burnley, and Luton.

Selection: Preston +0.25 Asian Handicap
Best Odds: 1.86 (bet365)
Stakes: 5/10

More QPR vs Preston Tips

Odds via bet365 and Coral as at 09:00 April 4th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

What are Football Best Bets?

Our best bets are posted by some of the best tipsters around. These are our tipsters best value bets. A best bet can be placed on any number of different markets. The most common of which are 1X2, the Asian handicap, BTTS, and the goals markets. Value can be found in matches from leagues across the world. Be sure to follow bettingexpert for the latest best bets.

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