football | Friday, September 30, 2022 1:32 PM (Revised at: Saturday, October 1, 2022 5:06 PM)

Man City vs Man United Bet Builder: 2.60 Builder for Manchester Derby

Sam Ingram

Man City vs Man United Bet Builder: Sunday, October, 2nd

Here at bettingexpert we have Man City vs Man United bet builder tips as Pep Guardiola’s sky blue outfit look to make it three wins on the bounce against fierce rivals, Manchester United. If the hosts can get a victory over the line on Sunday, it will be the first successive trio of wins against United since 2014.

In this article:

Man City vs Man United Preview
Man City vs Man United Stats & Facts
Man City vs Man United Bet Builder

Man City vs Man United Preview

Sunday, October, 2nd, 14:00 (UK)

If they are to claim three points, summer recruit Erling Haaland will likely have a say in proceedings. Following two back-to-back hat-tricks at home, the Norwegian centre-forward can break a Premier League record this weekend. And how City supporters would cherish it coming against United. No player in Premier League history has hit three consecutive hat-tricks at home. Could Haaland be the first?

It wouldn’t be the biggest surprise in the world. After all, City approaches the Manchester derby unbeaten in their last seven Premier League matches. An imposing start to life in the Champions League this term also ushers the English champions into October with a 100% win rate on the continent.

Nevertheless, this City side has its weaknesses, albeit you wouldn’t guess so on paper. Pep’s squad has afforded opponents opportunities time and time again, with their two draws against Aston Villa and Newcastle highlighting just that. In addition, the 4-2 scoreline against Crystal Palace somewhat masks their dreadful start that day, as The Eagles raced to a two-goal lead after just 20 minutes.

That should reassure anyone of a Manchester United persuasion. City are there to be got at, though their forward line is, evidently, as destructive as any side on the planet. However, a statistic that may not be so comforting to Erik ten Haag and United supporters ahead of the Dutchman’s first derby in the hot seat is the record of those before him. All of Rangnick, Solskjaer, Mourinho, van Gaal and Moyes lost in their first Manchester Derby in the Premier League.

There is good reason for United to fancy themselves at the Etihad. Four successive wins follow four losses on the trot, suggesting the current crop may be warming to the new gaffer and his work on the training pitch. Dispatching a lacklustre Liverpool and Arsenal on home soil in recent weeks is not to be sniffed at, yet playing City down the road will come as the biggest test to the newfound optimism at Old Trafford.

Man City vs Man United Stats & Facts

Cristiano Ronaldo (5.09) and Erling Haaland (4.26) populate the top three players in the division’s shots per90 averages, with Leeds United’s Rodrigo in between the two with 4.79.
Manchester City have claimed three points in seven successive Premier League home games, recording at least three goals on each occasion. Spurs were last to reach eight matches, having scored three or more in each – in 1965.
Manchester City’s 15.7 xG total this season nearly doubles United’s xG output of 8.1.
No team have conceded a higher percentage of goals in the first half this season than Manchester United’s 75%.

Man City vs Man United Bet Builder

Although it’s a Manchester derby, a meeting where the away team often prospers, the way City have started this season makes it near-on impossible to back against them in a match where they’ll be intent on causing harm.

That 1.33 price for them to grab the win isn’t something I’d take on its own, but it provides a good starting point for a bet builder as we search for an odds-against pick with a good prospect of landing. City have won three at home this term, backing up their unbeaten stretch last season (15W/4D).

Next up will be two bookings angles to round off the 2.60 bet builder pick. Michael Oliver has the whistle. Admittedly, he’s someone I’d usually avoid for cards, though there may be a way to get his stinginess on side.

This United squad has a nasty streak to it, one which will presumably rear its head at some point. United are averaging 3.33 cards received per90 this season. City’s 0.71 average is much less, born out of dominating possession for extensive periods. Oddly, Oliver officiated this fixture when the pair last met in March. That was also at the Etihad, in a 90-minute period that saw City claim a 4-1 win with Harry Maguire forcing the only card. In 2022/23, Oliver hasn’t handed out more than five bookings in nine appearances in all competitions. Last term, over 5.5 cards banked for punters in only 8% of his 26 Premier League outings.

In the previous head-to-head data spanning the last three seasons, the card totals are as follows: 3, 3, 4, 2, 6 and 5, landing the under-six cards angle in 5/6. United have received two or more cautions in 3/5 meetings in the last five matches at the Etihad. If United’s propensity to work their way into the referee’s book continues here alongside Oliver’s reluctance to delve into his pocket, that 2.60 will go close.

If wanting to play things a little safer, under seven cards, instead of under six still generates an odds-against 2.10 price.