Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction: Team News and Betting Tips

Welcome to our Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart prediction, team news and lineups preview by Jack Wright, as two teams with European aspirations collide in the Bundesliga on Sunday.

After defeat last weekend Hoffenheim are seven points adrift of the top six and a Europa Conference League qualification spot. While the high-flying visitors will look to at least consolidate their seven point buffer to 5th placed RB Leipzig and claim a shock spot in next season’s Champions League. Our Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart prediction is for Stuttgart to win the match 1-2.

1. Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Tip 1: Stuttgart to Win
2. Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Tip 2: Serhou Guirassy to Score
3. Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Tip 3: Ihlas Bebou Over 0.5 Shots on Target

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction 1: No Stuttering from visitors in battle for top-four finish.

Germany, Bundesliga, Saturday, March 16th, 17:30 (UK)

All looked set fair for Hoffenheim last weekend, having taken a sixth-minute lead against Frankfurt through John Brooks. A win would have closed the gap to their opponent occupying the last European qualification place to a solitary point.

However, a 22nd-minute red card for the same player turned the match on its head. Goals from Robin Koch, Dina Ebimbe and Mario Götze sealed the win for the hosts, extending the gap between the two clubs to seven points.

Surprise package Stuttgart maintained their march to a Champions League place with a deserved 2-0 victory at home against Union Berlin last Friday night. The Swabians needed to win last season’s relegation play-off to even keep their place in the German top flight, so their current position of third is remarkable.

Sebastian Hoeneß’s side have been all or nothing on the road this term, winning seven and losing five of their league away games. However, boosted by the return of top scorer Serhou Guirassy, they have won each of their last three and six of the last seven across all venues.

They will fancy their chances against a Hoffenheim outfit that have lost all four contests when hosting sides in the top nine so far this term. Registering only one win from a recent run of five favourable fixtures on home soil.

• Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction 1: Stuttgart to Win (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.85
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

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Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction 2: Stuttgart can roar as a result of Guirassy spark

It’s hard to contemplate a Stuttgart win without Serhou Guirassy being at the heart of it. Many wondered if his blistering early season form, which saw him plunder an incredible 13 goals in the opening seven matches before leaving for AFCON was something of a purple patch.

The Swabians definitely missed him, losing three of the five games for which he was absent. His return has proven the Guinea international is not only vital to his team, but also that the goals show no sign of drying up.

The 28-year-old opened the scoring in the weekend 2-0 defeat of Union Berlin, his fourth strike in as many games. Hitting the back of the net in three of the four starts he has made for his club since returning from international duty.

Guirassy now has 21 Bundesliga goals from 19 appearances, second in the scoring charts only to Harry Kane. What is even more impressive is that those goals have come from just 30 shots on target, a conversion rate of 70% and 24 fewer than the Bayern Munich man.

• Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction 2: Serhou Guirassy to Score (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.83
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

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Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction 3: Bebou the hosts main danger.

Ihlas Bebou has appeared on my radar since forcing his way into Pellegrino Matarazzo’s starting eleven. Five consecutive starts is his longest sequence of the season, having struggled to cement his place after initially beginning each of Hoffenheim’s opening three Bundesliga fixtures.

In the league the 29-year-old has four goals and two assists to his name this term so by no means prolific but we do not need him to do either of those things to land this selection. Simply firing in a shot on target is enough and odds of 1.83 look plenty generous enough for someone playing as part of a front two.

The Togo international has had 12 shots across those five recent starts, with five of them being on target. Three of those fixtures were at home where he had three shots in each, four of which were on target with at least one in them all.

Bebou has now produced one or more shots on target in his last four starts at PreZero Arena. Also having fond memories of his last start against Stuttgart when he opened the scoring in May last year.

• Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction 3: Ihlas Bebou Over 0.5 Shots on Target (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.83
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Prediction odds via bet365 as at 14:00, March 12th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Team News and Possible Lineups: Absentees Stach up for hosts

Hoffenheim have problems in defence with both John Brooks and Ozan Kabak suspended following red cards in last weekend’s defeat at Frankfurt. Anton Stach ,who assisted Brooks’ goal, was taken off with an apparent injury so is also a doubt.

