Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

This week Italy’s must watch game is on Saturday evening and here’s our Juventus vs AC Milan prediction, team news, lineups and fixtures preview, courtesy of our Serie A expert, Daniele Fisichella.

Prediction: Juventus 1-1 AC Milan

With the Scudetto already won by Inter Milan, pride is at stake more than any other time in this classic of Italian football. 

Both Bianconeri and the Rossoneri feel bruised after a series of negative results which have cast further doubts on whether Massimiliano Allegri and Stefano Pioli will continue at the clubs come the summer.

• Juventus vs AC Milan Tip 1: Both Teams To Score – Yes
• Juventus vs AC Milan Tip 2: Under 1.0 First Half Asian Goals
• Juventus vs AC Milan Tip 3: Dusan Vlahovic Anytime Goalscorer

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Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction 1: fighting for second place

Italy, Serie A, Saturday, April 27th, 17:00 (UK)

Juventus made a lucky escape on Tuesday as, after being dominated by Lazio, they avoided going into extra time thanks to Arek Milik’s goal with three minutes to go. 

Another lacklustre performance for the Bianconeri, who lacked rhythm and intensity and conceded two cheap goals to Igor Tudor’s men. 

However, the late introductions of Iling Jr (who provided the assist) and the Polish striker helped Juve to qualify for the Coppa Italia final, where they hope to end their three-year-long trophy drought. 

The hosts have only won two of the last nine games in all competitions and surrendered the title chase back in February. 

During this difficult season they’ve never been able to consistently impose their style of play and lately have also started shipping more goals than in the past. 

Juve have only kept four clean sheets since the end of January (14 games in total) in all competitions, although they haven’t conceded in their last three matches played at the ‘Juventus Stadium’.

AC Milan, who are the only Serie A team, alongside leaders Inter, never failing to score away from home, could profit from Juve’s recent wobbles. 

• Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction 1: Both Teams To Score – Yes (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.80
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 9/10

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Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction 2: a disastrous week for the Rossoneri

But if the hosts are struggling, AC Milan could not approach this big game in a worse state of mind. 

The Rossoneri are winless in the last four games in all competitions and, in the space of 10 days, have been knocked out from the Europa League by Roma and lost the derby. 

Monday’s 2-1 defeat against Inter (the sixth consecutive for AC Milan in the ‘Derby Della Madonnina’) meant the Nerazzurri celebrated the title right in front of their city rivals. 

The result confirmed the AC Milan squad needs to be well strengthened in the summer if they want to be competitive, but who’s going to be at the helm of it is anyone’s guess. 

Manager Stefano Pioli has been under pressure all season and the team’s decent results, AC Milan have only two points less in the table than when they won the title in 2021/2022, have been overshadowed by a sense of inferiority against Inter. 

The visitors have lost focus in the key moments of two big matches, against Roma and Inter, conceding early, avoidable goals. 

A mistake they must not repeat on Saturday against the ‘Old Lady’.

• Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction 2: Under 1.0 First Half Asian Goals (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.85
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

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Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction 3: Vlahovic, the new Pirlo?

The Bianconeri have only failed to score twice at home this season, but only five games have produced more than three goals. 

Juventus have missed a lot of scoring chances, especially in front of their crowd (their xG differential in Turin is +5.62), but their opportunistic approach has often made them incapable of establishing early leads. 

In fact, Allegri’s men have failed to score in 20 league games before the break, and at home, they’ve only found the net on five occasions in the first half, for a total of just eight goals. 

Considering only the first half’s standings Juventus would be 11th, which speaks volume of their approach to matches this season.

On the other hand, AC Milan is the team has scored most away goals (17) in the first half, but their defensive record on the road is poor: 29 goals conceded in Serie A (only Frosinone, Salernitana and Sassuolo have a worst tally) and only five away clean sheets in all competitions.

Dusan Vlahovic has been involved in 12 Serie A goals (two assists, 10 goals) in 2024, more than anybody else. 

Given AC Milan’s perennial defensive issues and their makeshift back four, the Serbian striker could add to his season tally (17 signatures), thanks also to his free-kick ability. 

Vlahovic has scored four direct free kicks in the last two seasons, more than any other player in Europe’s top 5 leagues. 

• Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction 3: Dusan Vlahovic Anytime Goalscorer (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.40
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 4/10

Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction odds via bet365 as at 6:15, April 24th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Juventus vs AC Milan Team News and Possible Lineups: three big absentees in the visitors’ defence

For Juventus, Cambiaso will return on the right flank, with Kostic playing on the opposite side. Mckennie will also return from the first minute, ready to replace Alcaraz. 

The Chiesa-Vlahovic duo is confirmed in attack, Yildiz will start from the bench. 

AC Milan are without the suspended Calabria, Tomori and Theo Hernandez. Florenzi will be the left back, Thiaw centrally and Jimenez or Terracciano could find a place on the right. 

Reijnders will pair with Bennacer in the middle of the field, while in the attacking midfield, there will once again be Pulisic on the right, Loftus-Cheek in the centre and Leao on the left. Giroud will start as the number nine. 

Juventus possible starting lineup:
Szczesny; Gatti, Bremer, Danilo; Cambiaso, McKennie, Locatelli, Rabiot, Kostic; Chiesa, Vlahovic.

AC Milan possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Florenzi, Thiaw, Gabbia, Terracciano; Bennacer, Reijnders; Pulisic, Loftus Cheek, Leao; Giroud.

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Match Stats: Juve have a bad record but AC Milan lack discipline

• The most common result of matches between Juventus and AC Milan is 1-1. Thirteen matches have ended with this result.
• Juve have only lost one home game this season (1-0 against Udinese). 
• Juventus last home win against AC Milan was in 2019. Last season AC Milan won both games against the Bianconeri (2-0 at home and 1-0 away).
• Juventus has scored 6% of their goals between the minutes 31 and 45. This is the lowest percentage in the league.
• Milan have received eight red cards this season. This is the highest number in Serie A.

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Juventus Fixtures: two tricky trips before the cup final

• Vs Roma (A)
• Vs Salernitana (H)
• Vs Bologna (A)
• Vs Atalanta, Coppa Italia Final (A)
• Vs Monza (H)

AC Milan Fixtures: a strong end of season at San Siro?

• Vs Genoa (H)
• Vs Cagliari (H)
• Vs Torino (A)
• Vs Salernitana (H)

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