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We have Manchester City vs West Ham bet builder tips as the two sides meet in the Premier League on Wednesday night.
Each of the clubs have moved into favourable positions in the proceedings.
The title race is back in City’s hands after beating title rivals Arsenal at the Etihad, while an upturn in the Hammers’ fortunes has moved them clear of the drop.
In this article:
England, Premier League, Wednesday, May 3rd, 20:00 (UK)
Despite Arsenal spending a large proportion of the season top of the Premier League (94%), Manchester City dislodged them with that punishing 4-1 at the Etihad last week. The Gunners returned to the summit last night but City can restore their lead here.
Usurping them with six games remaining is devastating for the red half of North London. The Gunners began to splutter at Anfield, squandering a two-goal lead. A feat they repeated a game later against West Ham, before dropping points to basement boys Southampton.
It meant Mikel Arteta’s side hobbled to the Etihad, disorientated and light in central defence. Man City, the mentality monsters, dispatched them with ease.
If they finish top of the pile, it will be Pep Guardiola’s third league title in as many seasons, his fifth in England and the 11th domestic success of his managerial career.
At the moment, the bookies have given City a 90.9% chance of lifting the title this year which feels about right.
As for the visitors, three wins over their last seven league games has put real daylight between West Ham and the relegation zone, four points to be exact.
At 15.00, they are not expected to get anything from their trip North but David Moyes will draw confidence from this uptick in form.
Only three City players: Erling Haaland, Kevin De Bruyne and Ilkay Gundogan, have averaged more shots in the league this season than Rodri.
The Spanish midfielder has averaged 1.5 per game, having at least one attempt in 74.2% of his domestic appearances, yet he has only found the net twice.
To put that into perspective, Riyad Mahrez, Jack Grealish, Julian Alvarez and Phil Foden all post similar or lower shot averages. Yet those four have 27 goals between them, each scoring more than twice as many as Rodri.
Rodri has regressed from last season, where he found the net seven times from an xG of 3.25, which is a goals-per-90 average of 0.22.
The reason is simple, he has not been as clinical. This season, he has already trumped his xG tally for last campaign, racking up 4.48 across 31 appearances.
Per match, that means he is averaging an xG of 0.15, but is scoring at a rate of 0.07, surely his fortunes will change.
Based purely on that xG per game average, I would have taken anything around 8.00 for him to score anytime on Wednesday, especially considering the calibre of opposition.
The 10.00 available, certainly represents value as a single, but combining it with a home win boosts the odds nicely.
West Ham’s recent form may have hoisted them clear of the drop, however, they have not fared too well against the league’s best sides.
They are yet to win any of their six games against the current top four, taking two points from a possible 18 and shipping 14 goals in the process.
Bet Builder odds: 13.00
Odds via William Hill as at 16:00 May 2nd 2023. Odds may now differ.
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