Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

Scott Thornton brings you his Manchester City vs West Ham predictions, team news, lineups and fixtures preview as the Premier League title race comes down to the final day of the season.

Pep Guardiola’s side are the favourites ahead of their midweek clash with Tottenham but they have been pushed all the way by Mikel Arteta and his Arsenal side this season. The Hammers have nothing to play for heading into the final game but David Moyes will be keen to see his side perform.

• Manchester City vs West Ham Tip 1: Manchester City -2.5 Asian Handicap
• Manchester City vs West Ham Tip 2: Both Teams To Score
• Manchester City vs West Ham Tip 3: Phil Foden To Score

Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction 1: City at Full Throttle

England, Premier League, Sunday, May 19th, 16:00 (UK)

Manchester City are consummate professionals, particularly at the business end of the season. They have made light work of potential banana skin clashes with the likes of Brighton, Wolves and Fulham in recent weeks so a comfortable victory looks the most likely outcome here. We can back City to repeat their recent emphatic home displays and win this match by at least three goals on the Asian handicap market.

Pep Guardiola’s side’s only home defeat in the Premier League since the start of last season came against Brentford in 2022. They tend to strut their best stuff at the Etihad, but they have been in fine fettle in all of their recent league matches. City have scored four or more in six of their last seven league games, and our bet has won in their last three home matches. 

West Ham were beaten 3-0 when they played Manchester City at the Etihad in May of last season. They had just 31% possession in that game, and I expect this encounter to play out in a similar manner so City cover the handicap.

• Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction 1: Manchester City -2.5 Asian Handicap (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 1.77
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 7/10

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Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction 2: Hammers Can Hit on the Counter

Surprisingly, Manchester City have struggled to keep clean sheets at the Etihad of late. They are conceding an average of 0.83 goals per game at home in the Premier League this season but they have managed to keep just two clean sheets in their last five league matches in front of their own fans. They have conceded against Wolves, Luton, Aston Villa and Manchester United in that period.

West Ham have the pace and physicality to have some joy on the counter this weekend so we are backing both teams to score here. The likes of Bowen, Kudus and Antonio will have space to run into. James Ward-Prowse also provides a threat from set-pieces.  The Hammers have scored an average of 1.56 goals per away game this season. They have also found the net on two of their last three visits to this ground. 

Both teams have scored in six of Manchester City’s nine Premier League games at the Etihad this calendar year. Just four of their opponents during that run are currently in the top half of the table.

• Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score 
• Best Odds: 1.95
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 6/10

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Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction 3: Foden Ending the Season in Fine Fettle

Phil Foden continued his prolific season last weekend by finding the net in the 59th minute of Manchester City’s 4-0 win over Fulham. He is arguably England’s best player ahead of this summer’s European Championships and he should make an impact on the final day of the season. 

The midfielder has scored the 7th most goals in the Premier League with a tally of 17. Cole Palmer is the only midfielder who has found the net more frequently but the Chelsea player has the advantage of taking spot kicks. Foden’s non-penalty xG of 0.34 per 90 minutes played puts him in the 88th percentile when compared with all other attacking midfielders and wingers across Europe’s top five leagues. However, he has managed to overperform this metric, scoring an average of 0.55 non-penalty goals per 90 minutes in this campaign.

Only Erling Haaland has scored more goals than Foden in the Manchester City ranks. Phil scored six goals in his four Premier League matches prior to the midweek clash with Tottenham.

• Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction 3: Phil Foden To Score (TRACKED BET)
• Best Odds: 2.10
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 6/10

Manchester City vs West Ham Prediction odds via bet365 as at 10:38, May 14th, 2024. Odds may now differ.

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Manchester City vs West Ham Team News and Possible Lineups: Clean Bill of Health For City

Nathan Ake came off in Manchester City’s 4-0 win over Fulham at the weekend. He could be fit enough to feature in this one but Pep Guardiola also has John Stones available. Other than that, there are no injury concerns for City as they look to secure a domestic double.

