Liverpool vs Arsenal Predictions: Betting Tips, Best Bets and OPTA Stats

Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool host Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal on Saturday evening in a game with huge importance at the top of the Premier League, and our expert, Tom Winch, has taken a closer look into the clash with three tips, predictions and plenty of insight.

This fixture last season had it all, four goals, eight cards, a missed penalty and an elbow from the linesman into the throat of Andrew Robertson. I’m not sure this game on Saturday can surpass that, but you just never know with the Premier League.

Liverpool vs Arsenal Predictions

• Liverpool vs Arsenal Tip 1: Over 2.75 Asian Goal Line
• Liverpool vs Arsenal Tip 2: Over 4.5 Cards
• Liverpool vs Arsenal Tip 3: Darwin Nunez & Kai Havertz To Be Booked

In this article:

• Liverpool vs Arsenal Team News
• The Predicted Premier League Table
• How to watch Liverpool vs Arsenal
• Safer Gambling

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Liverpool vs Arsenal Predictions – Tip 1: Rarely A Dull Affair In This H2H

England, Premier League, Saturday, December 23rd, 17:30 (UK)

Liverpool vs Man United was an almighty disappointment. The majority of football fans expected a comfortable home victory. Despite their 34 shots and 68% possession, Liverpool didn’t pose a threat. The United defence stood strong and remained resilient.

I expect Arsenal to come here and play their own game. They’ll respect Liverpool’s attacking firepower but will fancy themselves against Klopp’s side and their untrustworthy defence.

These two rarely provide a dull affair. This fixture ended 2-2 last season, with the reverse ending in a 3-2 win for Arsenal. Just one of the last nine Premier League meetings between these two has seen less than three goals.

There’s a whole load of attacking talent on show, of course. We have numerous players on this Liverpool side who can cause damage, not quite all the time, but you’d expect a massive reaction in performance after the result here last Sunday.

Gabriel Jesus, Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli will all be rifled up for this one. They’ll fancy themselves to cause problems for Liverpool’s backline. Kai Havertz, Declan Rice and Martin Odegaard are also threats. The midfield trio have 11 goals between them this term.

Over 2.75 goals is priced at 1.93. This game should be an entertaining affair with two sides going at one another. David Raya, who is still preferred over Ramsdale, has plenty of critics and is not far from an error. Liverpool’s midfield is not quite complete. They’ll be up against it on Saturday with Declan Rice in town. He’s having a smashing debut campaign with the Gunners.

• Liverpool vs Arsenal Tip 1: Over 2.75 Asian Goal Line (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.93
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

Liverpool vs Arsenal Tip 2: Nothing Festive About Top Of Table Clash

When you back cards in any clash, I believe there are many factors to consider. The importance of the game is pivotal, and this match is right up there at the current stage of the season.

Arsenal have played many teams in the top end of the table, those being Villa, Man City, Spurs, Newcastle and Man United, who sit between 3rd and 7th. All five matches saw at least five yellow cards brandished. It’s clear that emotions run high with so much on the line that I expect the theme to continue between the two at the top.

In this fixture last season, eight cards were shown, with both sides receiving four each. We have all seen a huge increase in card totals this term. Referees have been advised to brandish more cards wherever possible, but whether it’s fair or not is another matter.

Chris Kavanagh oversees this huge clash. He’s taken charge of ten Premier League games in 2023/24 and dished out 44 yellows and a red. Kav has booked each side in nine separate outings, which included all of the last nine. Half of his ten matches have seen at least five cards, and three have seen exactly four cautions.

Tempers can quite easily flare here. We know how Klopp and Arteta can behave on the touchline, and it’ll almost certainly have an impact on the players. I don’t think five cards is a huge ask for a top-of-the-table affair which has plenty of significance.

• Liverpool vs Arsenal Tip 2: Over 4.5 Cards (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.90
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

Liverpool vs Arsenal Tip 3: Tactical Cautions Gives Them A Break

It’s Christmas, and these two players are one booking away from suspension. Liverpool visits Burnley on Boxing Day; I’m sure Darwin Nunez would rather stay at home in the warm with his family instead. He’s a hot head as it is, so there’s always a good chance he’ll get in trouble with the referee; this is just a bonus.

Kai Havertz is in the same situation as Nunez, although Arsenal don’t play again until the 28th against West Ham. A couple of days off with the family at Christmas seems appealing, surely. The German also has a temper on him and isn’t afraid to get himself stuck in. He made two fouls against Brighton and four against Villa. Three of his four cards have been picked up on the road.

