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Yeah, he’s back – Scott Thornton is here to bring you the first of his Euro 2024 props acca ahead of the first matchday in the group stages.
We kick things off with Spain vs Croatia on Saturday. Later that day, Italy square off against Albania. On Sunday, England begins their campaign underway but first up we have Poland vs Netherlands to look forward to. On Monday we have Belgium vs Slovakia and Austria vs France to look forward to.
Acca odds: 31.57
Our guide takes a different approach to any other tournament preview. The analysis and insight you’ll find in the document is based on our in-house betting data which goes back decades. This betting data is on the following markets:
Using this as a foundation, we’ve split the guide into several different sections:
For a free copy of the Euro 2024, click the button below:
Europe, European Championships, Saturday, 15th June, 17:00 (UK)
Spain are no longer the team to beat at the start of an international tournament but they are capable of going all the way. The Spaniards are fifth favourites to lift the trophy ahead of their opening match. An impressive win over Croatia could turn heads and make the masses look upon them a touch more favourably.
This ageing Croatia side showed they still have what it takes to do battle with the very best. Luka Modric, Marcelo Brozovic and Mateo Kovacic are capable of controlling games from the middle of the park. The trio showcased their prowess in a recent 2-1 win over Portugal.
Luis De La Fuente’s side, as you’d expect from any Spanish national team, are possession hungry. They averaged 73% possession in qualifying, more than any other side. This means that their matches also see very few throws with the team less inclined to go direct. Their eight qualifiers saw an average of 28.75 throws, only Gibraltar’s matches saw less.
Croatia’s qualifying matches saw 35.38 throws on average but we can expect fewer here. There were just 26 throws in their recent clash with Portugal. In fact, this bet has won in both of their warm-up matches.
Europe, European Championships, Saturday, 15th June, 20:00 (UK)
Italy come into this competition as the holders but it’s been a tumultuous few years since that triumph at Wembley. Roberto Mancini ditched the national team when Saudi Arabia came calling after failing to qualify for the World Cup. However, with a rich history in major tournaments, it would be foolish to write off the Azzurri.
Albania were a surprise package in qualifying. They finished ahead of the Czech Republic and Poland to top Group E having amassed a total of 15 points from their eight matches. They have won both of their friendly matches on the eve of Euro 2024 but this encounter with Italy will require them to go up a level.
Italy’s qualifying matches saw an average of 22.88 fouls per game but we are backing over 29.5 free kicks in this one. There were 40 fouls when these sides squared off in a friendly in 2022. The free kick market also includes offsides so that should boost the numbers here.
Albania’s qualifiers saw an average of 29 free kicks per game but the high-pressure nature of this game should see that increase. Felix Zwayer is at the whistle and the qualifiers he took charge of saw an average of 31 free kicks.
Europe, European Championships, Sunday, 16th June, 14:00 (UK)
Poland had to beat Wales in a playoff to make it to the group stages but things have improved of late. Fernando Santos’ ill-fated tenure set the team back but they come into this game in good form. They are unbeaten in their last eight matches and managed to get the better of both Ukraine and Turkey at the start of this month.
The Netherlands’ chances of winning Euro 2024 have been hit by an injury to Frenkie De Jong. They are best priced at 18/1 to lift the trophy at the time of writing. Since returning to the role, Ronald Koeman has lost just four of his 14 matches as the Dutch boss.
The Poles have looked more menacing since Michal Probierz took charge. They are averaging 16.5 shots per game under their new manager. Most importantly, Poland have had at least shots in all eight of their games with Probierz in the dugout.
The Dutch are likely to have the lion’s share of possession but the Poland shot line looks low. The Netherlands are conceding an average of 8.75 shots under Keoman if we exclude the two matches against Gibraltar, in which the minnows didn’t manage a single attempt.
Europe, European Championships, Sunday, 16th June, 20:00 (UK)
Serbia take on the tournament favourites in their first match. The team managed to qualify by finishing second in Group G. They beat Sweden 3-0 in their final warm-up game and represent a potential banana skin for Gareth Southgate’s side.
Expectations are high for England. They are looking to end their 58-year wait to win a major trophy and anything less than accomplishing that feat will be deemed a failure. The Three Lions have four of the top eight in the betting for Player of the Tournament in their ranks so Southgate will be hoping his stars shine on Sunday night.
The Serbs conceded 20 shots in their recent head-to-head with Sweden. They seldom take on a side that have the quality that England do. The last time they were priced at 6.50 or greater on the 1X2 market was against Brazil at the World Cup. They conceded 22 shots in that match.
Southgate’s side looked unwilling to go up a gear as they chased the game against Iceland. That won’t be the case when they take to the field in the European Championships. England are averaging 18.25 shots per game in their four matches in 2024 and there will undoubtedly be a response after the recent defeat.
Europe, European Championships, Monday, 17th June, 17:00 (UK)
The Golden Generation may have passed for Belgium but there is plenty of cause for optimism ahead of the big kick-off. Domenico Tedesco has galvanised the squad after a disastrous World Cup campaign and there is still plenty of talent within the squad. The Red Devils haven’t tasted defeat since the group stages in Qatar.
Slovakia hammered a lacklustre Wales in their last game. Their only defeat in their last seven matches came against Austria but they haven’t faced a side that are on Belgium’s level. These sides haven’t met since 2013. Slovakia were beaten 2-1 on that occasion.
Belgium’s competitive matches under Tedesco have seen an average of 35 throws. That’s well below the average of 39.78 across every qualifying match played for the tournament but 36 in this match looks a solid bet thanks to their opponents.
The Slovakians played 10 qualifying matches and there was an average of 43 throws in their games. There were 51 throws in their most recent competitive fixture.
Europe, European Championships, Monday, 17th June, 20:00 (UK)
Ralf Rangnick’s exploits with the Austrian national team attracted the attention of Bayern Munich last month but he opted to remain in his current role. They come into the tournament on a run of seven matches unbeaten. Austria have beaten Germany in that period and will need a big performance to take all three points here.
France are the second favourites to win Euro 2024. They made it to the final of the last World Cup only to miss out on penalties. They have a wealth of experience in the squad and will be hoping that they can go one better than they did in 2016.
Austria under Rangnick, have become synonymous with Gegenpressing and their tackle numbers have soared in recent matches. Their two warm-up games for this tournament earlier this month saw 41 and 45 tackles respectively so the line set by the bookmaker looks low here.
France’s qualifying matches saw an average of 29 tackles but this match promises to be more competitive. There were 53 tackles as they drew with Canada last week.
Euro 2024 Props Acca Tips Odds via bet365 as at 09:44, June 14th, 2024. Odds may now differ.
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