football | Friday, March 10, 2023 2:02 PM

Ligue 1 Best Bets: March 11th-12th - Four Value Picks from France This Weekend

Sam Ingram

Ligue 1 Best Bets: March 11th-12th

Paris Saint Germain served up a poor representation of French football during their Champions League tie during the week – something which OGC Nice went some way to rectifying in Moldova on Thursday night.

But now, it’s back to their bread and butter, and with that, we’ve got a selection of Ligue 1 best bets for this weekend and beyond.

In this article:

Brest vs PSG Preview & Best Bet
Angers vs Toulouse Preview & Best Bet
AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier Preview & Best Bet

Brest vs PSG Preview

France, Ligue 1, Sunday, March 11th, 20:00 (UK)

Look, PSG were abject during their Champions League tie during the week. They didn’t do anywhere near enough to threaten Bayern Munich in possession, and they showed very little fight and determination to claw their way back into the tie.

If you were on PSG bookings in any way, shape or form as I was, you’ll be acutely aware of just how lethargic PSG’s approach was. Gone are the days, seemingly, of PSG players sticking a foot in, keen to get down and dirty for the Champions League cause – the one burning desire of the club’s hierarchy.

So, you may think it’s a little odd to want to place some hard-earned money on the Parisians here. Nevertheless, European football is gone, with a Ligue 1 silverware return simply a must. Christophe Galtier may lose his job eventually with what we saw midweek, but he’ll definitely lose a spot on the sidelines if their go-to domestic trophy falls from reach.

Brest vs PSG Best Bet

I’m expecting a response here away at Brest alongside a Kylian Mbappé performance we’re all used to. In Ligue, PSG’s main man boasts a 4.56 shots per90 average with 2.43 finding the target. Both of those figures stand as the tallest in France’s top tier.

Selection: PSG Win, Kylian Mbappe 3 Shots & 1+ Shot on Target
Best Odds: 1.92 (Unibet)
Stakes: 10/10

More Brest vs PSG Tips

Angers vs Toulouse Preview

Sunday, March 12th, 14:00 (UK)

Angers have conceded two or more goals in 10/13 (77%) Ligue1 matches at home this season. That stands as the highest percentage in the division – an unwanted record lending itself to a swift return to Ligue2. Taking both Home and Away fixtures into account, Angers have shipped 2+ goals in 19/26 matches.

On the other hand, Toulouse comes into the weekend having bagged two or more goals in their last 7/10 outings in all competitions.

I’d rarely back a side heading into a fixture on the back of three successive losses in the league, but considering Toulouse faced off against two decent outfits in Marseille (2-3) and Reims (3-0), followed up by a poorer showing (1-0) to Clermont – it’s not the worst run. This is, however, the perfect opportunity to bounce back to form against an Angers side struggling each time they step across the white line.

Angers vs Toulouse Best Bet

The Montpellier 5-0 loss didn’t flatter the hosts, and I wouldn’t be surprised if a similar match-up is played out in front of our eyes here. In addition, Angers’ head coach, Abdel Bouhazama, left the club this week after inappropriate comments in the dressing room ahead of the Montpellier game emerged. In short, the club finds itself in dire straits.

Selection: Toulouse O1.5 Goals (TRACKED BET)
Best Odds: 1.90 (Bet365)
Stakes: 15/10

More Angers vs Toulouse Tips

AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier Preview

Sunday, March 12th, 14:00 (UK)

The standout 5-0 victory over Angers last weekend will have delighted new coach Michel Der Zakarian. Montpellier on the nose was trading at 1.93 for their Angers win, which we helped ourselves to in the most recent profitable Early Bird article.

Now, Montpellier lines up against AC Ajaccio, another side languishing nearer the bottom of the table. I’m not expecting a scoreline like we saw versus a hopeless Angers, but there’s every chance that Zakarian’s bunch, with the wind in their sails after a thumping victory, can get a result here.

AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier Best Bet

The only result that will ensure a loss with the Montpellier 0.0 Asian Handicap is an AC Ajaccio win. The home side on Sunday have lost 8/10 of their previous matches, winning just six all campaign.

With form and a feel-good factor in the Montpellier camp, it seems like a wise approach to backing La Paillade.

Selection: Montpellier +0 Asian Handicap
Best Odds: 1.82 (bet365)
Stakes: 10/10

Best odds available as at 07:00 on March 10th, 2023. Odds may now differ.

More AC Ajaccio vs Montpellier Tips

What are Football Best Bets?

Our best bets are our best value football tips. Our best bets are posted by our expert tipsters. Each tip is the result of detailed analysis and expert knowledge from out resident experts. Follow up on bettingexpert to get regular updates on best bets to go with