Luton vs Liverpool Predictions: OPTA Stats, Team News, Betting Tips And Best Bets

Our expert, Tom Winch, has a couple of solid-looking Luton vs Liverpool predictions and tips ahead of the Sunday afternoon kick-off in the Premier League As always, there are plenty of key OPTA stats and facts to reinforce selections.

Luton vs Liverpool Predictions

In this article:

• Expert Luton vs Liverpool Tips: Liverpool -1.75 Asian Handicap
• The Longshot, Luton vs Liverpool Best Bets: Mo Salah To Score Two or More Goals
• Luton vs Liverpool OPTA Stats
• How to Watch Luton vs Liverpool
• Safer Gambling

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Expert Luton vs Liverpool Predictions: Liverpool -1.75 Asian Handicap

England, Premier League, Sunday, November 5th, 16:30 (UK)

Jurgen Klopp and Liverpool have visited some spectacular stadiums in recent years – Camp Nou, Parc de Princes, Allianz Arena and Estadio Santiago Bernabeu, to name just a few. Forget those. It’s all eyes on The Kenny during another intriguing Premier League Sunday.

Kenilworth Road provides a different type of experience, not quite the glitz and glam those mentioned above provide although the fans make that special type of buzz. It’s Luton’s debut Premier League campaign, and they deserve to welcome the very best. Liverpool are in town on Sunday afternoon and are expected to win comfortably.

Our in-house data guru, BETSiE, has Luton Town down as a 9.9% shot of winning this match-up. Liverpool? 75.2%.

Liverpool have earned 23 points from an opening 30, a very respectable return given the midfield overhaul throughout the summer months. Alexis Mac Allister and Dominik Szoboszlai have started all ten matches since the opening day whilst Ryan Gravenberch has gradually become the final piece of the jigsaw. The trio are young, exciting and provide plenty of energy, a match made in heaven with the German boss.

‘Little old Luton’

It’s fair to say that ‘little old Luton’ were written off months ago before a ball was even kicked in fact. The Hatters have picked up five points from their opening ten outings, they’re yet to win at home, but oh my, it’ll be some performance if they could earn all three points here, wouldn’t it?

Rob Edwards won’t take any risks on Sunday, he’ll set up with a back five and hope they can absorb the continuous waves of attack. Luton average just 2.3 shots on target per match, the lowest in the division. They’re third worst for xG conceded and only three other sides have shipped more goals. It’s a tough ask for the Luton squad but they’ll give it a good go, that’s for sure.

Despite their flaws, it is Liverpool we’re talking about here. They have an awesome attack, arguably one of the best in world football. Mo Salah has been tremendous again this season, just like he always is. The forward has bagged eight and assisted four times across the opening ten Premier League fixtures. Darwin Nunez and Diogo Jota are expected to start alongside the exceptional Egyptian, it’s an attack that screams goals. The trio have all scored in back-to-back outings for the club. Impressive.

Liverpool have seven wins across the current campaign, and six of those have arrived with a two-goal margin or greater, exactly what we need for this selection. If Liverpool are victorious by exactly two goals, we’ll win half of this bet. Away dominance has potential here and if Klopp’s men win by three or more, we’ll receive a full payout.

• Our Expert’s Luton vs Liverpool Predictions: Liverpool -1.75 Asian Handicap (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.87
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 8/10

Luton vs Liverpool Predictions Odds via bet365 as at 20:00, October 31st, 2023. Odds may now differ.

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The Longshot: Our Expert’s Luton vs Liverpool Tips: Mo Salah To Score A Brace

Mo Salah, the Egyptian King, is a genius and I’m backing the man to cause some damage in the capital. The Egyptian has scored in all three previous Premier League games, five in total which includes two braces. He’s an attractive price again in the ‘Multi Scorers’ market, especially against a side who are vulnerable and allows plenty of chances.

It’s remarkable just how consistent Salah has been over the years, it’s become more of a shock if he fails to get himself on the scoresheet. With this arguably being Liverpool’s easiest game so far this season, the forwards should have multiple goalscoring chances. Mo is also his side’s penalty taker, an added bonus to any goal-related selection.

I certainly believe this bet has a cracking chance. Alfie Doughty, who’ll likely be the man with the unwanted task of keeping the forward quiet, will be in for a long long afternoon. If he’s not on the very top of his game, Salah could have a field day against him and his fellow Hatters.

We saw just how comfortable Villa were in their win over Luton last weekend, Tottenham dominated proceedings in the opening 45 minutes here despite failing to make a breakthrough. Early on in the season, Brighton and Chelsea showed a huge gulf in class in comparison to the Premier League newbies. Everything leads towards a high-scoring away victory, therefore, selecting a man on the top of his game to bag a brace, just makes perfect sense.

• Our Expert’s Luton vs Liverpool Tips: Mo Salah To Score Two or More Goals (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 5.00
• Bookmaker: Betfair
• Stake: 1/10

Luton vs Liverpool Tips Odds via bet365 as at 20:00, October 31st, 2023. Odds may now differ.

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Luton vs Liverpool Team News: Hosts Limited Defensively Whilst Klopp Has Majority Available

Reece Burke and Amari’i Bell are both doubtful for the clash, perhaps making the Luton vs Liverpool team news section one to wince at for Hatters fans. Albert Sambi Lokonga hasn’t featured since Luton’s 1-1 draw at home against Wolves but is expected to return in late November. A 5-3-2 formation is expected from the hosts, with Carlton Morris as the key attacking asset.

We’re already in the know about Andy Robertson’s shoulder injury. Stefan Bajcetic is expected to return very soon but isn’t expected to play a part here. Thiago is also absent, and there’s very little idea of when he will make a return. 

Luis Diaz has had some horrid news in regard to his family over the last few days. The Colombian isn’t expected to be involved.

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Luton vs Liverpool OPTA Stats: 2023 is Mo Salah’s on Merseyside

• This is the first meeting between Luton and Liverpool in any competition since January 2008, with the Reds  winning an FA Cup third round replay 5-0 at Anfield. 
• Liverpool have lost just one of their last 10 meetings with Luton in all competitions (W5 D4), going down 3- 1 at Kenilworth Road in February 1991. 
• Luton are yet to keep a Premier League clean sheet in 10 games this season, the first time they’ve failed to  keep a clean sheet in their opening 10 league games since 2019-20 in the Championship. In what is their  first ever season in the Premier League, they are looking to avoid becoming only the second team to concede  in each of their first 11 games in the competition, along with Leicester in 1994 (first 18). 
• Luton have scored six of their nine Premier League goals this season in the final 10 minutes of games, with  only Arsenal (7) scoring more in that timeframe. However, only two of the last 31 Premier League goals  Liverpool have conceded have been in the final 10 minutes of games. 
• Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has been involved in 32 Premier League goals in 2023 (20 goals, 12 assists),  with only Erling Haaland having more goal involvements (33). Indeed, the last three instances of a player both scoring 20+ goals and assisting 10+ goals in a calendar year have all been achieved by Salah (28 goals,  12 assists in 2018 and 24 goals, 11 assists in 2021). 

 

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How to watch or Stream Luton vs Liverpool on TV

• Date and Time: Sunday, November 5th, 16:30 (UK)

• How to Watch or Stream on TV: Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event

 

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SAFER GAMBLING

At bettingexpert, we always take a safe approach to gambling. We’ll never bet more than we can afford or chase losses. For more advice, head to our Safer Gambling hub.