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Football | Tuesday, May 14, 2024 1:34 PM

Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview
Giuseppe Maffia / Alamy Stock Photo: Lautaro Martinez of FC Internazionale celebrates after scoring fourth goal during the Serie A TIM match

Ahead of the last home game for Italy’s champions, our football expert Daniele Fisichella, has prepared Inter Milan vs Lazio prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview.

Prediction: Inter Milan 1-0 Lazio

The Nerazzurri will be handed the Scudetto trophy as the party that started three weeks ago with the victory in the derby will likely continue during and after the match. The visitors have secured their place in European competitions for next season and are still hoping to finish sixth in Serie A. Because, believe it or not, if the stars align Italy might end up with up to six clubs in the new format Champions League.

  • Inter Milan vs Lazio Tip 1: Under 2.75 Goals Asian Line
  • Inter Milan vs Lazio Tip 2: Both Teams To Score – No
  • Inter Milan vs Lazio Tip 3: Lautaro Martinez To Score Anytime and Inter Milan to Win

Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction 1: visitors are chasing a miracle

Italy, Serie A, Sunday, May 19th, 17:00 (UK)

So here are the permutations. 

In order to qualify for the Champions League Lazio needs to win the remaining two games of the season and hope that Atalanta will defeat Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League final. 

If the Bergamaschi manage to inflict Xabi Alonso’s men their campaign’s first defeat and won’t finish in the top four positions in Serie A, then Italy will be allowed to have six teams in next season’s Champions League. 

It sounds like fantasy, but Lazio, who host Sassuolo on matchday 38, must believe a miracle is still achievable. 

The change on the bench has definitely turned Lazio’s fortunes. 

The Biancocelesti have obtained 16 points (same as Inter Milan) in the seven games under Igor Tudor, by winning all their four domestic matches and keeping four clean sheets. 

After being knocked out of the Champions League by Bayern Munich, Lazio’s results have mirrored the ones from 2022/2023 after they were eliminated from the Conference League (10 wins in the last 12 games last season). 

However, the visitors’ fixtures list in the last month has not been tough, as they faced six teams in the bottom half of the table. 

  • Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction 1: Under 2.75 Goals Asian Line (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.86
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 8/10

Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction 2: hosts’ wall to stand firm

Although Inter won’t have the same mindset as when these two side met in December (2-0 for Simone Inzaghi’s men at the ‘Stadio Olimpico’) and in January (a 3-0 win in Riyadh in the Supercoppa Italiana semi-final), the game at San Siro still remains very tricky for Lazio.

In fact in 2024 the Biancocelesti have only won four of the thirteen matches they played against top sides including European and domestic cups. 

Under Tudor Lazio are playing at a higher intensity, and only failed to score in two out of nine games, but some of the limits of the squad, and in particular the difficulty at creating clear cut chances, are still evident. 

The Biancocelesti have Italy’s seventh-best attack on the road, and they’ve only scored twice in the five matches played against teams occupying the first six positions of the table. 

Inter have kept 21 clean sheets so far (11 of which are at San Siro) and are just one short of the all-time record in Italy’s top flight. 

Last Friday against Frosinone, they’d probably deserved to concede a couple of goals (the xG for the Ciociari was 1.89), but in front of their fans and against a top rival, you could expect Simone Inzaghi’s men to bring their A-game. 

  • Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score – No  (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 1.95
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 5/10

Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction 3: the ‘streaky’ Argentine eyeing a record

The hosts have lost just one game at home this season and have never failed to score apart from the 0-0 against Real Sociedad. 

They’ve netted more than one goal on 14 occasions, including six of the last seven games, with the only exception being the 1-1 draw against Napoli. 

Inter have been so dominant at home that they have managed to take the lead in the first half in 16 games (88%) of their domestic league games so far. 

Lazio on the other hand have kept only three clean sheets in their last 13 games on the road, and two of them came against Empoli and Torino, who have the worst home attacking records in Serie A.

Last Friday at Frosinone, Lautaro Martinez ended his eight-game goal drought and has now scored 24 Serie A goals this campaign. 

The last Inter player to score so much was Mauro Icardi in 2017/18 (29). 

Of course, it will be difficult for Inter’s captain to add five more goals to his tally (but you never know, this year, the number 10 has netted four against Salernitana after coming off the bench!), what is certain is that Lautaro is perhaps the ‘streakiest’ of Serie A’s scorers. 

This season, he has scored in at least two consecutive matches on six occasions, and in the last campaign, he achieved it ten times. 

Lautaro has also scored six goals in 11 games against Lazio, including the last three Serie A meetings. 

  • Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction 3: Lautaro Martinez To Score Anytime and Inter Milan to Win  (TRACKED BET)
  • Best Odds: 2.75
  • Bookmaker: bet365
  • Stake: 3/10

Inter Milan vs Lazio Prediction odds via bet365 as at 13:50, May 13th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

Inter Milan vs Lazio Team News and Possible Lineups: Provedel back in goal, Buchanan from the first minute

Arnautovic or Thuram will play alongside Martinez. Pavard and Bastoni will return in defence, with former Lazio player de Vrij confirmed in the middle. Buchanan, who scored his first goal for Inter last weekend, might be given a chance from the first minute. Asllani will be the playmaker, and Frattesi will replace Barella. Dumfries is ahead of Darmian to play as a right wing-back.

Lazio will be without defender Romagnoli (suspended), and Casale will replace him, although Gila is also a doubt. Provedel, fully recovered, should return to defend the visitors’ goal. Guendouzi and Kamada will be confirmed in the middle. Up front Ciro Immobile is ahead of Castellanos.

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Pavard, De Vrij, Bastoni; Dumfries, Frattesi, Asllani, Mkhitaryan, Buchanan; Lautaro, Arnautovic

Lazio possible starting lineup:
Provedel; Patric, Casale, Hysaj; Lazzari, Guendouzi, Kamada, Marusic; Felipe Anderson, Zaccagni; Immobile.

Match Stats: Lazio are keeping pace with records chasing Inter

  • Inter have scored 86 Serie A goals so far, only in 1950/51 they had scored more times (101 goals) after 36 games.
  • The hosts have kept 21 clean sheets and need just one more to establish a new all-time record.
  • In the last seven games Lazio have collected the same points as Inter (16).
  • Inter have not conceded in 30 out 36 first halves so far, and have failed to score before the break only twice. 

Inter Milan Fixtures: Verona, probably, already save

  • Vs Verona (A)

Lazio Fixtures: Sassuolo desperate for a win

  • Vs Sassuolo (H)

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