Nayef Aguerd is the only player who will definitely be injured for this match. Kalvin Phillips cannot play against his parent club and Mavropanos will face a late fitness test. David Moyes can name a strong eleven for his last game in charge at the club but they are up against it.

Manchester City possible starting lineup:
Ederson; Akanji, Stones, Dias, Gvardiol; Rodri, Kovacic, De Bruyne; Silva, Foden, Haaland

West Ham possible starting lineup:
Areola; Coufal, Zouma, Ogbonna, Palmieri; Soucek, Ward-Prowse, Paqueta; Bowen, Kudus, Antonio

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The Predicted Manchester City vs West Ham League Standings by BETSiE

Our in-house predictive model, BETSiE, has had a go at predicting the Premier League standings ahead of the Manchester City vs West Ham, currently 1st vs 9th, fixture by utilising the underlying data from the 2023/24 season up until this point.

For more league-specific BETSiE content including standings, probabilities and predictions, visit her page here – it’s worth it.

Manchester City vs West Ham Standings Prediction

Position	Club	Games	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Points
1	Manchester City	38	27.1	7.5	3.4	94.7	36.0	58.7	88.7
2	Arsenal	38	27.5	5.3	5.2	92.7	29.3	63.4	87.8
3	Liverpool	38	24.5	9.3	4.2	86.5	39.9	46.6	82.8
4	Aston Villa	38	20.4	7.4	10.1	75.3	57.2	18.2	68.7
5	Tottenham	38	19.4	6.6	12.0	75.0	62.9	12.0	64.8
6	Newcastle	38	18.3	5.6	14.1	84.2	61.8	22.4	60.4
7	Chelsea	38	16.2	9.7	12.1	74.2	62.9	11.3	58.3
8	Manchester Utd	38	16.7	6.6	14.7	55.1	60.7	-5.5	56.7
9	Brighton	38	13.2	11.6	13.1	58.4	62.1	-3.7	51.4
10	West Ham	38	13.5	10.3	14.2	58.6	75.1	-16.4	50.8
11	Bournemouth	38	13.8	9.4	14.8	55.3	66.4	-11.1	50.7
12	Wolverhampton	38	13.4	7.4	17.2	51.0	64.2	-13.2	47.7
13	Fulham	38	12.6	8.4	17.0	53.7	58.6	-5.0	46.2
14	Crystal Palace	38	11.8	10.5	15.6	51.9	59.4	-7.6	46.0
15	Everton	38	12.6	9.4	16.0	40.4	52.4	-12.0	41.2
16	Brentford	38	9.7	9.4	18.8	55.3	63.6	-8.3	38.6
17	Nottingham Forest	38	8.9	9.5	19.6	48.2	65.4	-17.2	32.3
18	Luton	38	6.7	8.5	22.9	52.2	81.6	-29.4	28.5
19	Burnley	38	5.4	9.4	23.2	41.2	78.1	-36.9	25.6
20	Sheffield Utd	38	3.5	7.4	27.0	37.7	103.9	-66.2	18.0

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Match OPTA Stats: The Etihad No Place for a Weary Hammers Outfit

• Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 16 Premier League games against West Ham (W13 D3), since a 2-1 home loss in September 2015.
• West Ham have lost 15 of their 17 Premier League away games against Manchester City at the Etihad Stadium, with the exceptions being a 1-1 draw (January 2008) and a 2-1 win (September 2015).
• West Ham have conceded at least once in all 17 of their Premier League games at the Etihad Stadium – only Tottenham have played at a specific venue more in the competition without ever keeping a clean sheet (18 at Emirates Stadium).
• Before their 1-0 defeat at Brentford last season, Manchester City had won their final league game in each of Pep Guardiola’s first six seasons in charge. They’ve not lost their final league game in consecutive campaigns since a run of three between 2005-06 and 2007-08.
• West Ham have lost their final league game in each of the last two seasons, last doing so in three in a row between 2013-14 and 2015-16.

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Manchester City Fixtures: Cup Final to Come

• Vs Manchester United (N)

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West Ham Fixtures: Final Hammers Game for Moyes

• No Games Remaining

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