Stuttgart will be without Anthony Rouault, who suffered a broken jaw in the victory over Union and will be sidelined for a number of weeks. He joins Nikolas Nartey and Dan-Axel Zagadou in the treatment room.

Hoffenheim possible starting lineup: Baumann, Akpoguma, Grillitsch, Nsoki, Kadeřábek, Becker, Bischof, Bülter, Kramarić, Bebou, Beier.

Stuttgart possible starting lineup: Nübel, Vagnoman, Anton, Ito, Mittelstädt, Millot, Karazor, Stiller, Führich, Undav, Guirassy.

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The Predicted Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Bundesliga Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Bundesliga standings ahead of the Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart, currently 7th vs 3rd, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart Standings Prediction

Position	Club	Game	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayer Leverkusen	34	25.9	6.1	1.9	82.5	26.9	55.6	83.9
2	Bayern Munich	34	25.2	3.6	5.2	92.7	35.5	57.2	79.2
3	Stuttgart	34	20.7	4.2	9.1	74.0	44.0	30.0	66.3
4	RB Leipzig	34	18.7	6.2	9.1	72.4	41.7	30.8	62.4
5	Dortmund	34	16.0	10.2	7.8	66.9	47.5	19.3	58.3
6	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11.6	12.4	10.1	51.2	49.4	1.8	47.1
7	Freiburg	34	12.2	7.5	14.3	46.7	58.9	-12.2	44.2
8	Hoffenheim	34	11.7	8.3	14.0	57.6	63.1	-5.5	43.4
9	Werder Bremen	34	11.1	8.5	14.5	45.5	54.4	-8.8	41.7
10	Augsburg	34	9.8	10.4	13.8	48.6	59.5	-10.9	39.7
11	B. Monchengladbach	34	10.1	9.5	14.5	58.0	63.1	-5.1	39.6
12	Wolfsburg	34	9.8	9.4	14.8	42.4	53.4	-11.0	38.8
13	Heidenheim	34	9.8	9.3	14.9	46.3	61.7	-15.4	38.6
14	Union Berlin	34	10.6	6.5	16.8	37.7	54.5	-16.9	38.5
15	Bochum	34	8.6	12.4	13.0	43.7	64.9	-21.2	38.2
16	Mainz	34	6.3	11.6	16.1	32.9	51.7	-18.8	30.6
17	FC Koln	34	5.7	10.3	18.0	28.7	58.6	-29.8	27.5
18	Darmstadt	34	4.3	9.2	20.5	35.6	74.6	-39.0	22.1

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Match OPTA Stats: Visitors look to record rare success in Sinsheim

• Stuttgart are on an unbeaten run of seven games in the German Bundesliga.
• TSG Hoffenheim are unbeaten in four Bundesliga games against VfB Stuttgart (W2 D2), as they only did from  2014 to 2015. TSG have not lost any of their last eight home Bundesliga games against VfB (W5 D3) since February 2013 (0-1). VfB coach Sebastian Hoeneß is now visiting Sinsheim for the first time as a Bundesliga coach.
• TSG Hoffenheim have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 20 Bundesliga matches, which is currently  the longest streak in the top-flight. Only from 2013 to 2014 have TSG been on a longer such run (24 games).  TSG are also the only team to have just one clean sheet in this Bundesliga season.
• Stuttgart have been in winning at half time and full time in their last three road trips.
• VfB Stuttgart this season have their most points after 25 games of a Bundesliga season (53). Of all the  teams in Bundesliga history with 53+ points after 25 games, only one did not finish in the top three at the  end of the season – 1. FC Köln in the 1969-70 season (4th- 56 points after 25 games).

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Hoffenheim Fixtures: League leaders await following Stuttgart test

• Vs Leverkusen (A)
• Vs Augsburg (H)
• Vs Monchengladbach (H)
• Vs Bochum (A)
• Vs RB Leipzig (H)

Stuttgart Fixtures: Three of Top-6 rivals to come in defining run

• Vs Heidenheim (H)
• Vs Dortmund (A)
• Vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H)
• Vs Werder Bremen (A)
• Vs Leverkusen (A)

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