Aside from the fact that these players will have some extra time at home around the festive period, this game is huge. These two may not even think about the booking situation when it comes to kick-off, and it doesn’t take much to receive caution nowadays in the top flight.

Could you imagine if these two had a little pop at one another, squared up to each other and got themselves booked? A tactical masterclass, I’d say. It’s worth having a dabble on the booking double. The price isn’t astronomical by any means, but it has a chance.

I’d advise shopping around for the best odds. At the time of writing only a limited number of bookmakers have released player card markets.

• Liverpool vs Arsenal Tip 3: Darwin Nunez & Kai Havertz To Be Booked (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 7.50
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 3/10

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Liverpool vs Arsenal Team News: Nothing Out The Ordinary

There are no fresh injury updates from the hosts; Mac Allister, Robbo, Jota, and Matip are all a no-go for this game. Bajcetic is close to a return. It will be interesting to see what front three starts the clash. After all, offensive players had poor displays on Sunday against United. The same back five should start here.

We’re not expecting many changes, if any, from Arsenal after their 2-0 win over Brighton. Rice is hugely important in this clash and will be expected to boss the midfield alongside Havertz and Odegaard, who’ve also been performing consistently. It’s the usual back four with Raya in goal, though there are many Arsenal fans who wish to see Ramsdale back between the sticks.

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The Predicted Premier League Table

Updated: 18th December 2023

POSITION	CLUB	GAMES	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	POINTS
1	Arsenal	38	24.9	7.4	5.7	75.4	33.4	42.1	82.1
2	Manchester City	38	22.9	8.2	6.9	83.2	40.4	42.9	76.8
3	Liverpool	38	22.5	9.3	6.2	77.9	40.4	37.5	76.8
4	Aston Villa	38	22.5	6.4	9.1	76.1	49.1	27.0	73.8
5	Newcastle	38	21.0	6.1	10.9	80.9	46.7	34.2	69.2
6	Tottenham	38	19.0	7.4	11.6	72.4	56.9	15.5	64.4
7	Chelsea	38	16.8	8.3	12.9	69.5	55.0	14.5	58.7
8	Brighton	38	15.8	9.7	12.5	67.9	62.0	6.0	57.1
9	Manchester Utd	38	16.8	5.6	15.7	51.1	56.4	-5.3	55.9
10	West Ham	38	14.9	7.5	15.6	58.7	66.9	-8.2	52.1
11	Brentford	38	14.1	8.8	15.2	57.9	53.3	4.6	51.0
12	Bournemouth	38	12.7	8.8	16.4	53.4	67.0	-13.5	47.1
13	Everton	38	16.3	6.7	14.9	53.9	51.0	2.8	45.7
14	Fulham	38	12.4	7.9	17.7	53.3	64.4	-11.1	45.1
15	Crystal Palace	38	10.8	9.9	17.2	43.6	57.3	-13.7	42.4
16	Wolverhampton	38	11.1	8.6	18.3	47.2	65.8	-18.6	42.0
17	Nottingham	38	9.1	10.2	18.7	40.7	62.1	-21.4	37.5
18	Burnley	38	6.7	6.7	24.6	36.6	73.2	-36.6	26.8
19	Luton	38	6.3	7.3	24.4	39.7	79.1	-39.4	26.2
20	Sheffield Utd	38	5.0	6.0	27.0	28.8	88.2	-59.4	21.1

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Liverpool vs Arsenal OPTA Stats: Martinelli a thorn in Anfield’s side

• Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 10 home Premier League games against Arsenal (W7 D3). The Reds have fallen behind in five of those games without losing, including a 2-2 draw last season from 2-0 down.
• Liverpool drew 0-0 with Manchester United last time out, despite having 34 shots in the match. This ended their run of scoring in 26 consecutive Premier League games, while they haven’t failed to score in consecutive home league games since February/March 2021 (a run of three).
• Arsenal have won 24 of their 39 Premier League matches in 2023 (D8 L7). They won 25 in 2022 and are looking to win 25+ league games in consecutive calendar years for the first time in their history.
• Gabriel Martinelli has scored more goals against Liverpool for Arsenal than he has any other opponent (4). He both scored and assisted in both of the Gunners’ Premier League games against the Reds last season.

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How to watch Liverpool vs Arsenal

• Date and Time: Tuesday, December 23rd, 17:30 (UK)
• How to Watch or Stream on TV (UK): Sky Sports Main Event

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SAFER GAMBLING

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