Manchester City v Newcastle Bet Builder Tips, Opta Stats, Player Props: City Joy Despite Super Cup

Manchester City v Newcastle Bet Builder Tips, Opta Stats, Player Props

Saturday evening’s action concludes at the Etihad with Manchester City v Newcastle (20:00 UK).

The last time these sides met, Eddie Howe’s side was 6.74 to win the game; this time, they went off over a point shorter (5.50) which sums up the Toon’s improvement.

Even at this early stage of the Premier League campaign, this feels like a huge fixture; I don’t think there will be any surprises, though.

• Man City Win 
• Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer
• Over 2.5 Cards 

Bet Builder odds: 3.00

England, Premier League, August 19th, 20:00 (UK)

Odds via bet365 as at 12:30, August 19th 2023. Odds may now differ.

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Man City vs Newcastle OPTA Stats: 

• Newcastle have never won in 18 Premier League games at the Etihad Stadium (D2 L16), with their last away league win against Man City coming at Maine Road in September 2000.
• There was eight goals scored across the sides’ meetings last season.
• Man City have lost just one of their last 31 Premier League games against Newcastle (W25 D5), going down 2-1 at St. James’ Park in January 2019.
• Newcastle have not won any of their last 9 games with City, conceding 29 goals.
• Eddie Howe’s side went off at 6.74 for their last trip to the Etihad, they are currently 5.50.
• Erling Haaland scored in 1 of the 2 games against Newcastle, racking up 6 shots.
• There were 12 cards brandished when these sides met last season, 6 in each of the two meetings.
• Following their 5-1 win over Aston Villa on MD1, Newcastle are looking to win both of their opening two games to a Premier League campaign for the first time since 1997-98.

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Manchester City v Newcastle Bet Builder Tips: Side with City despite Super Cup exploits

Man City Win

As I write, Manchester City are 1.70 to win. That seems very, very generous.

Before a ball was kicked, Opta gave Manchester City a 90.2% chance of winning the Premier League, just a 7.6% chance of finishing second and literally 0% chance of finishing below third.

Unbelievable.

Just to emphasise that, ante-post, City were 1.67 to regain the title with Sky Bet, which translates to an implied probability of 60%.

Opta, the gold standard for footballing statistics, rated Pep’s side way higher than the bookies. So, even at heavy odds on, according to Opta, there was some juice in City’s price.

It is easy to understand why they were at that price. After completing a historic treble, the Citizens have strengthened over the summer in the form of the highest-regarded defender in world football, Josko Gvardiol.

Last campaign, they only lost once at the Etihad in all competitions. City won 93.75% of their 32 home games, 17 of which were to nil.

Erling Haaland Anytime Goalscorer

Erling Haaland is even money to score anytime. Do I need to say anything else? Some of the bettingexpert team sided with the Norweigan for the top scorer gong in our ante-post Premier League predictions, despite the short price.

The big Norwegian opened his account with a brace on Turf Moor on opening night, picking up where he left off last domestic campaign, where he bagged 36 goals. Any doubts he couldn’t do it in the big, scary English top flight were well and truly dismissed.

That tally also means he has averaged 1.05 over the course of his domestic career, which stretches over nine seasons and 158 appearances, which is simply staggering.

Based on that average, if anything around evens is offered for Haaland to score anytime, you should snatch the bookies’ hands off.

Last season against the Toon, he scored in one game and had six shots across the two appearances.

Over 2.5 Cards

Adding the game to feature three or more card rounds this bet builder to a lovely 3.00.

Robert Jones has the whistle for this one; he has met this line in all bar one of the last eight games he has officiated.

He took charge of the four-goal thriller between Brentford and Spurs last Sunday, dishing out five cards.

The new rules give little scope for poor behaviour, be that time-wasting or poor sportsmanship, which is a dream for punting.

Even at this early stage, this has the whiff of a huge fixture, and with a favourable referee, we could see plenty at the Etihad.

That was the case when these sides met last campaign; there were 12 bookings in total across the two fixtures, six in each.

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